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Canadian National Railway (MX:CNIN)
:CNIN
Mexico Market
EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

Canadian National Railway (CNIN) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

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MX:CNIN Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$26.84
Consensus EPS$25.39
Beat/MissBeat by +$1.45
One Year Ago EPS$24.13

MX:CNIN Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$61.32B
Expected Revenue$59.76B
Beat/MissBeat by +$1.57B
YoY Revenue Growth+11.26%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date07/24/2026
TimeBefore Open
Conference CallFriday, July 24, 2026
MX:CNIN Upcoming Earnings
Canadian National Railway's next earnings date is estimated for October 30, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:CNIN Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong top-line growth (revenues +11% on RTMs +5%), double-digit adjusted EPS growth, record fuel efficiency, material productivity gains and nearly $100M of realized Fast Track savings. Management raised guidance and announced strategic commercial agreements with UP that extend network reach and mitigate merger-related risks. Offsetting items include higher fuel expense (raising OR by ~210 bps), increased purchased services and advisory costs, segment-specific softness (overseas intermodal, Canadian coal), wildfire monitoring and macro/FX/tariff uncertainties. On balance, positive operational execution and raised guidance outweigh the challenges.
Company Guidance
CN raised its 2026 outlook: management now assumes low single‑digit RTM growth and expects mid‑ to high‑single‑digit adjusted diluted EPS growth for the year. Second‑quarter results helped drive the revision — reported diluted EPS was $2.06 (+10% y/y), adjusted diluted EPS $2.08 (+11% y/y; $2.09 or +12% FX‑adjusted), adjusted operating ratio 62.2% (up 50 bps y/y, with fuel having a 210‑bp dilutive impact), fuel expense ~+$250M y/y, labor +3% (including ~$40M higher incentive comp) despite ~5% lower headcount, and year‑to‑date free cash flow up ~20% (~$300M); leverage was 2.6x at Q2 and CN is maintaining a 2.7x adjusted debt/EBITDA target while remaining opportunistic on buybacks. For the balance of 2026 CN assumes WTI $80–$110/bbl, updated FX at CAD$0.71/USD (previously $0.73), an effective tax rate of 25–26%, and sees a potential Q3 fuel tailwind of roughly $0.15 EPS (~100 bps OR improvement) and a Q4 tailwind of ~$0.10 (~30 bps).
Earnings Per Share Growth
Reported diluted EPS of $2.06 (up 10% YoY); adjusted diluted EPS of $2.08 (up 11% YoY) and $2.09 (up 12% YoY on an FX-adjusted basis). Management highlighted EPS growth of ~12% FX-adjusted on 5% RTM volume growth.
Revenue and Volume Expansion
Revenues rose 11% year-over-year on a 5% increase in revenue ton-miles (RTMs); revenue per RTM / yield outperformed, with commentary noting roughly a ~6% increase in revenue per RTM for the quarter.
Operational Productivity Gains
Moved 3% more gross ton-miles while using existing assets more efficiently. Locomotive productivity improved ~6%, overall employee productivity improved ~9% (train & engine employees ~13%), and average train length increased ~1%.
Record Fuel Efficiency and Cost Savings
Delivered best Q2 and first-half fuel efficiency in company history, driving direct operating savings and helping offset higher fuel prices.
Fast Track Continuous Improvement Benefits
Fast Track program realized close to $100 million of benefits year-to-date through terminal and network improvements while maintaining service performance.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Position
Year-to-date free cash flow increased approximately 20% (about $300 million). Net leverage was 2.6x with a maintained target of ~2.7x adjusted debt / EBITDA and continued opportunistic share buybacks.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Management raised 2026 outlook: now assuming low single-digit RTM growth (up from flattish) and mid- to high-single-digit adjusted diluted EPS growth for the year; FX assumption updated to CAD/USD $0.71 and WTI guidance $80–$110/bbl.
Strategic Commercial Agreements with Union Pacific
Two agreements: (1) commercial rights giving CN direct, competitive access to Ferromex/Mexico via Memphis (immediate once definitive agreements are signed), extending length-of-haul opportunities; (2) contingent settlement (upon merger approval) securing access to Kansas City/Neff Yard and remedies to protect competition — expected to mitigate merger-related risks and create new growth avenues.

MX:CNIN Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Oct 30, 2026
2026 (Q3)
26.85 / -
23.611―
2026 (Q2)
25.39 / 26.84
24.12711.23% (+2.71)
2026 (Q1)
23.25 / 23.22
23.869-2.70% (-0.65)
2025 (Q4)
25.55 / 26.84
23.48214.29% (+3.35)
2025 (Q3)
22.84 / 23.61
22.1926.40% (+1.42)
2025 (Q2)
24.05 / 24.13
23.741.63% (+0.39)
2025 (Q1)
22.95 / 23.87
22.1927.56% (+1.68)
2024 (Q4)
24.72 / 23.48
26.062-9.90% (-2.58)
2024 (Q3)
21.92 / 22.19
21.8051.78% (+0.39)
2024 (Q2)
24.85 / 23.74
22.7084.55% (+1.03)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed