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Certara (CERT) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

MX:CERT Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS
MXN 1.50
Consensus EPS
MXN 1.67
Beat/Miss
Missed by -MXN 0.17
One Year Ago EPS
MXN 1.32

MX:CERT Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue
MXN 1.75B
Expected Revenue
MXN 1.84B
Beat/Miss
Missed by -MXN 90.50M
YoY Revenue Growth
-10.81%

Earnings Announcement Details

Quarter
Q2 2026
Date
08/04/2026
Time
Before Open
Conference Call
Tuesday, August 4, 2026
MX:CERT Upcoming Earnings

Certara's next earnings date is estimated for November 5, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:CERT Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026|% Change Since:-21.12%|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Neutral

The call presented a balanced picture: clear, measurable momentum in software, AI integration and product/scientific leadership (strong bookings growth in software, pipeline expansion, cloud wins, regulatory engagement and scientific publications), alongside near-term financial and operational headwinds (service revenue declines, modest overall revenue growth, margin impact from divestiture-related stranded costs, and a GAAP net loss). Management has taken decisive operational actions (RIF, product reprioritization, new CCO, $13M run-rate savings) and is bullish on mid-term growth, but execution risk remains in converting a larger services pipeline and realizing cost savings. On balance the results are cautiously constructive but not yet a decisive turnaround in overall financial performance.

Company Guidance

Certara reaffirmed full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of 0%–4% growth, which management says equates to $367M–$382M on a continuing‑operations basis, with software expected to be at or above the high end of that range and services at or below the low end; full‑year adjusted EBITDA margin is guided to 29%–31% (revised from 30%–32%), adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations is $0.31–$0.36, fully diluted shares 155M–157M and an effective tax rate of ~30%. The company is targeting roughly $13M of run‑rate cost savings (after a RIF affecting ~5% of employees), finished Q2 with $184.1M cash, $294M term‑loan borrowings and $100M revolver availability, completed a $100M repurchase program (Q2 repurchases $17.4M) and has a new $50M buyback authorization, and noted the May divestiture of the regulatory/medical‑writing business (which contributed $19.2M revenue and ~$7.5M adjusted EBITDA through May and roughly $17M adjusted EBITDA in 2025) as the primary driver of the change in margin guidance.

  • Modest Top-Line Growth with Software MomentumTotal revenue for Q2 2026 was $93.3M, up 1% year-over-year. Software revenue grew 4% to $48.8M and now represents 53% of the business (versus 40% two years ago). Software bookings for the quarter increased 9% to $50.7M and trailing 12-month software bookings rose 8% to $196.4M.
  • Bookings and Trailing Bookings ExpansionTotal bookings in Q2 were $98.3M, up 1% YoY; trailing 12-month total bookings increased 3% to $405.4M. Normalizing for the Chemaxon acquisition, trailing 12-month bookings grew 7% exiting H1 (vs 0.8% exiting 2025).
  • Strengthening Pipeline and Leading IndicatorsPipeline grew approximately 27% year-over-year exiting the quarter, a leading indicator expected to convert into back-half revenue growth. Service book-to-bill was 1.07, indicating modest services demand relative to billings.
  • Operational Actions to Improve Margin and FocusExecuted a ~5% reduction in force (mainly overhead) and other operational excellence steps expected to yield approximately $13M of run-rate savings, enabling reinvestment into innovation and AI.
  • AI and Product Innovation Driving Customer ValueAccelerated AI adoption across the business: up to 85% of new code is AI-assisted, a 65% YoY increase in development rate per engineer, agents cutting cycle times by up to 90% in areas like legal/IT, and agentic workflows accelerating certain scientific service tasks by up to 80%.
  • Commercial and Scientific AchievementsCertara served >2,600 customers in 70+ countries with ~160,000 daily software users. All 13 novel therapies approved by the FDA in the quarter came from Certara clients. The company produced 62 peer-reviewed publications in the quarter, demonstrating strong scientific leadership.
  • Cloud & Geographic WinsPhoenix pharmacometrics platform secured 30 cloud implementations year-to-date. First major Simcyp win in China and expanded engagements in the Middle East and Japan, signaling international expansion opportunities.
  • Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet ActionsEnded the quarter with $184.1M cash. Completed $17.4M of repurchases to finish a $100M program and the Board approved a new $50M buyback. Term loan borrowings were $294M with $100M availability on the revolver.

MX:CERT Earnings History

MX:CERT earnings history
Report DateFiscal QuarterForecast / EPSLast Year's EPSEPS YoY ChangePress Release
Nov 05, 20262026 (Q3)1.63-2.63――
Aug 04, 20262026 (Q2)1.671.501.3214.29% (+0.19)
May 11, 20262026 (Q1)1.991.692.63-35.71% (-0.94)
Feb 26, 20262025 (Q4)2.101.692.82-40.00% (-1.13)
Nov 06, 20252025 (Q3)2.142.632.447.69% (+0.19)
Aug 06, 20252025 (Q2)1.881.321.320.00% (+0.00)
May 05, 20252025 (Q1)2.122.631.8840.00% (+0.75)
Feb 26, 20252024 (Q4)2.312.821.6966.67% (+1.13)
Nov 06, 20242024 (Q3)2.032.442.0718.18% (+0.38)
Aug 06, 20242024 (Q2)1.941.322.26-41.67% (-0.94)

The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.

Beat Missed
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