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ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (MX:ARR)
:ARR
Mexico Market
EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

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MX:ARR Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$13.03
Consensus EPS$13.08
Beat/MissMissed by -$0.05
One Year Ago EPS$13.93

MX:ARR Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$3.81B
Expected Revenue$2.03B
Beat/MissBeat by +$1.79B
YoY Revenue Growth+8.35%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date07/22/2026
TimeAfter Close
Conference CallWednesday, July 22, 2026
MX:ARR Upcoming Earnings
ARMOUR Residential REIT's next earnings date is estimated for October 28, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:ARR Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call presented multiple clear strengths: solid Q2 economic return (4.8%), strong GAAP and distributable earnings, successful capital raises, maintained dividends, portfolio growth (+$1.3B added) and liquidity above $1.2B. Management also emphasized disciplined risk management (near-zero duration, robust hedging) and attractive incremental return opportunities. Offsetting risks include macro and Fed-policy uncertainty, bear-flattening of the curve (2yr +38 bps, 10yr +15 bps), signs of cooling investor demand, valuation constraints in specified pools, and a modest downward trend in liquidity as a percent of equity. Overall, highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, but management remains cautious given external risks.
Company Guidance
ARMOUR’s guidance is cautious but constructive: management expects supportive technicals into Q3 with mortgage spreads modestly wider yet still inside long‑ and short‑term averages and a base case that the Fed stays on hold through the fall; they target a near‑0 net balance sheet duration, implied leverage of ~7.5x (management used 8x in a return example), a portfolio >$22B (100% Agency MBS/Agency CMBS/Treasuries, >95% specified pools) with ~$1.3B of purchases since April, and July month‑end liquidity >$1.2B (nearly 50% of equity) including monthly paydowns; Q2 metrics underpinning the outlook: total economic return 4.8%, GAAP net income $111.5M ($0.86/sh), net interest income $76.8M, distributable earnings $93.2M ($0.72/sh), quarterly common dividend $0.72 ($0.24/mo), quarter‑end book value $17.53 (estimated $17 on July 20); prepayments averaged 11.4 CPR in Q2 (down to 8.8 CPR in July), ~86% of hedges are OIS/SOFR pay‑fixed swaps, and capital raise activity was ~$218.7M common (12.7M shares) and ~$4.1M preferred (198k shares) in Q2 (plus $88.3M common through July 14); example economics cited: static mid‑teens returns on 30‑year 5s–6s at 8x leverage hedged to 0.5yr, with a 10bp OAS tightening potentially adding ~4–5% to total return.
Total Economic Return and Earnings
Delivered total economic return of 4.8% for Q2 2026. GAAP net income available to common stockholders of $111.5 million ($0.86 per common share). Net interest income was $76.8 million. Distributable earnings available to common stockholders were $93.2 million ($0.72 per common share).
Capital Raising and Dividend Stability
Raised approximately $218.7 million of capital by issuing ~12.7 million common shares and $4.1 million via ~198,000 preferred shares through ATM programs in Q2; additional $88.3 million raised through July 14 (5.2 million common shares). Paid monthly common dividends of $0.24 per share ($0.72 for the quarter) and declared ongoing monthly dividends.
Book Value and Capital Base Growth
Quarter-end book value of $17.53 per common share, up 0.6% from March 31, 2026. Portfolio and capital base exceeded $22 billion, marking a fifth consecutive quarter of growth.
Portfolio Expansion and Purchases
Net added nearly $1.3 billion of new mortgage assets since the prior call, concentrating purchases in par and slight premium coupons (5- and 10-year DUS bonds) with favorable prepayment characteristics; portfolio remains 100% Agency MBS, Agency CMBS and U.S. Treasuries.
Spread Tightening and Prepayment Trends
Mortgage option-adjusted spreads tightened by 7 basis points across ARMOUR's asset classes in Q2. Q2 aggregate prepayments averaged 11.4 CPR (versus 11.2 CPR in Q1); July prepayment speeds have since declined to 8.8 CPR, and management expects this lower speed to persist.
Risk Management, Duration and Liquidity
Net balance sheet duration registered near 0. Implied leverage (ex-Treasuries) around 7.5 turns. Hedging program concentrated in shorter/intermediate OIS and SOFR pay-fixed swaps (about 86% of hedges). Expected July month-end liquidity over $1.2 billion (~50% of total equity); stress testing indicates comfort with liquidity.
Attractive Incremental Return Opportunity
Management sees static returns in the mid-teens for reinvestments in 30-year 5s–6s (assuming ~8x leverage and hedged to 0.5 year duration). Management highlighted that a hypothetical 10 bps OAS tightening could add 4%–5% to total return via book value.

MX:ARR Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Oct 28, 2026
2026 (Q3)
13.14 / -
13.029―
2026 (Q2)
13.08 / 13.03
13.933-6.49% (-0.90)
2026 (Q1)
13.92 / 13.75
15.562-11.63% (-1.81)
2025 (Q4)
13.92 / 12.85
14.114-8.97% (-1.27)
2025 (Q3)
14.26 / 13.03
18.095-28.00% (-5.07)
2025 (Q2)
14.58 / 13.93
19.543-28.70% (-5.61)
2025 (Q1)
16.43 / 15.56
14.8384.88% (+0.72)
2024 (Q4)
17.64 / 14.11
19.362-27.10% (-5.25)
2024 (Q3)
17.75 / 18.10
19.543-7.41% (-1.45)
2024 (Q2)
17.41 / 19.54
20.81-6.09% (-1.27)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed