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Mitsui Fudosan (MTSFY) AI Stock Analysis
Mitsui Fudosan
(Other OTC:MTSFY)
The overall score reflects a fundamentally solid real estate business with strong and improving earnings, attractive ROE, and a large asset base, balanced against elevated leverage and inconsistent cash flow quality. Technical indicators currently show a weak price trend below key moving averages with negative momentum, tempering the otherwise favorable fundamental picture. Valuation appears reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and a moderate dividend yield, offering steady return potential rather than clear deep-value or high-growth pricing.
Mitsui Fudosan (MTSFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $26.85B
- Dividend Yield
- 2.13%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 60.98K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 18.8
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.15
- Revenue Growth
- -12.75%
- EPS Growth
- -27.38%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 27,704
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Real Estate - Diversified
Mitsui Fudosan Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating as a prominent real estate firm in Japan, Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. organizes its activities across four primary segments: Leasing, Property Sales, Management, and Other. The Leasing segment focuses on renting out diverse properties, includi...
How the Company Makes Money
Mitsui Fudosan makes money through multiple real-estate-driven revenue streams: 1) Property leasing and operations (recurring income) - The company generates recurring revenue by leasing space in properties it owns or operates, such as office buildin...
Mitsui Fudosan Earnings Call Summary
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including record financial performance and upward revisions of forecasts, indicating strong business momentum. However, challenges such as increased interest burden and losses in nonoperating income and property sales to investors present potential headwinds.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
In the third quarter earnings call for Mitsui Fudosan, Executive Manager Atsuro Uchida highlighted several key metrics that underscored the company's financial performance and future outlook. The company achieved record highs in sales, operating income, ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners of parent for the nine-month period, with operating income reaching JPY 245.2 billion, a 15% increase year-on-year. Ordinary income rose by 7.3% to JPY 199.7 billion, while profit attributable to owners of parent surged by 13.1% to JPY 166.4 billion. The full year forecast for ordinary income was revised upwards by JPY 10 billion to JPY 265 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent was also increased by JPY 5 billion to JPY 220 billion, setting a new record high. In response to these strong results, the company raised its full year dividend per share guidance to JPY 72, up from the previously announced JPY 70, reflecting their confidence in sustained growth. Additionally, the Leasing segment reported significant gains with operating revenues of JPY 606.1 billion, driven by key projects like 50 Hudson Yards in New York, while the Property Sales segment saw mixed results with a decline in operating revenue but stable contract rates. The Management and Facility Operations segments also showed positive momentum, with the latter benefiting from increased ADRs and spectator numbers at Tokyo Dome. Overall, Mitsui Fudosan demonstrated robust financial health and strategic adjustments to capitalize on market conditions.
Mitsui Fudosan Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong and accelerating revenue and net income growth with solid ~10% net margin and improving ROE near 9% support a high score, but are partially offset by high, sector-typical leverage and volatile, sometimes weak cash generation and cash conversion.
Income Statement
78PositiveBalance Sheet
72PositiveCash Flow
55Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.80T | 2.63T | 2.87T | 2.38T | 2.27T | 2.10T |
| Gross Profit | 692.16B | 635.13B | 555.40B | 593.13B | 526.68B | 450.44B |
| EBITDA | 574.71B | 513.25B | 662.68B | 473.42B | 476.69B | 356.48B |
| Net Income | 308.01B | 248.80B | 295.49B | 224.65B | 197.00B | 176.99B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 9.75T | 9.86T | 10.15T | 9.49T | 8.84T | 8.21T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 234.28B | 169.68B | 88.41B | 189.81B | 144.26B | 156.23B |
| Total Debt | 4.52T | 4.42T | 4.65T | 4.43T | 4.05T | 3.67T |
| Total Liabilities | 6.43T | 6.59T | 6.75T | 6.25T | 5.81T | 5.29T |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.21T | 3.15T | 3.29T | 3.11T | 2.90T | 2.80T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0 | 327.77B | -96.64B | 20.86B | -65.04B | 29.90B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0 | 599.25B | 154.03B | 241.70B | 297.71B | 271.47B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0 | -321.97B | -188.72B | -286.99B | -422.03B | -210.06B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0 | -269.37B | -63.77B | 59.99B | 111.45B | -139.60B |
Mitsui Fudosan Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTSFY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.54, above the 50-day MA of 28.56, and below the 200-day MA of 31.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTSFY.
Mitsui Fudosan Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
VTMX80Outperform
IRS79Outperform
JOE70Outperform
HHH64Neutral
MTSFY64Neutral
VNO61Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80Outperform | $3.48B | 6.48 | 16.39% | 2.29% | 17.70% | 7191.37% | |
| 79Outperform | $1.16B | 0.99 | 19.95% | 21.39% | 4.42% | 36.02% | |
| 70Outperform | $3.96B | 33.03 | 15.84% | 0.91% | 11.10% | 17.69% | |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% |
| 64Neutral | $4.55B | 15.40 | 7.18% | ― | 31.83% | 7.70% | |
| 64Neutral | $26.89B | 18.77 | 7.11% | 2.13% | -12.75% | -27.38% | |
| 61Neutral | $7.03B | 1118.12 | 1.14% | 2.14% | 1.37% | -99.27% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSFY | Mitsui Fudosan (MTSFY) | 30.20 | -0.94 | -3.02% | |
| HHH | Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. | 77.91 | -0.15 | -0.19% | |
| IRS | Irsa Inversiones Y Representaciones | 12.40 | 0.73 | 6.22% | |
| JOE | St. Joe Co | 68.90 | 10.58 | 18.13% | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 34.97 | -0.11 | -0.32% | |
| VTMX | Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR | 36.32 | 7.19 | 24.70% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026