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Meridian Holdings (MRDN) AI Stock Analysis

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MRDN

Meridian Holdings

(NASDAQ:MRDN)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$9.50â–¼(-2.71% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is held down primarily by severe profitability deterioration (large net losses and deeply negative ROE) and a bearish technical trend (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Strong and improving operating/free cash flow and manageable leverage provide partial support, but valuation remains hard to justify given negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRevenue expansion provides evidence that Meridian is sustaining demand over time rather than relying solely on a temporary event. Continued top-line growth can support operating scale and help the company absorb fixed costs, although profitability conversion remains important.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability DeteriorationThe scale of the net loss and deeply negative return on equity indicates that Meridian is currently destroying shareholder value rather than converting revenue into durable earnings. Persistent losses could weaken the equity base, constrain reinvestment, and reduce financial flexibility.

Meridian Holdings (MRDN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%MRDN-16.97%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$123.44M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
58.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.5
Beta (1Y)
0.55
Revenue Growth
14.10%
EPS Growth
-644.56%
Country
US
Employees
1,200
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Meridian Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Meridian Holdings Inc., formerly Golden Matrix Group, Inc., is a B2B and B2C gaming technology group operating online and retail sports betting, gaming, and casino platforms across more than 20 regulated international markets. Its B2C division is led...

Meridian Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2024(Q3-2024)|% Change Since:-72.69%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 13, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call highlights significant revenue growth, successful acquisition integrations, and strong performance in key segments like GMAG and Merdianbet, despite facing some one-off costs and minor challenges in the RKings division. The outlook remains very positive with continued growth expected.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenues grew 85% to $41 million in Q3. Year-to-date revenue increased by 55% to $105 million.

Negative Updates

One-Off Costs from Acquisitions
Residual one-off costs due to the completion and implementation of the Merdianbet and Classics for a Cause acquisitions.

Company Guidance

During the Golden Matrix Group's Third Quarter 2024 earnings call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting robust financial metrics and operational achievements. The company reported an impressive 85% year-over-year increase in third-quarter consolidated revenues, reaching $41 million, and a year-to-date revenue surge of 55% to $105 million. Gross profit for Q3 grew by 39% to $22.4 million, with a year-to-date increase of 24% to $61.8 million. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $4.3 million. The company's balance sheet remained strong, with cash and equivalents of over $38.4 million against a short-term debt of $17.5 million, while shareholder equity rose by 60% to $94 million. Divisional performance also showcased growth, with the RKings competitions' revenue rising by 11.1% in October and the GMAG platform achieving an 84% increase in wagering to $1.4 billion. Newly acquired Classics for a Cause contributed $2.1 million in revenues and $253,000 in profit for the two months it was operational. The Mexican online casino, Mixed Play, reported a 56% increase in active players and a 67% increase in gross gaming wagering. Meanwhile, Merdianbet's revenue grew by 16% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in the online segment. Looking ahead, Golden Matrix emphasized cost efficiencies and synergies to improve profitability and maintain their expansive growth strategy, with a strong start to the fourth quarter and a promising outlook for future performance.

Meridian Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals. Revenue has grown, leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.39), and cash flow is strong with improved free cash flow (~27.8M TTM). However, profitability has deteriorated sharply with a very large TTM net loss (net margin ~-45.9%) and deeply negative ROE (~-103%), which materially weakens overall financial quality.

Income Statement

24Negative

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue197.19M182.86M151.12M92.99M36.03M60.37M
Gross Profit109.88M103.46M88.57M68.24M9.16M45.75M
EBITDA-72.69M-77.46M15.52M20.92M870.51K18.16M
Net Income-81.66M-89.90M-1.48M13.70M-250.04K12.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets115.13M118.08M213.72M35.58M32.57M20.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.32M18.43M30.46M17.15M14.95M16.80M
Total Debt16.36M23.39M39.35M59.09K154.86K282.23K
Total Liabilities63.88M69.74M104.77M4.48M2.77M1.53M
Stockholders Equity49.75M46.55M105.07M31.10M26.80M18.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.85M11.71M1.92M10.60M2.61M13.28M
Operating Cash Flow28.20M25.36M23.92M23.69M2.77M21.16M
Investing Cash Flow-14.28M-22.00M-37.43M-13.07M-4.41M-8.55M
Financing Cash Flow-13.04M-19.40M27.71M-4.15M32.00K-13.10M

Meridian Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price9.77

Price Trends

50DMA12.39Negative
100DMA13.00Negative
200DMA10.87Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.70Positive
RSI27.81Positive
STOCH18.72Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MRDN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.76, below the 50-day MA of 12.39, and below the 200-day MA of 10.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.81 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MRDN.

Meridian Holdings Risk Analysis

Meridian Holdings disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Meridian Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Meridian Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MRDN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GMHSGMHS59Neutral$36.98M7.5712.38%―――
NCTYNCTY47Neutral$45.67M1.369.98%―-3.28%-480.08%
MRDNMRDN46Neutral$123.84M-1.51-121.62%―14.10%-644.56%
MYPSMYPS45Neutral$54.29M-1.25-20.93%―-13.26%-46.94%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%MRDNNCTYGDCMYPSGMHSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MRDN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MRDNMeridian Holdings Inc.9.77-2.47-20.22%
NCTYThe9 Limited2.99-5.76-65.83%
GDCGd Culture Group Limited1.27-1031.23-99.88%
MYPSPlaystudios, Inc4.52-4.61-50.47%
GMHSGamehaus Holdings Inc.0.65-0.51-43.88%

Meridian Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions

Meridian Holdings Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer

Neutral
Oct 2, 2026

On April 1, 2024, Meridian Holdings closed its acquisition of 100% of MeridianBet Group from its former owners, with complex post-closing cash and note obligations. On September 28, 2026, the parties agreed a Tenth Amendment and Second Notes Amendmen...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026