Mister Car Wash (MCW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.79B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.76M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: 6.98%
• EPS Growth: 22.81%
• Country: US
• Employees: 6,640
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Personal Products & Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.11
• Shares Outstanding: 327,568,360
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,229,216
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,763,682
• PEG Ratio: -2.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.34
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.35
• P/FCF Ratio: -28.64
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.95
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.36
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.02
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.68
• 1Y Price Target: $6.78
• Price Target Upside: 23.95% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 10
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.43
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $1.05B

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.00 ▲(9.69% Upside)

Mister Car Wash's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting revenue and EBITDA growth. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate moderate pricing without a dividend yield. The absence of significant corporate events further solidifies the current score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue and EBITDA growth indicate strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.

Market Expansion

Strategic acquisitions and market expansion enhance competitive positioning and increase market share, driving future growth opportunities.

Subscription Model

Growth in subscription memberships provides a stable revenue stream and strengthens customer loyalty, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Negative Factors

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow indicates challenges in cash management, potentially limiting investment capacity and financial flexibility.

Competitive Pressure

Increased competition could pressure margins and market share, necessitating strategic responses to maintain competitive advantage.

Flat Membership Growth

Flat membership growth may signal market saturation or competitive challenges, impacting future revenue from subscription services.

Mister Car Wash Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mister Car Wash, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides conveyorized car wash services in the United States. It offers express exterior and interior cleaning services. As of June 16, 2022, it operated 407 car wash locations in 21 states. The company was formerly known as Hotshine Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Mister Car Wash, Inc. in March 2021. Mister Car Wash, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Tucson, Arizona.

How the Company Makes Money

Mister Car Wash generates revenue primarily through its car wash services and subscription model. Customers can choose from one-time washes or opt for a monthly subscription that offers unlimited washes for a fixed fee. This subscription model not only provides a steady stream of recurring revenue but also enhances customer loyalty. Additionally, MCW earns revenue from upselling related services such as detailing and interior cleaning. The company has established partnerships with various suppliers for car wash equipment and eco-friendly cleaning products, which can help optimize operational efficiency and reduce costs, further contributing to its overall profitability.

Mister Car Wash Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mister Car Wash demonstrates solid revenue growth and improved profitability, with a healthier balance sheet due to reduced leverage. However, declining margins and negative free cash flow growth indicate areas for improvement in cost and cash flow management.

Income Statement

Mister Car Wash shows a strong revenue growth rate of 37.1% TTM, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 51.16%, although it has decreased from previous years. The net profit margin has improved to 8.85% TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined, suggesting potential cost management issues.

Balance Sheet

The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio to 0.85 TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity is stable at 8.76% TTM, showing consistent returns to shareholders. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, past high leverage remains a concern.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong, covering 95.06% of net income TTM, indicating good cash generation. However, free cash flow growth is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.47%, highlighting potential cash flow management challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.04B	994.73M	927.07M	876.51M	758.36M	574.94M
Gross Profit	697.32M	704.02M	563.35M	608.04M	493.19M	380.97M
EBITDA	276.09M	178.93M	248.14M	187.72M	42.84M	220.75M
Net Income	92.17M	70.24M	80.13M	112.90M	-22.05M	60.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.14B	3.10B	2.88B	2.69B	2.45B	1.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	35.65M	67.46M	19.05M	65.15M	19.74M	114.65M
Total Debt	937.06M	1.87B	1.77B	1.71B	1.67B	1.80B
Total Liabilities	2.04B	2.10B	1.97B	1.89B	1.79B	1.93B
Stockholders Equity	1.11B	998.35M	915.03M	801.13M	657.15M	16.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	26.68M	-81.46M	-123.47M	37.59M	47.59M	43.10M
Operating Cash Flow	275.51M	248.62M	204.65M	229.20M	173.35M	101.85M
Investing Cash Flow	-148.19M	-199.85M	-259.37M	-190.13M	-543.83M	-13.35M
Financing Cash Flow	-108.18M	-275.00K	8.61M	6.29M	272.46M	22.68M

Mister Car Wash Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.47
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.09, above the 50-day MA of 5.30, and below the 200-day MA of 6.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCW.

Mister Car Wash Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ROL	79 Outperform	$28.89B	55.99	36.21%	1.18%	11.17%	9.81%
SCI	71 Outperform	$11.44B	22.01	33.48%	1.54%	3.41%	7.94%
BFAM	68 Neutral	$5.84B	28.86	14.19%	―	9.38%	74.27%
FTDR	68 Neutral	$4.79B	19.41	109.83%	―	8.56%	31.87%
MCW	64 Neutral	$1.79B	19.22	8.84%	―	6.98%	22.81%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
CSV	56 Neutral	$673.62M	12.89	24.38%	1.05%	3.55%	73.06%

Mister Car Wash Corporate Events

Mister Car Wash Shines in Q3 Earnings Call

The recent earnings call for Mister Car Wash, Inc. painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by impressive revenue and EBITDA growth. The company has successfully navigated strategic initiatives in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and has seen promising outcomes from its marketing efforts. Despite facing challenges such as declining retail comps, competitive pressures, and flat sequential membership growth, the positive developments significantly outweigh the negatives.

Mister Car Wash Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance

Mister Car Wash, Inc., headquartered in Tucson, Arizona, is the leading car wash brand in the United States, known for its extensive network of locations and the largest car wash subscription program in North America. The company is committed to providing exceptional customer experiences with a focus on environmental responsibility.

Mister Car Wash Shines in Earnings Call with Strong Growth

Mister Car Wash’s recent earnings call paints a picture of steady growth and robust performance, particularly highlighting the success of its subscription model. Despite facing challenges in the retail segment and increased operating costs, the company remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and disciplined expansion approach, suggesting a positive outlook.

Mister Car Wash Reports Steady Growth in Q2 2025

Mister Car Wash, Inc., a leading car wash brand in North America, operates over 500 locations and is renowned for its subscription model and commitment to environmental practices. In its second quarter of 2025, Mister Car Wash reported a 4% increase in net revenues, reaching $265.4 million, and a 1.2% rise in comparable-store sales. The company also expanded its Unlimited Wash Club memberships by 5% and opened four new locations, enhancing its market presence. Key financial highlights include a net income of $28.6 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $87.0 million, although the latter saw a slight decrease compared to the previous year. For the first half of 2025, Mister Car Wash achieved a 7% increase in net revenues and a 3.6% rise in comparable-store sales, while opening eight new locations. The company generated $134.4 million in net cash from operating activities, reflecting strong cash flow management. Looking ahead, Mister Car Wash has updated its full-year 2025 outlook, projecting net revenues between $1,046 and $1,054 million and adjusted EBITDA of $338 to $342 million, indicating a steady growth trajectory.