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MGM China (MCHVY) AI Stock Analysis

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MCHVY

MGM China

(Other OTC:MCHVY)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:$17.50▲(12.71% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The overall score is driven by a strong financial foundation of high profitability and cash flow, combined with an attractive valuation featuring a low P/E and high dividend yield. These strengths are partially offset by technical indicators that, while confirming a positive trend, also flash overbought warnings, and a balance sheet that remains highly leveraged despite recent improvements.

Positive Factors
Improved ProfitabilityThe shift from losses in 2020–2022 to sustained profitability in 2023–2025 indicates a materially stronger earnings base. A 26% net margin in 2025 provides operating resilience and creates greater capacity to fund investment, service obligations, and support shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
High Financial LeveragePersistently high leverage leaves MGM China with a thinner financial cushion and less flexibility to absorb weaker trading conditions. The elevated debt burden can constrain capital allocation, increase sensitivity to earnings volatility, and make balance-sheet repair an ongoing priority.

MGM China (MCHVY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MCHVY-34.32%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$4.42B
Dividend Yield
5.80%
Average Volume (3M)
165
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.5
Beta (1Y)
0.28
Revenue Growth
10.71%
EPS Growth
6.57%
Country
US
Employees
13,793
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

MGM China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MGM China Holdings Limited (MCHVY) functions as an investment holding enterprise primarily dedicated to the creation, ownership, and management of integrated gaming and hospitality complexes throughout the Greater China region. The company's core bus...

How the Company Makes Money

MGM China primarily makes money by operating integrated casino resorts in Macau, generating revenue from both gaming and non-gaming activities. Gaming revenue is earned from casino play, including mass-market table games and slot machines, and from h...

MGM China Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and cash flow generation, with net margin of 26% and robust free cash flow of HKD 7.17B. However, a 39% revenue decline and a highly leveraged balance sheet (debt-to-equity of 5.9) introduce risk, capping the score.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.76B19.40B31.39B24.68B5.27B9.41B
Gross Profit10.48B10.68B11.87B19.67B1.65B1.58B
EBITDA8.42B8.88B8.02B6.45B-1.62B-287.02M
Net Income4.59B5.07B4.60B2.64B-5.23B-3.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.88B29.67B30.60B29.18B31.21B28.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.03B4.40B5.32B4.23B6.71B3.11B
Total Debt18.19B19.17B23.15B24.30B32.92B24.15B
Total Liabilities25.05B26.42B30.08B30.51B35.21B27.24B
Stockholders Equity3.83B3.25B527.53M-1.33B-4.00B1.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.64B7.17B7.07B7.91B-2.41B-977.32M
Operating Cash Flow7.93B8.74B8.27B8.27B-2.11B-449.61M
Investing Cash Flow-1.47B-1.64B-1.52B-124.64M-1.32B-518.49M
Financing Cash Flow-8.02B-8.09B-5.66B-10.62B7.04B1.44B

MGM China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price15.53

Price Trends

50DMA14.87Positive
100DMA15.24Positive
200DMA16.19Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.23Negative
RSI60.56Neutral
STOCH97.63Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHVY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.80, above the 50-day MA of 14.87, and below the 200-day MA of 16.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCHVY.

MGM China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MCHVY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MCHVYMCHVY71Outperform$4.97B8.50129.87%5.80%10.71%6.57%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
MLCOMLCO57Neutral$1.62B10.77-10.97%―0.70%55.30%
LVSLVS55Neutral$25.59B16.42216.58%2.98%10.93%9.73%
WYNNWYNN48Neutral$8.95B23.20-172.89%1.17%2.22%-22.58%
CZRCZR43Neutral$5.97B-11.18-15.71%―3.08%-128.00%
MSCMSC36Underperform$200.29M-1.02-9.36%―-3.24%29.78%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%MCHVYLVSMLCOWYNNCZRMSCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MCHVY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MCHVYMGM China Holdings15.53-8.16-34.45%
LVSLas Vegas Sands39.33-24.40-38.29%
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment4.18-4.88-53.86%
WYNNWynn Resorts Limited83.02-36.59-30.59%
CZRCaesars Entertainment Inc29.289.5048.03%
MSCStudio City International Holdings1.00-2.69-72.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026