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MGM China (MCHVY) AI Stock Analysis
MGM China
(Other OTC:MCHVY)
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: strong recent profitability and free cash flow are offset by high balance-sheet leverage and a sharp recent revenue decline. Technicals are moderately supportive with positive momentum, while valuation is a clear positive due to the low P/E and high dividend yield.
MGM China (MCHVY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $4.42B
- Dividend Yield
- 6.49%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 165
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 7.6
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.34
- Revenue Growth
- 10.71%
- EPS Growth
- 6.57%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 13,793
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
MGM China Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
MGM China Holdings Limited (MCHVY) functions as an investment holding enterprise primarily dedicated to the creation, ownership, and management of integrated gaming and hospitality complexes throughout the Greater China region. The company's core bus...
How the Company Makes Money
MGM China primarily makes money by operating integrated casino resorts in Macau, generating revenue from both gaming and non-gaming activities. Gaming revenue is earned from casino play, including mass-market table games and slot machines, and from h...
MGM China Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Operating recovery and cash generation are strong (positive earnings and robust free cash flow in 2023–2025), but the balance sheet is a major constraint with very high leverage (debt-to-equity still ~5.9x in 2025 after being far higher in 2024) and the latest period shows a sharp revenue decline (2025 revenue growth -39%), increasing risk around volatility/normalization.
Income Statement
71PositiveBalance Sheet
38NegativeCash Flow
78Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 19.76B | 19.40B | 31.39B | 24.68B | 5.27B | 9.41B |
| Gross Profit | 10.48B | 10.68B | 11.87B | 19.67B | 1.65B | 1.58B |
| EBITDA | 8.42B | 8.88B | 8.02B | 6.45B | -1.62B | -287.02M |
| Net Income | 4.59B | 5.07B | 4.60B | 2.64B | -5.23B | -3.85B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 28.88B | 29.67B | 30.60B | 29.18B | 31.21B | 28.44B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.03B | 4.40B | 5.32B | 4.23B | 6.71B | 3.11B |
| Total Debt | 18.19B | 19.17B | 23.15B | 24.30B | 32.92B | 24.15B |
| Total Liabilities | 25.05B | 26.42B | 30.08B | 30.51B | 35.21B | 27.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.83B | 3.25B | 527.53M | -1.33B | -4.00B | 1.20B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.64B | 7.17B | 7.07B | 7.91B | -2.41B | -977.32M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 7.93B | 8.74B | 8.27B | 8.27B | -2.11B | -449.61M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.47B | -1.64B | -1.52B | -124.64M | -1.32B | -518.49M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.02B | -8.09B | -5.66B | -10.62B | 7.04B | 1.44B |
MGM China Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHVY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.42, below the 50-day MA of 14.87, and below the 200-day MA of 16.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MCHVY.
MGM China Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
MCHVY67Neutral
LVS55Neutral
MLCO54Neutral
WYNN52Neutral
CZR43Neutral
MSC42Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67Neutral | $4.42B | 7.60 | 129.87% | 6.49% | 10.71% | 6.57% | |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
| 55Neutral | $23.18B | 15.09 | 216.58% | 3.11% | 10.93% | 9.73% | |
| 54Neutral | $1.50B | 6.58 | -17.37% | ― | 6.01% | 338.84% | |
| 52Neutral | $7.69B | 17.08 | -174.87% | 1.34% | 6.36% | 21.32% | |
| 43Neutral | $5.93B | -11.10 | -15.71% | ― | 3.08% | -128.00% | |
| 42Neutral | $165.26M | -0.72 | -10.08% | ― | 0.71% | 24.32% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHVY | MGM China Holdings | 13.95 | -8.43 | -37.66% | |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | 36.97 | -23.45 | -38.81% | |
| MLCO | Melco Resorts & Entertainment | 3.94 | -4.41 | -52.81% | |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts Limited | 74.66 | -49.90 | -40.06% | |
| CZR | Caesars Entertainment Inc | 29.09 | 8.64 | 42.25% | |
| MSC | Studio City International Holdings | 0.78 | -3.21 | -80.35% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026