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Lightwave Logic
(NASDAQ:LWLG)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-7.41% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/29/26
The score is held down primarily by weak current financial performance (very low revenue, large losses, and ongoing cash burn) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by constructive earnings-call signals of commercialization milestones and a strong cash/no-debt position, but near-term valuation support is limited given losses and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Commercialization Progress
The move to five Stage-3 programs and multiple foundry engagements indicates the technology is advancing beyond early interest toward prototypes, qualification, and production. A signed supply and licensing agreement adds evidence that commercialization is developing across customers and manufacturing partners.
Negative Factors
Minimal Current Revenue
Recognized revenue remains negligible relative to the company’s commercialization ambitions, showing that customer programs have not yet produced material product sales. Until qualification milestones convert into recurring licenses, materials revenue, or royalties, financial performance remains highly dependent on future execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Commercialization Progress
The move to five Stage-3 programs and multiple foundry engagements indicates the technology is advancing beyond early interest toward prototypes, qualification, and production. A signed supply and licensing agreement adds evidence that commercialization is developing across customers and manufacturing partners.
Read all positive factors
Lightwave Logic (LWLG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$878.75M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.63M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.85
Revenue Growth165.22%
EPS Growth3.72%
CountryUS
Employees34
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.16
Shares Outstanding154,167,250
10 Day Avg. Volume3,216,514
30 Day Avg. Volume2,627,058
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.28
Price to Book (P/B)5.58
Price to Sales (P/S)1759.55
P/FCF Ratio-27.63
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.55
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.43K
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-993.75
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-62.02
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$10.00Price Target Upside68.35% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Lightwave Logic Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lightwave Logic, Inc. focuses on the development and commercialization of electro-optic polymer materials for data communications and other photonic application in the United States and internationally. The company sells electro-optic (EO) polymer...
How the Company Makes Money
Lightwave Logic’s monetization strategy is centered on commercializing its electro-optic polymer materials and associated intellectual property for use in optical modulators and photonic integrated circuits. The company’s revenue model is primaril...
Lightwave Logic Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational progress toward commercialization — tangible milestones such as five Stage 3 customers, multiple foundry engagements, imminent wafer deliveries, an existing material supply agreement, and a strong cash position (~$95.9M). Those highlights show advancing de-risking of the technology and customer traction. Offsetting this are persistent commercialization risks and financial headwinds: very low recognized revenue (~$33k), a widening net loss ($6.6M, +~32% YoY), rising R&D and G&A spending (+50% and +48% YoY respectively), increased cash burn (+~36% in H1 operating use), and continued foundry and BEOL schedule and capacity constraints that could delay qualification and the targeted volume ramp in H2 2027. Overall the call balances clear technical and commercial progress against near-term financial and execution risks, but the progress on foundry runs, customer Stage 3 expansion, and cash runway lead to a constructive outlook.Positive Updates
Progress Toward Commercialization — Stage 3 Expansion
Company moved a new unnamed Fortune Global 500 customer into Stage 3, bringing total Stage 3 programs to 5; Stage 3 work now focuses on prototypes, foundry runs, device processing and testing with the goal of moving programs toward qualification and Stage 4.
Negative Updates
Modest Recognized Revenue
Revenue remains negligible at ~$33,000 for the quarter despite commercial progress, indicating commercialization has not yet translated into material product sales.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Progress Toward Commercialization — Stage 3 Expansion
Company moved a new unnamed Fortune Global 500 customer into Stage 3, bringing total Stage 3 programs to 5; Stage 3 work now focuses on prototypes, foundry runs, device processing and testing with the goal of moving programs toward qualification and Stage 4.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that Lightwave Logic now has five Stage‑3 customer programs and four parallel foundry engagements (GlobalFoundries, Tower, SilTerra and a fourth partner) with two wafer sets expected in August, a third delivery in Q4 and a fourth tape‑out later this year, and is targeting volume production with its most advanced customer in H2 2027; one material supply and licensing agreement is signed and a second is being negotiated. Financial metrics disclosed: Q2 revenue ~$33k (vs $26k prior year), deferred revenue ~$100k, net loss $6.6M (‑$0.04/share) vs $5M (‑$0.04), R&D $3.9M vs $2.6M, G&A $3.4M vs $2.3M, cash and marketable securities ~$95.9M with no debt, cash used in operations ~$9.9M YTD vs $7.3M, capex ~$1.5M YTD, and a 25% sequential headcount increase; operationally they’re expanding Perkinamine production in Denver, preparing BEOL outsourcing, aiming for 200–400+ Gb/s performance, and believe the cash runway supports the current organic commercialization plan.Lightwave Logic Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 250.25K | 236.85K | 95.61K | 40.50K | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gross Profit | -1.37M | -1.88M | 88.21K | 37.99K | -1.05M | -878.52K |
| EBITDA | -21.90M | -18.21M | -20.66M | -19.73M | -16.19M | -17.75M |
| Net Income | -22.86M | -20.31M | -22.54M | -21.04M | -17.23M | -18.63M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 108.08M | 81.67M | 37.81M | 41.78M | 29.26M | 27.23M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 95.91M | 69.02M | 27.67M | 31.43M | 24.10M | 23.43M |
| Total Debt | 2.50M | 2.60M | 2.77M | 2.91M | 358.25K | 536.45K |
| Total Liabilities | 3.86M | 7.02M | 4.38M | 5.35M | 1.71M | 2.02M |
| Stockholders Equity | 104.22M | 74.65M | 33.42M | 36.43M | 27.55M | 25.20M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -18.22M | -15.08M | -18.25M | -15.84M | -12.10M | -11.42M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -16.37M | -13.75M | -15.55M | -12.24M | -10.53M | -10.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -51.29M | -1.82M | -2.70M | -2.96M | -2.21M | -1.12M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 92.77M | 56.92M | 14.48M | 22.52M | 13.41M | 31.55M |
Lightwave Logic Technical Analysis
Neutral
5.94
Price Trends
5.95
Negative
7.74
Negative
7.30
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.13
Negative
51.16
Neutral
72.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LWLG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.22, below the 50-day MA of 5.95, and below the 200-day MA of 7.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LWLG.
Lightwave Logic Risk Analysis
Lightwave Logic disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lightwave Logic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Lightwave Logic Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $7.42B | 16.78 | 7.42% | 5.17% | -4.30% | -46.24% | |
69 Neutral | $3.78B | 22.37 | 7.17% | 2.64% | 2.36% | 42.56% | |
67 Neutral | $3.97B | 21.43 | 12.07% | 2.38% | -4.74% | -53.83% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
54 Neutral | $9.17B | 43.65 | 10.89% | 0.39% | ― | ― | |
52 Neutral | $161.59M | -2.51 | -68.94% | ― | ― | 82.75% | |
47 Neutral | $878.75M | -35.13 | -30.34% | ― | 165.22% | 3.72% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
LWLG
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Lightwave Logic Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lightwave Logic strengthens board with strategic director appointment
Positive
Sep 29, 2026
Lightwave Logic, Inc., based in Englewood, Colo., is a Nasdaq-listed technology platform company that develops proprietary electro-optic polymers designed to enable ultra-high-speed data transmission with low power consumption and compact form fac...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lightwave Logic Names Fred Graffam Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Jul 20, 2026
On July 20, 2026, Lightwave Logic appointed veteran finance executive Fred A. Graffam III as chief financial officer, marking a significant change in its senior leadership team. Graffam, who has more than two decades of financial and operational e...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.