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Lightpath Technologies (LPTH)
NASDAQ:LPTH
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Lightpath Technologies (LPTH) AI Stock Analysis

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LPTH

Lightpath Technologies

(NASDAQ:LPTH)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(7.59% Upside)
Lightpath Technologies is experiencing strong market momentum and strategic growth through acquisitions, which are positive indicators. However, significant financial challenges, including profitability and cash flow issues, weigh down the overall score. The valuation concerns due to negative earnings further impact the attractiveness of the stock.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term business prospects.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions like G5 Infrared expand product offerings and market reach, strengthening competitive position and driving future growth.
Strong Order Backlog
A robust order backlog supports sustained revenue growth and reflects strong customer demand, ensuring future financial stability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing net losses highlight profitability challenges, which can impact cash flow and limit reinvestment in growth opportunities.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can erode margins and profitability, posing a risk to financial health if not managed effectively.
Supply Chain Risks
Supply chain risks can disrupt operations and increase costs, affecting product availability and competitive positioning.

Lightpath Technologies (LPTH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lightpath Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical components and assemblies. The company offers precision molded glass aspheric optics, molded and diamond-turned infrared aspheric lenses, and other optical components used to produce products that manipulate light. Its products are used in defense products, medical devices, laser aided industrial tools, automotive safety applications, barcode scanners, optical data storage, hybrid fiber coax datacom, telecommunications, machine vision and sensors, and other industries. The company sells its products directly to customers in North America, Europe, and Asia, as well as through distributors and catalogs in the United States and internationally. LightPath Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyLightpath Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of its optical communication products and systems to telecommunications companies, data centers, and other enterprises requiring high-speed data solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of optical transceivers and amplifiers, as well as long-term contracts and partnerships with major telecommunications providers that require customized solutions. The company also engages in research and development collaborations with industry partners, further enhancing its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, LPTH benefits from increasing demand for high-bandwidth connectivity driven by the growth of cloud computing, 5G networks, and the Internet of Things (IoT), which adds to its revenue potential.

Lightpath Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook. While LightPath Technologies is experiencing significant growth and successful integration of G5 Infrared with a strong order backlog and promising demand for innovative products like BlackDiamond glass, it also faces financial challenges with increased net losses and operating expenses, alongside delays in key programs and geopolitical risks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 increased 19.1% to $9.2 million compared to $7.7 million in the same year-ago quarter.
Gross Profit Increase
Gross profit increased 66% to $2.7 million or 29.1% of total revenues, compared to $1.6 million or 20.9% of total revenues in the same year-ago quarter.
G5 Acquisition Success
The acquisition of G5 Infrared is integrating well, with cultural alignment and expected revenue of $51 million in the 12 months following the acquisition.
Strong Order Bookings
In the last 90 days, LightPath booked over $19 million of new orders, indicating strong demand post-G5 acquisition.
BlackDiamond Glass Demand
There is strong growth in demand for BlackDiamond materials, with government funding for capacity expansion, confirming strategic investment success.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Increase
Net loss in the third quarter of fiscal 2025 totaled $3.6 million or $0.09 per share, compared to $2.6 million or $0.07 per share in the same quarter of the prior fiscal year.
Operating Expenses Rise
Operating expenses increased 44% to $6 million, primarily due to legal fees, product development costs, and additional sales and admin costs post-G5 acquisition.
Apache Program Delays
The Apache program is behind schedule due to challenges in meeting timelines and capacity issues with new materials.
Potential Geopolitical Risks
Challenges related to tariffs and supply chain issues, particularly with germanium, pose ongoing risks despite strategic mitigations.
Company Guidance
During the LightPath Technologies Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook, highlighting significant strategic transformations and financial progress. They reported a 19.1% increase in revenue, reaching $9.2 million, and a 66% rise in gross profit to $2.7 million, reflecting a favorable shift in product mix towards higher-margin offerings like assemblies and modules. Operating expenses increased by 44% to $6 million due to acquisition-related costs and increased investments in product development and sales. The net loss was $3.6 million, or $0.09 per share, with an EBITDA loss of $2 million. The backlog stood at $27.4 million, indicating strong future demand. LightPath’s recent acquisition of G5 Infrared, which contributed significantly to new bookings of $19 million within 90 days, is expected to drive annual revenue to $51 million in the following 12 months. Despite ongoing geopolitical and supply chain challenges, the company remains confident in its strategic shift towards higher-value, vertically integrated solutions in defense and commercial markets, supported by strong interest in its proprietary BlackDiamond optics and incremental growth in defense contracts.

Lightpath Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lightpath Technologies shows impressive revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate debt, but operational inefficiencies and liquidity concerns are notable.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Lightpath Technologies has experienced significant revenue growth, particularly in the latest year, with a remarkable increase of over 110,000%. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is moderate but consistent. The substantial negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational inefficiencies or high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is healthy, showing that a significant portion of the company's assets is financed by equity, which is a positive sign of financial stability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Lightpath Technologies is facing challenges with cash flow, as indicated by negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow, but the overall negative cash flow growth and operating cash flow coverage ratio highlight liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.63M37.20B31.73M32.93M35.56M38.46M
Gross Profit9.96M10.13B8.63M11.07M11.81M13.45M
EBITDA-5.12M-11.82B-3.70M-355.00K1.17M1.47M
Net Income-10.15M-14.87B-8.01M-4.05M-3.54M-3.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.42M81.51B48.09M53.54M50.71M54.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.48M4.88B3.48M4.69M5.51M6.77M
Total Debt14.33M10.38B10.36M12.38M14.73M14.23M
Total Liabilities31.30M31.63B17.89M17.58M20.98M21.03M
Stockholders Equity50.12M15.64B30.20M35.95M29.73M33.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.49M-9.59B-1.66M-5.89M-162.49K1.57M
Operating Cash Flow-5.62M-8.33B521.04K-2.81M1.46M4.73M
Investing Cash Flow-21.11M-19.74B-2.67M-2.87M-1.63M-3.16M
Financing Cash Flow30.18M29.30B-1.47M7.46M-636.17K-843.43K

Lightpath Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.90
Price Trends
50DMA
4.63
Positive
100DMA
3.74
Positive
200DMA
3.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
67.90
Neutral
STOCH
68.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPTH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.13, above the 50-day MA of 4.63, and above the 200-day MA of 3.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPTH.

Lightpath Technologies Risk Analysis

Lightpath Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lightpath Technologies reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lightpath Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
152.45M19.8024.42%16.52%50.29%
61
Neutral
$338.90M-64.89%17.26%-70.07%
59
Neutral
141.91M-142.61-0.73%2.41%6.34%-31.68%
54
Neutral
267.65M-4.95-7.93%6.45%-4.91%61.77%
51
Neutral
134.35M-65.83-16.35%-7.12%-11.00%
46
Neutral
109.73M-3.88-889.21%8.95%14.34%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPTH
Lightpath Technologies
7.90
6.53
476.64%
GNSS
Genasys
2.43
-1.13
-31.74%
MEI
Methode Electronics
7.60
-3.66
-32.50%
RELL
Richardson Electronics
9.94
-2.13
-17.65%
LINK
Interlink Electronics
13.62
9.99
275.21%
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc
52.14
10.45
25.07%

Lightpath Technologies Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lightpath Technologies Approves Key Proposals in Stockholder Meeting
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 16, 2025, LightPath Technologies held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were approved. The stockholders approved the issuance of shares of Class A Common Stock related to the acquisition of G5 Infrared, LLC and the conversion of Series G Preferred Stock. Additionally, amendments to the 2018 Stock Incentive Compensation Plan and the adoption of the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan were also approved, indicating strategic moves to enhance employee engagement and expand the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPTH) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lightpath Technologies stock, see the LPTH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025