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LeonaBio (LONA) AI Stock Analysis

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LONA

LeonaBio

(NASDAQ:LONA)

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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:$5.00â–²(1.21% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/13/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, widening losses, and ongoing cash burn). Technicals are mixed but still broadly below key longer-term moving averages with a negative MACD. Corporate events add some support via Phase 3 progress and potential capital from warrant exercises, while valuation metrics are limited due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Low Financial LeverageVery low leverage limits mandatory interest and principal burdens, giving LeonaBio more flexibility while it develops its pipeline. This conservative debt profile can reduce solvency pressure during clinical development, although it does not offset the company’s substantial cash consumption.
Negative Factors
Pre-Revenue BusinessA zero-revenue profile means LeonaBio currently lacks operating income to fund research, development, or corporate expenses. The company must therefore rely on financing or future product success, making its financial outlook highly dependent on clinical and regulatory execution.

LeonaBio (LONA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%LONA+15.42%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$18.85M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
196.74K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
1.21
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
-49.65%
Country
US
Employees
19
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

LeonaBio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LeonaBio, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical firm engaged in clinical-stage development. Its core mission revolves around crafting small molecule therapies aimed at revitalizing neurological function and arresting the advancement of neurodegenerati...

LeonaBio Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financials are weak: the company is pre-revenue (revenue is 0) with sizable and worsening losses (TTM net loss ~141.5M vs ~105.6M in 2025) and consistent cash burn (TTM operating cash flow ~-61.9M). The main offset is low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.02), but equity has declined sharply over time, increasing financing/dilution risk.

Income Statement

8Very Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit-68.56M-68.09M000-479.00K
EBITDA-53.29M-33.21M-95.81M-125.97M-88.01M-54.37M
Net Income-141.46M-105.61M-96.94M-117.67M-95.64M-54.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.89M92.15M58.78M160.25M258.15M332.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.07M88.33M51.27M147.42M200.34M253.76M
Total Debt577.00K803.00K1.22M1.58M1.91M1.92M
Total Liabilities23.30M64.36M13.94M30.06M23.02M10.92M
Stockholders Equity33.59M27.79M44.84M130.19M235.14M321.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-61.93M-45.73M-97.20M-101.06M-73.61M-44.67M
Operating Cash Flow-61.93M-45.73M-97.17M-100.75M-72.47M-43.10M
Investing Cash Flow-8.19M-15.89M54.83M95.09M57.66M-4.08M
Financing Cash Flow82.55M82.46M194.00K493.00K654.00K97.09M

LeonaBio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.94

Price Trends

50DMA6.05Negative
100DMA7.09Negative
200DMA7.51Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.28Negative
RSI43.73Neutral
STOCH32.22Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LONA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.37, below the 50-day MA of 6.05, and below the 200-day MA of 7.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LONA.

LeonaBio Risk Analysis

LeonaBio disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LeonaBio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Failure to comply with anti-bribery and anti-corruption laws and anti-money laundering laws, and similar laws, could subject us to penalties and other adverse consequences.Q2, 2026
2.We are subject to U.S. and certain foreign export and import controls, sanctions, embargoes, data export, and foreign investment laws and regulations. Compliance with these legal standards could impair our ability to compete in domestic and international markets. We can face criminal and/or civil liability and other serious consequences for violations, which can harm our business.Q2, 2026
3.Recent and further changes in the tariff and trade policies of the U.S. or of other countries could increase manufacturing and sourcing costs, decrease demand for our offerings, disrupt supply chains, or otherwise adversely affect our business and financial condition.Q2, 2026

LeonaBio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

LONA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IMRNIMRN53Neutral$9.08M-3.10-31.88%―10.41%42.44%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
CLRBCLRB48Neutral$11.39M-0.26-165.71%――77.68%
LONALONA47Neutral$46.54M-0.14-411.58%――-49.65%
COCPCOCP45Neutral$19.17M-1.24-207.47%――38.55%
BIVIBIVI38Underperform$12.20M-0.45-126.02%――78.51%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%LONACLRBIMRNCOCPBIVIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
LONA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LONALeonabio, Inc.4.940.7618.18%
CLRBCellectar Biosciences Inc1.21-2.09-63.48%
IMRNImmuron0.88-1.12-56.00%
COCPCocrystal Pharma0.99-0.10-8.72%
BIVIBiovie Inc.1.43-0.28-16.37%

LeonaBio Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

LeonaBio Opens Warrant Exercise Window for New Capital

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

In December 2025, LeonaBio, Inc. issued Series A Common Warrants in a private placement, covering an aggregate of 23,031,494 shares of common stock at an exercise price of $6.35 per share, underscoring the company’s continued use of structured...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

LeonaBio Reaches Key Phase 3 Enrollment Milestone

Positive
Aug 26, 2026

On August 26, 2026, LeonaBio reported enrollment of the 500th patient in its Phase 3 ELAINE-3 trial evaluating lasofoxifene with abemaciclib in a hard-to-treat subset of metastatic breast cancer, marking a significant clinical milestone for its lead...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 13, 2026