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Light & Wonder (LNW)
NASDAQ:LNW
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Light & Wonder (LNW) AI Stock Analysis

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LNW

Light & Wonder

(NASDAQ:LNW)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$94.00
▲(7.70% Upside)
Light & Wonder's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings growth and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance is impacted by high leverage and declining revenue growth. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. The absence of a dividend yield and challenges in global game sales also weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Earnings Growth
The increase in revenue and net income highlights the company's ability to grow its top and bottom lines, reflecting strong demand for its products and efficient cost management, which are crucial for long-term sustainability.
iGaming Success
The growth in iGaming revenue underscores the company's successful expansion in digital gaming, aligning with industry trends towards online platforms and providing a robust growth avenue.
SciPlay Market Share and Revenue Growth
Maintaining a strong market share in SciPlay indicates competitive positioning and effective product offerings, which are essential for capturing long-term growth in the digital gaming market.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can pose financial risks, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term financial health.
Decline in Global Game Sales
The decline in global game sales suggests challenges in international markets, which could hinder revenue growth and market expansion efforts if not addressed.
Impact of Sweepstakes Gaming
The rise of unregulated sweepstakes gaming presents competitive pressures and regulatory risks, potentially eroding market share and increasing costs, affecting long-term profitability.

Light & Wonder (LNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Light & Wonder Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLight & Wonder, Inc. develops technology-based products and services, and related content for the gaming, lottery, social and digital gaming industries in the United States and internationally. The company's Gaming segment sells new and used gaming machines, electronic table systems, video lottery terminals, conversion game kits, and spare parts; table products, including shufflers; and perpetual licenses to proprietary table games. It also supplies game content, gaming machines; provides table game products and services to licensed gaming entities; and installs and supports casino management systems, such as ongoing hardware and software maintenance and upgrade services of customer casino management systems. The company's SciPlay segment develops and publishes digital games on mobile and web platforms. It sells virtual coins, chips, or bingo cards, which players can use to play slot games, table games, or bingo games. Its iGaming segment provides a suite of digital gaming content, including digital real-money gaming, distribution platforms, content, products, and services. This segment also offers the Open Platform System, which offers a range of reporting and administrative functions and tools providing operators control over various areas of digital gaming operations. The company also offers software design, development, licensing, maintenance, support services, and technology solutions. Light & Wonder, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyLight & Wonder generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling gaming machines and systems to casinos and gaming operators. The company offers a range of products including slot machines, table games, and interactive gaming solutions, which are sold or leased to clients. Additionally, LNW provides casino management systems that help operators manage gaming operations more efficiently, contributing to recurring revenue through service agreements and software licensing. The company also earns revenue from its digital gaming segment, which includes online gaming platforms and mobile applications. Strategic partnerships with various online gaming operators and platforms further enhance LNW's earnings potential, as they expand the distribution of its digital content. Furthermore, LNW benefits from the growing trend of online and mobile gaming, which has been accelerated by technological advancements and changing consumer preferences.

Light & Wonder Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there was notable revenue and earnings growth, record iGaming revenue, and a successful charitable gaming acquisition, challenges such as a decline in global game sales, operator apprehension, and the impact of sweepstakes gaming on the social casino market were also highlighted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Growth
Revenue for the quarter was $809 million, inclusive of record revenue at iGaming. Net income increased 16% to $95 million, and diluted EPS increased 23% from the prior year period.
iGaming Success
iGaming delivered record revenue of $81 million, a 9% increase over the prior year period, with strong game performance and third-party network expansion. AEBITDA increased 17% to $28 million.
Positive Momentum in Charitable Gaming
Closed Grover Charitable Gaming acquisition, adding over 600 active units. Expected to contribute $65 million to full-year EBITDA and expanding into Indiana this fall.
SciPlay Market Share and Revenue Growth
SciPlay continues to trend above industry average with a market share of approximately 12%. Record revenues of Quick Hit Slots and 88 Fortunes with double-digit growth.
Transition to Sole ASX Listing
Decision to transition to a sole ASX listing by the end of November 2025, expected to unlock shareholder value and align with growth plans.
Negative Updates
Decline in Global Game Sales
Global sales for the quarter saw a decline, particularly in the International segment, due to timing of sales into Asia and new cabinet release in Australia.
Operator Apprehension and Timing Pushouts
North American unit sales were down year-over-year, with some operator apprehension on slot purchases and pushout of timing for units sold into Canada.
Impact of Sweepstakes Gaming
Social casino market performance impacted by the expansion of unregulated sweepstakes casino games, causing top-line erosion and increased marketing costs.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Light & Wonder provided a comprehensive update on their performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported revenue of $809 million for the second quarter of 2025, with net income rising 16% to $95 million. Their consolidated adjusted EBITDA (AEBITDA) stood at $352 million, reflecting a 7% increase year-over-year, and their AEBITDA margin improved by 400 basis points to 44%. The company has upgraded its fiscal year 2025 AEBITDA guidance to a range of $1.43 billion to $1.47 billion, factoring in a $65 million contribution from the Grover acquisition. Light & Wonder also added 845 units to its North American installed base and announced plans to transition to a sole ASX listing by November 2025. The company's share repurchase program was expanded from $1 billion to $1.5 billion, with $550 million executed to date. Additionally, Light & Wonder's direct-to-consumer platform in their SciPlay segment grew to 18% of revenue, and they maintained a strong focus on content and R&D investments to drive long-term growth.

Light & Wonder Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Light & Wonder demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with declining revenue growth and high leverage. While the company effectively generates returns on equity, its financial stability could be impacted by its significant debt levels. Cash flow management is stable, though there is potential for improvement in free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Light & Wonder shows strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin of 71.63% and a net profit margin of 10.92% for the TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 28.1% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in maintaining revenue levels. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 22.93% and 34.81%, respectively, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.96, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the return on equity is strong at 49.57%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, which could be a concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is robust with a coverage ratio of 0.87, but free cash flow has decreased by 8.9% in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, suggesting moderate efficiency in converting net income into free cash flow. Overall, cash flow management appears stable but shows room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.20B3.19B2.90B2.51B2.15B2.72B
Gross Profit2.29B2.26B2.03B1.77B1.54B1.56B
EBITDA1.11B1.09B898.00M591.00M601.00M163.00M
Net Income349.00M336.00M163.00M-176.00M371.00M-569.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.49B5.42B5.55B6.01B7.88B7.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.00M196.00M425.00M914.00M585.00M928.00M
Total Debt4.89B3.92B3.93B3.95B8.75B9.36B
Total Liabilities5.79B4.79B4.79B4.85B9.99B10.51B
Stockholders Equity702.00M636.00M765.00M990.00M-2.26B-2.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.00M338.00M348.00M-597.00M514.00M281.00M
Operating Cash Flow603.00M632.00M590.00M-381.00M685.00M471.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.10B-258.00M-251.00M6.12B-442.00M-173.00M
Financing Cash Flow333.00M-573.00M-292.00M-5.46B-679.00M463.00M

Light & Wonder Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price87.28
Price Trends
50DMA
91.63
Negative
100DMA
90.35
Negative
200DMA
91.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.78
Positive
RSI
43.44
Neutral
STOCH
17.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 87.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.72, below the 50-day MA of 91.63, and below the 200-day MA of 91.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNW.

Light & Wonder Risk Analysis

Light & Wonder disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Light & Wonder reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Light & Wonder Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
6.68B12.8340.43%0.85%6.40%26.09%
68
Neutral
13.47B38.21-86.94%0.77%-1.94%-53.90%
63
Neutral
$7.33B22.0946.91%3.93%19.20%
63
Neutral
9.74B19.7318.14%0.89%-31.56%
58
Neutral
3.74B70.26-3.28%12.22%0.00%
52
Neutral
5.32B-27.63-5.01%-0.15%28.05%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNW
Light & Wonder
87.28
-25.40
-22.54%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
83.30
19.68
30.93%
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment
9.59
3.59
59.83%
MGM
MGM Resorts
35.80
-1.05
-2.85%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
129.52
50.14
63.16%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
25.56
-15.84
-38.26%

Light & Wonder Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues CHESS Depositary Interests Statement
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement is part of the company’s regulatory compliance and does not impact its filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Light & Wonder Announces $1 Billion Notes Pricing
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced the pricing of $1 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2033 by its subsidiary, Light and Wonder International, Inc. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay existing borrowings, redeem outstanding notes due 2028, and for general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Light & Wonder Announces $1 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced a proposed private offering of $1 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2033 through its subsidiary, Light and Wonder International, Inc. The proceeds are intended to repay existing borrowings, redeem $700 million of outstanding notes due 2028, and for general corporate purposes. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial structure by refinancing debt and potentially enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement is part of their regulatory compliance and does not impact the company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025