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Light & Wonder Inc. (LNW)
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Light & Wonder (LNW) AI Stock Analysis

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LNW

Light & Wonder

(NASDAQ:LNW)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$79.00
▲(10.63% Upside)
Light & Wonder's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and high leverage poses a financial risk. The stock's valuation is reasonable, but the absence of a dividend yield may deter some investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth, particularly in the iGaming segment, indicates robust demand and successful product offerings, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Initiatives
Transitioning to a sole ASX listing aligns with strategic growth plans and may enhance shareholder value by focusing on a market more aligned with the company's operations.
iGaming Success
Record iGaming revenue growth reflects strong market positioning and product appeal, crucial for capturing the expanding digital gaming market.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decline in Global Game Sales
Declining global game sales, especially in key markets, could indicate challenges in product competitiveness and market penetration, affecting future revenue.
Impact of Sweepstakes Gaming
The rise of unregulated sweepstakes gaming poses a competitive threat, potentially eroding market share and increasing marketing costs to maintain user engagement.

Light & Wonder (LNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Light & Wonder Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLight & Wonder (LNW) is a global leader in the gaming and entertainment industry, specializing in digital gaming solutions and casino management systems. The company operates across various sectors, including gaming machines, table games, and digital gaming, offering innovative products and services that enhance player experiences and optimize casino operations. LNW focuses on delivering cutting-edge technology and engaging content to both land-based and online gaming markets, positioning itself as a key player in the evolving landscape of the gaming industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyLight & Wonder generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling gaming machines and systems to casinos and gaming operators. The company offers a range of products including slot machines, table games, and interactive gaming solutions, which are sold or leased to clients. Additionally, LNW provides casino management systems that help operators manage gaming operations more efficiently, contributing to recurring revenue through service agreements and software licensing. The company also earns revenue from its digital gaming segment, which includes online gaming platforms and mobile applications. Strategic partnerships with various online gaming operators and platforms further enhance LNW's earnings potential, as they expand the distribution of its digital content. Furthermore, LNW benefits from the growing trend of online and mobile gaming, which has been accelerated by technological advancements and changing consumer preferences.

Light & Wonder Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there was notable revenue and earnings growth, record iGaming revenue, and a successful charitable gaming acquisition, challenges such as a decline in global game sales, operator apprehension, and the impact of sweepstakes gaming on the social casino market were also highlighted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Growth
Revenue for the quarter was $809 million, inclusive of record revenue at iGaming. Net income increased 16% to $95 million, and diluted EPS increased 23% from the prior year period.
iGaming Success
iGaming delivered record revenue of $81 million, a 9% increase over the prior year period, with strong game performance and third-party network expansion. AEBITDA increased 17% to $28 million.
Positive Momentum in Charitable Gaming
Closed Grover Charitable Gaming acquisition, adding over 600 active units. Expected to contribute $65 million to full-year EBITDA and expanding into Indiana this fall.
SciPlay Market Share and Revenue Growth
SciPlay continues to trend above industry average with a market share of approximately 12%. Record revenues of Quick Hit Slots and 88 Fortunes with double-digit growth.
Transition to Sole ASX Listing
Decision to transition to a sole ASX listing by the end of November 2025, expected to unlock shareholder value and align with growth plans.
Negative Updates
Decline in Global Game Sales
Global sales for the quarter saw a decline, particularly in the International segment, due to timing of sales into Asia and new cabinet release in Australia.
Operator Apprehension and Timing Pushouts
North American unit sales were down year-over-year, with some operator apprehension on slot purchases and pushout of timing for units sold into Canada.
Impact of Sweepstakes Gaming
Social casino market performance impacted by the expansion of unregulated sweepstakes casino games, causing top-line erosion and increased marketing costs.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Light & Wonder provided a comprehensive update on their performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported revenue of $809 million for the second quarter of 2025, with net income rising 16% to $95 million. Their consolidated adjusted EBITDA (AEBITDA) stood at $352 million, reflecting a 7% increase year-over-year, and their AEBITDA margin improved by 400 basis points to 44%. The company has upgraded its fiscal year 2025 AEBITDA guidance to a range of $1.43 billion to $1.47 billion, factoring in a $65 million contribution from the Grover acquisition. Light & Wonder also added 845 units to its North American installed base and announced plans to transition to a sole ASX listing by November 2025. The company's share repurchase program was expanded from $1 billion to $1.5 billion, with $550 million executed to date. Additionally, Light & Wonder's direct-to-consumer platform in their SciPlay segment grew to 18% of revenue, and they maintained a strong focus on content and R&D investments to drive long-term growth.

Light & Wonder Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Light & Wonder demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with declining revenue growth and high leverage. While the company effectively generates returns on equity, its financial stability could be impacted by its significant debt levels. Cash flow management is stable, though there is potential for improvement in free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Light & Wonder shows strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin of 71.63% and a net profit margin of 10.92% for the TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 28.1% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in maintaining revenue levels. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 22.93% and 34.81%, respectively, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.96, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the return on equity is strong at 49.57%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, which could be a concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is robust with a coverage ratio of 0.87, but free cash flow has decreased by 8.9% in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, suggesting moderate efficiency in converting net income into free cash flow. Overall, cash flow management appears stable but shows room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.20B3.19B2.90B2.51B2.15B2.72B
Gross Profit2.29B2.26B2.03B1.77B1.54B1.56B
EBITDA1.11B1.09B898.00M591.00M601.00M163.00M
Net Income349.00M336.00M163.00M-176.00M371.00M-569.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.49B5.42B5.55B6.01B7.88B7.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.00M196.00M425.00M914.00M585.00M928.00M
Total Debt4.89B3.92B3.93B3.95B8.75B9.36B
Total Liabilities5.79B4.79B4.79B4.85B9.99B10.51B
Stockholders Equity702.00M636.00M765.00M990.00M-2.26B-2.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.00M338.00M348.00M-597.00M514.00M281.00M
Operating Cash Flow603.00M632.00M590.00M-381.00M685.00M471.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.10B-258.00M-251.00M6.12B-442.00M-173.00M
Financing Cash Flow333.00M-573.00M-292.00M-5.46B-679.00M463.00M

Light & Wonder Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price71.41
Price Trends
50DMA
83.74
Negative
100DMA
88.18
Negative
200DMA
89.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.10
Positive
RSI
30.21
Neutral
STOCH
14.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 71.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.95, below the 50-day MA of 83.74, and below the 200-day MA of 89.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNW.

Light & Wonder Risk Analysis

Light & Wonder disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Light & Wonder reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Light & Wonder Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$6.24B3.400.91%5.91%336.91%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$6.10B18.4046.91%3.93%19.20%
$8.76B201.072.25%0.89%-31.56%
$12.45B35.660.84%-1.94%-53.90%
$4.10B-6.06%0.87%31.28%
$3.20B60.0712.22%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNW
Light & Wonder
72.70
-21.66
-22.95%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
77.87
10.21
15.09%
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment
8.20
1.63
24.81%
MGM
MGM Resorts
32.03
-4.37
-12.01%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
118.99
24.32
25.69%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
20.10
-19.55
-49.31%

Light & Wonder Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Light & Wonder Plans Nasdaq Delisting for ASX Listing
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced its plan to delist from the Nasdaq Stock Market and transition to a sole primary listing on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective November 13, 2025. This strategic move aims to align the company’s capital markets presence with its long-term growth plans and consolidate trading liquidity on the ASX, which has a strong understanding of the gaming sector. The transition will impact existing Nasdaq shareholders, who will need to convert their shares into CHESS Depositary Interests (CDIs) to trade on the ASX or opt for alternative trading options.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues CHESS Depositary Statement
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement, detailed in their Current Report on Form 8-K, is informational and not subject to liabilities under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues CHESS Depositary Interests Statement
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement is part of the company’s regulatory compliance and does not impact its filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Light & Wonder Announces $1 Billion Notes Pricing
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced the pricing of $1 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2033 by its subsidiary, Light and Wonder International, Inc. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay existing borrowings, redeem outstanding notes due 2028, and for general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Light & Wonder Announces $1 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced a proposed private offering of $1 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2033 through its subsidiary, Light and Wonder International, Inc. The proceeds are intended to repay existing borrowings, redeem $700 million of outstanding notes due 2028, and for general corporate purposes. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial structure by refinancing debt and potentially enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement is part of their regulatory compliance and does not impact the company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Light & Wonder Inc. Shines in Earnings Call
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for Light & Wonder Inc. painted a picture of robust performance and strategic advancements, despite some challenges. The sentiment was largely positive, driven by strong gaming operations, successful integration of the Grover acquisition, and growth in SciPlay and iGaming. However, the company acknowledged hurdles such as a decline in global game sales, impacts on the social casino market, ongoing litigation, and macroeconomic uncertainties. The strategic transition to a sole ASX listing was highlighted as a move to enhance shareholder value.

Light & Wonder Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 7, 2025

Light & Wonder, Inc. is a leading global games company specializing in cross-platform gaming experiences, known for its strong market presence in gaming, SciPlay, and iGaming sectors. In its second quarter of 2025, Light & Wonder reported a slight decrease in consolidated revenue to $809 million, while net income increased by 16% to $95 million, showcasing strong game performance and disciplined investment strategies. The company completed the acquisition of Grover Gaming, adding over 600 units since the announcement, and continued to expand its North American premium installed base. Key financial highlights include a 7% increase in Consolidated AEBITDA to $352 million and a 4% increase in Adjusted NPATA to $135 million. The company also announced a strategic shift to a sole primary listing on the ASX, with plans to delist from Nasdaq by November 2025, reflecting a focus on aligning its capital markets presence with long-term growth plans. Looking ahead, Light & Wonder remains committed to its long-term financial targets and value creation, with a strong emphasis on R&D investment and strategic capital management.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Light & Wonder to Delist from Nasdaq by November
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Light & Wonder‘s Board of Directors approved transitioning from a dual listing on Nasdaq and ASX to a sole primary listing on the ASX, expecting to delist from Nasdaq by November 2025. This strategic move aligns with their long-term growth plans and shareholder interests. The company reported strong second-quarter results for 2025, with a 16% increase in net income and a 7% rise in consolidated AEBITDA, despite a slight revenue decrease. Light & Wonder completed the Grover acquisition, adding over 600 units since February 2025, and returned $266 million to shareholders through share repurchases in the first half of 2025. The company also increased its share repurchase program from $1.0 billion to $1.5 billion, reflecting confidence in its financial outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025