BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) Risk Analysis

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has significantly disrupted supply chains and international trade. Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union and other countries and supra-national entities have imposed comprehensive economic sanctions against Russia, including financial measures such as freezing Russia's central bank assets and limiting its ability to access its U.S. dollar reserves. The United States, the United Kingdom and the European Union have also banned businesses from dealing with the Russian central bank, its finance ministry and its sovereign wealth fund. Certain Russian banks have also been removed from the Swift bank messaging system, which enables the transfer of money across borders. The United States, the United Kingdom and the European Union continue to impost or consider the imposition of additional sanctions on Russian entities and individuals, including major Russian companies and the Russian state. The United States, the United Kingdom and the European Union have also imposed sanctions on individuals with close ties to the Russian government, including their family members and close associates, as well as on the assets held by them worldwide. The effects of the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine on the Russian and global economy remains uncertain. However, they have resulted in significant volatility in financial markets, as well as an increase in energy and commodity prices globally. As a result, in particular, the availability and price of fertilizers for the 2024/2025 harvest year is subject to significant uncertainty in Brazil and the other countries in which we operate. From a supply point of view, Brazil and the other countries in which we operate are highly dependent on imports of fertilizers from Russia and other neighboring countries. In addition, fertilizer prices, which had already risen before the conflict, have continued to rise and have led producers to delay purchase negotiations. As a result of such supply risks, we believe that there may be shortages of some types of fertilizers (mainly of potash-based products). We may also be unsuccessful in finding alternative direct imports from non-sanctioned regions or in increasing our prices to reflect increased supply costs in the future. Failure to obtain fertilizer on favorable terms, or at all, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. The war in Ukraine has led to significant disruptions in global agriculture, and in the energy and fertilizer markets, causing price volatility and supply chain challenges. Similarly, the conflict between Israel and Hamas, and related conflicts in the Middle East, have the potential to affect global grain and fertilizer prices, further exacerbating the cost pressures on our operations. In addition, the increase of fuel and fertilizer prices, as well as logistical costs resulting from these conflicts, may have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. On October 7, 2023, the military-winged Islamic organization called Hamas infiltrated Israel's Southern border from the Gaza Strip and carried out a series of attacks against civilian and military targets, including firing rockets toward Israeli cities. Shortly following the attack, Israel's security cabinet declared war against Hamas. The intensity and duration of Israel's current war against Hamas is difficult to predict, as well as such war's economic implications on the Company's business and operations and on the global geopolitical scale. Any deterioration in credit markets resulting directly or indirectly from the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine or the the conflict between Hamas and Israel, and related conflicts in the Middle East, could limit our ability to obtain external financing to fund our operations and capital expenditures. As a result, a downturn in the worldwide economy resulting from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the conflict between Hamas and Israel, the related conflicts in the Middle East, and other conflicts with a global impact that may arise from time to time could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. Geopolitical tensions in petroleum-producing countries may also affect the global supply of oil and lead to increased prices. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the conflict between Israel and Hamas, and the related conflicts in the Middle East, led to a spike in oil and energy prices. Although this positively impacted ethanol demand and prices, we cannot assure you that such geopolitical tensions will not adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.

In addition to Brazil, we conduct operations in Paraguay and Bolivia or intend to conduct operations in other Latin American countries. Economic and political developments in the countries in which we operate or intend to, including future economic changes or crises (such as inflation or recession), government deadlock, political instability, terrorism, civil strife, changes in laws and regulations, expropriation or nationalization of property, and exchange controls could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Fluctuations in the economies of Brazil and actions adopted by the governments of Brazil and the countries in which we operate have had and may continue to have a significant impact on companies operating in those countries, including us. We may continue to be affected by inflation, increased interest rates, fluctuations in the value of the Brazilian real against foreign currencies, price and foreign exchange controls, regulatory policies, business and tax regulations. Although economic conditions in one country may differ significantly from another country, we cannot assure that events in one only country will not adversely affect our business or the market value of, or market for, our common shares.

We may be adversely affected by the following factors, as well as the Brazilian federal government's response to these factors: - economic and social instability;- increase in interest rates;- exchange controls and restrictions on remittances abroad;- restrictions and taxes on agricultural exports;- exchange rate fluctuations;- inflation;- volatility and liquidity in domestic capital and credit markets;- expansion or contraction of the Brazilian economy, as measured by GDP growth rates;- government policies related to our sector; and - fiscal or monetary policy and amendments to tax legislation; and other political, diplomatic, social or economic developments in or affecting Brazil. Historically, the Brazilian government has frequently intervened in the Brazilian economy and has occasionally made significant changes in economic policies and regulations, including, among others, the enactment of new tax laws, changes in monetary, fiscal and tax policies, currency devaluations, capital controls and limits on imports. The Brazilian economy has experienced varying growth rates and slowdowns in recent years. The Brazilian GDP increased 2.5% in 2023, 3.4% in 2024 and 2.9% in the first six months of 2025. Inflation and interest rates have increased in recent years, and the Brazilian real has weakened significantly in relation to the U.S. dollar. Adverse economic conditions in Brazil may materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Brazil's political environment has historically influenced, and continues to influence, the performance of the country's economy. Political crises have affected and continue to affect the confidence of investors and the general public, which have historically resulted in economic deceleration and heightened volatility in the securities issued by Brazilian companies. Furthermore, Brazil's federal budget has been in deficit since 2014. Similarly, the governments of Brazil's constituent states are also facing fiscal concerns due to their high debt burdens, declining revenues and inflexible expenditures. While the Brazilian Congress has approved a ceiling on government spending that will limit primary public expenditure growth to the prior year's inflation for a period of at least 10 years, local and foreign investors believe that fiscal reforms, and in particular the reform of Brazil's pension system, which was approved in 2019 by the Brazilian Congress, will be critical for Brazil to comply with the spending limit. As of the date of this annual report, discussions in the Brazilian Congress relating to fiscal reform remain ongoing. Diminished confidence in the Brazilian government's budgetary condition and fiscal stance could result in downgrades of Brazil's sovereign debt by credit rating agencies, negatively impact Brazil's economy, lead to further depreciation of the real and an increase in inflation and interest rates, thus adversely affecting our business, results of operations and financial condition. Uncertainty about the Brazilian government's implementation of changes in policies or regulations that affect such implementation may contribute to economic instability in Brazil and increase the volatility of securities issued abroad by Brazilian companies, including our securities. Any of the above factors may create additional political uncertainty, adversely affect the Brazilian economy, our business, financial condition, results of operations and the market price of our shares and ADSs.

Brazil has in the past experienced significantly high rates of inflation. As a result, the Brazilian government adopted monetary policies that resulted in Brazilian interest rates being among the highest in the world. The Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (Comitê de Política Monetária do Banco Central), or COPOM, establishes an official interest rate target for the Brazilian financial system based on the level of economic growth, inflation rate and other economic indicators in Brazil. The SELIC rate has increased and decreased over time and, as of June 30, 2025, it was 15% per year. The inflation rate, as measured by the General Market Price Index (Índice Geral de Preços–Mercado), or IGP-M, and calculated by Fundação Getúlio Vargas, or FGV, was 3.18% in 2023 and 6.54% in 2024. Cumulative inflation in the first six months of 2025, calculated by the same index, was 2.96%. The inflation rate, as measured by the Extended National Consumer Price Index (Índice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo), or IPCA, and calculated by Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatistica, or IBGE, was 4.62% in 2023 and 4.83% in 2024. Cumulative inflation in the first six months of 2025, calculated by the same index, was 2.99%. Inflation and the government measures to fight inflation have had and may continue to have significant effects on the Brazilian economy and our business. In addition, the Brazilian government's measures to control inflation have often included maintaining a tight monetary policy with high interest rates, thereby restricting the availability of credit and slowing economic growth. On the other hand, an easing of monetary policies of the Brazilian government may trigger increases in inflation. In the event of an increase in inflation, we may not be able to adjust our daily rates to offset the effects of inflation on our cost structure, which may materially and adversely affect us. An increase in interest rates may have a significant adverse effect on us. In addition, as of June 30, 2025, certain of our loans were subject to interest rate fluctuations, such as the interbank deposit rate (Certificados de Depósitos Interbancários), or CDI. In the event of an abrupt increase in interest rates, our ability to comply with our financial obligations may be materially and adversely affected.