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Kazia Therapeutics (KZIA) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2024
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2024, filed Nov 15, 2024
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1The Company's failure to meet the continued listing requirements of Nasdaq could result in a delisting of the ADSs, which could negatively impact the market price and liquidity of the Company's securities and its ability to access the capital markets.
The ADSs are listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market. If the Company fails to satisfy the continued listing requirements of Nasdaq, such as the corporate governance requirements or the minimum closing bid price requirement, Nasdaq may take steps to delist the ADSs. Such a delisting would have a negative effect on the price of the Company's securities, impair the ability to sell or purchase our common stock when persons wish to do so, and any delisting materially adversely affect the Company's ability to raise capital or pursue strategic restructuring, refinancing or other transactions on acceptable terms, or at all. Delisting from the Nasdaq Capital Market could also have other negative results, including the potential loss of institutional investor interest and fewer business development opportunities. In the event of a delisting, the Company would attempt to take actions to restore its compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements, but the Company can provide no assurance that any such action taken by it would allow the ADSs to become listed again, stabilize the market price or improve the liquidity of the ADSs, prevent the ADSs from dropping below the Nasdaq minimum bid price requirement or prevent future non-compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements. On 20 November, 2023, the Company received a notice from the Nasdaq Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC ("Nasdaq") informing the Company that because the closing bid price of the ADSs had been below US$1.00 per share for 30 consecutive business days, the Company no longer complied with the minimum bid price requirement for continued listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market. Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2) (the "Rule") requires listed securities to maintain a minimum bid price of US$1.00 per share, and Listing Rule 5810(c)(3)(A) provides that a failure to meet the minimum bid price requirement exists if the deficiency continues for a period of 30 consecutive business days. The notice had no immediate effect on the listing or the trading of the ADSs on The Nasdaq Capital Market. Pursuant to Nasdaq Marketplace Rule 5810(c)(3)(A), the notice letter stated that the Company had an initial compliance period of 180 calendar days, or until May 20, 2024, to regain compliance with the minimum bid price requirement. On 22 May, 2024, the Company received a letter from Nasdaq notifying the Company that, while the Company has not regained compliance with the Minimum Bid Price Requirement, Nasdaq has determined that the Company is eligible for an additional 180 calendar day period, or until 18 November, 2024 (the "Second Compliance Period"), to regain compliance with the minimum bid price requirement. If at any time during the Second Compliance Period the closing bid price of the Company's security is at least $1.00 per share for a minimum of 10 consecutive business days, Nasdaq will provide written confirmation of compliance. Nasdaq's determination was based on the Company meeting the continued listing requirement for market value of publicly held shares and all other applicable requirements for initial listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market, with the exception of the minimum bid price requirement, and the Company's written notice to Nasdaq of its intention to cure the deficiency during the Second Compliance Period and, if necessary, by effecting a ratio change of the ADSs. There can be no assurance that the Company will regain compliance with the Minimum Bid Price Requirement during the Second Compliance Period. On 15 October 2024, Kazia announced that it planned to effect an ADS ratio change to change the ratio of ADSs to ordinary shares from one ADS to ten ordinary shares to the new ratio of one ADS to one-hundred ordinary shares. The ADS ratio change will have the same effect as a one-for-ten reverse ADS split for Kazia's ADS holders. There will be no change to Kazia's underlying ordinary shares, and no ordinary shares will be issued or cancelled in connection with the ADS ratio change. The ADS ratio change became effective on 28 October 2024.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2The trading price of the ADSs is highly volatile. Your investment could decline in value and the Company may incur significant costs from class action litigations.
The trading price of the ADSs is highly volatile in response to various factors, many of which are beyond the Company's control, including: - unacceptable toxicity findings in animals and humans;- lack of efficacy in human trials at Phase II stage or beyond;- announcements of technological innovations by the Company and its competitors;- new products introduced or announced by the Company or its competitors;- changes in financial estimates by securities analysts;- actual or anticipated variations in operating results;- expiration or termination of licenses, research contracts or other collaboration agreements;- conditions or trends in the regulatory climate in the biotechnology, pharmaceutical and genomics industries;- changes in the market values of similar companies;- changes in the broader macroeconomic environment;- the liquidity of any market for the Company's securities; and - additional sales by the Company of its shares. In addition, equity markets in general and the market for biotechnology and life sciences companies in particular, have experienced substantial price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of the companies traded in those markets. Further changes in economic conditions in Australia, the U.S., EU, or globally, could impact the Company's ability to grow profitably. Adverse economic changes are outside the Company's control and may result in material adverse effects on the Company's business or results of operations. These broad market and industry factors may materially affect the market price of the Company's the ADSs regardless of its development and operating performance. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company's securities, securities class action litigation has often been instituted against that company. Such litigation, if instituted against the Company, could cause it to incur substantial costs and divert management's attention and resources. If the market price of the ADSs falls and remains below US$5.00 per share, under stock exchange rules, the Company's stockholders will not be able to use such ADSs as collateral for borrowing in margin accounts. This inability to use ADSs as collateral may depress demand as certain institutional investors are restricted from investing in securities priced below US$5.00 and may lead to sales of such ADSs, creating downward pressure on and increased volatility in the market price of the Company's ordinary shares and ADSs.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3The delisting of the Company's ordinary shares on the ASX may adversely affect the price, liquidity and value of the ADSs.
On 11 October 2023, the Company announced its intention to delist from the Australian Securities Exchange (the "ASX"), which became effective on 15 November 2023. Upon completion of the delisting, the Company's ordinary shares were no longer quoted or traded on the ASX and only the ADSs are listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market, and as a result, shareholders were no longer able to trade their ordinary shares on the ASX. Following the completion of the delisting, the Company's ordinary shares are only capable of being traded on Nasdaq in the form of ADSs, which will require shareholders to transfer their ordinary shares to ADSs to trade on Nasdaq and engage a suitably qualified Australian broker or a U.S. based broker who is able to trade on Nasdaq, or by off-market, private transactions, which will require shareholders to identify and agree terms with potential purchasers of ordinary shares. In addition, following the completion of the delisting, the Company will no longer be subject to the ASX Listing Rules. The Company cannot predict the effect of the proposed delisting on the value of the ADSs, however the delisting may restrict the liquidity of these securities by providing only one market on which to trade the Company's securities, which may impair the development or liquidity of an active trading market for the ADSs in the U.S.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4You are reliant on the depository to exercise your voting rights and to receive distributions on ADSs and, as a result, you may be unable to exercise your voting rights on a timely basis or you may not receive certain distributions.
In certain circumstances, holders of ADSs may have limited rights relative to holders of ordinary shares. The rights of holders of ADSs with respect to the voting of ordinary shares and the right to receive certain distributions may be limited in certain respects by the deposit agreement entered into by us and The Bank of New York Mellon. For example, although ADS holders are entitled under the deposit agreement, subject to any applicable provisions of Australian law and of our Constitution, to instruct the depositary as to the exercise of the voting rights pertaining to the ordinary shares represented by the ADSs, and the depositary has agreed that it will try, as far as practical, to vote the ordinary shares so represented in accordance with such instructions, ADS holders may not receive notices sent by the depositary in time to ensure that the depositary will vote the ordinary shares. This means that, from a practical point of view, the holders of ADSs may not be able to exercise their right to vote. Holders of ADSs in respect of which no timely voting instructions have been received shall be deemed to have instructed the depositary to give a discretionary proxy to a person designated by us to vote the ordinary shares represented by such holders' ADSs; provided, however, that no such discretionary proxy shall be given with respect to any matter to be voted upon as to which we inform the depositary that (i) we do not wish such proxy to be given, (ii) substantial opposition exists, or (iii) the rights of holders of ordinary shares may be materially and adversely affected. In addition, under the deposit agreement, the depositary has the right to restrict distributions to holders of the ADSs in the event that it is unlawful or impractical to make such distributions. We have no obligation to take any action to permit distributions to holders of our ADSs. As a result, holders of ADSs may not receive distributions.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2024
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 37
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Australian takeover laws may discourage takeover offers being made for us or may discourage the acquisition of a significant position in our ordinary shares and ADSs.
We are incorporated in Australia and are subject to the takeover laws of Australia. Among other things, we are subject to the Corporations Act. Subject to a range of exceptions, the Corporations Act prohibits the acquisition of a direct or indirect interest in our issued voting shares if the acquisition of that interest will lead to a person's voting power in us increasing to more than 20%, or increasing from a starting point that is above 20% and below 90%. Australian takeover laws may discourage takeover offers being made for us or may discourage the acquisition of a significant position in our ordinary shares. This may have the ancillary effect of entrenching our board of directors and may deprive or limit our shareholders' and ADS holders' opportunity to sell their ordinary shares and ADSs and may further restrict the ability of our shareholders and ADS holders to obtain a premium from such transactions. See Item 10.B "Additional Information - Our Constitution."
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2We may lose our foreign private issuer status, which would then require us to comply with the Exchange Act's domestic reporting regime and cause us to incur significant legal, accounting and other expenses.
We are a foreign private issuer. In order to maintain our current status as a foreign private issuer, at least 50% of our outstanding ordinary shares must continue to be either directly or indirectly owned of record by non-residents of the United States. If more than 50% of our outstanding ordinary shares are instead held by U.S. residents, then in order to continue to maintain our foreign private issuer status, (i) a majority of our executive officers or directors must not be U.S. citizens or residents, (ii) more than 50% of our assets must not be located in the United States, and (iii) our business must be administered principally outside the United States. Losing our status as a foreign private issuer would require us to comply with all of the periodic disclosure and current reporting requirements of the Exchange Act applicable to U.S. domestic issuers. We also will be required to make changes in our corporate governance practices in accordance with various SEC and Nasdaq rules. The regulatory and compliance costs to us under U.S. securities laws, if we are required to comply with the reporting requirements applicable to a U.S. domestic issuer, would be significantly higher than the cost we would incur as a foreign private issuer. As a result, we would expect that a loss of foreign private issuer status will increase our legal and financial compliance costs and will make some activities highly time consuming and costly. We also expect that if we will be required to comply with the rules and regulations applicable to U.S. domestic issuers, it will make it more difficult and expensive for us to obtain director and officer liability insurance; we may therefore be required to accept reduced coverage or incur substantially higher costs to obtain coverage. These rules and regulations could also make it more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified members of our board of directors.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Enforceability of civil liabilities under the federal securities laws against the Company or the Company's officers and directors may be difficult.
The Company is a public company limited by shares and is registered and operates under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) ("Corporation Act"). Half of the Company's directors and officers reside outside of the United States. In addition, a substantial portion of the directly owned assets of the Company are located outside of the United States. As a result, it may be difficult or impossible for investors to effect service of process within the United States against the Company or its directors and officers or to enforce against them any of the judgments, including those obtained in original actions or in actions to enforce judgments of the U.S. courts, predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the federal or state securities laws of the United States. There is doubt as to the enforceability in the Commonwealth of Australia, in original actions or in actions for enforcement of judgments of U.S. courts, of civil liabilities predicated solely upon federal or state securities laws of the U.S., especially in the case of enforcement of judgments of U.S. courts where the defendant has not been properly served in Australia.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4ChangedThe Company's failure to meet the continued listing requirements of Nasdaq could result in a delisting of the ADSs, which could negatively impact the market price and liquidity of the Company's securities and its ability to access the capital markets.
The ADSs are listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market. If the Company fails to satisfy the continued listing requirements of Nasdaq, such as the corporate governance requirements or the minimum closing bid price requirement, Nasdaq may take steps to delist the ADSs. Such a delisting would have a negative effect on the price of the Company's securities, impair the ability to sell or purchase our common stock when persons wish to do so, and any delisting materially adversely affect the Company's ability to raise capital or pursue strategic restructuring, refinancing or other transactions on acceptable terms, or at all. Delisting from the Nasdaq Capital Market could also have other negative results, including the potential loss of institutional investor interest and fewer business development opportunities. In the event of a delisting, the Company would attempt to take actions to restore its compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements, but the Company can provide no assurance that any such action taken by it would allow the ADSs to become listed again, stabilize the market price or improve the liquidity of the ADSs, prevent the ADSs from dropping below the Nasdaq minimum bid price requirement or prevent future non-compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements. On 20 November, 2023, the Company received a notice from the Nasdaq Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC ("Nasdaq") informing the Company that because the closing bid price of the ADSs had been below US$1.00 per share for 30 consecutive business days, the Company no longer complied with the minimum bid price requirement for continued listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market. Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2) (the "Rule") requires listed securities to maintain a minimum bid price of US$1.00 per share, and Listing Rule 5810(c)(3)(A) provides that a failure to meet the minimum bid price requirement exists if the deficiency continues for a period of 30 consecutive business days. The notice had no immediate effect on the listing or the trading of the ADSs on The Nasdaq Capital Market. Pursuant to Nasdaq Marketplace Rule 5810(c)(3)(A), the notice letter stated that the Company had an initial compliance period of 180 calendar days, or until May 20, 2024, to regain compliance with the minimum bid price requirement. On 22 May, 2024, the Company received a letter from Nasdaq notifying the Company that, while the Company has not regained compliance with the Minimum Bid Price Requirement, Nasdaq has determined that the Company is eligible for an additional 180 calendar day period, or until 18 November, 2024 (the "Second Compliance Period"), to regain compliance with the minimum bid price requirement. If at any time during the Second Compliance Period the closing bid price of the Company's security is at least $1.00 per share for a minimum of 10 consecutive business days, Nasdaq will provide written confirmation of compliance. Nasdaq's determination was based on the Company meeting the continued listing requirement for market value of publicly held shares and all other applicable requirements for initial listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market, with the exception of the minimum bid price requirement, and the Company's written notice to Nasdaq of its intention to cure the deficiency during the Second Compliance Period and, if necessary, by effecting a ratio change of the ADSs. There can be no assurance that the Company will regain compliance with the Minimum Bid Price Requirement during the Second Compliance Period. On 15 October 2024, Kazia announced that it planned to effect an ADS ratio change to change the ratio of ADSs to ordinary shares from one ADS to ten ordinary shares to the new ratio of one ADS to one-hundred ordinary shares. The ADS ratio change will have the same effect as a one-for-ten reverse ADS split for Kazia's ADS holders. There will be no change to Kazia's underlying ordinary shares, and no ordinary shares will be issued or cancelled in connection with the ADS ratio change. The ADS ratio change became effective on 28 October 2024.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5ChangedThe trading price of the ADSs is highly volatile. Your investment could decline in value and the Company may incur significant costs from class action litigations.
The trading price of the ADSs is highly volatile in response to various factors, many of which are beyond the Company's control, including: - unacceptable toxicity findings in animals and humans;- lack of efficacy in human trials at Phase II stage or beyond;- announcements of technological innovations by the Company and its competitors;- new products introduced or announced by the Company or its competitors;- changes in financial estimates by securities analysts;- actual or anticipated variations in operating results;- expiration or termination of licenses, research contracts or other collaboration agreements;- conditions or trends in the regulatory climate in the biotechnology, pharmaceutical and genomics industries;- changes in the market values of similar companies;- changes in the broader macroeconomic environment;- the liquidity of any market for the Company's securities; and - additional sales by the Company of its shares. In addition, equity markets in general and the market for biotechnology and life sciences companies in particular, have experienced substantial price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of the companies traded in those markets. Further changes in economic conditions in Australia, the U.S., EU, or globally, could impact the Company's ability to grow profitably. Adverse economic changes are outside the Company's control and may result in material adverse effects on the Company's business or results of operations. These broad market and industry factors may materially affect the market price of the Company's the ADSs regardless of its development and operating performance. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company's securities, securities class action litigation has often been instituted against that company. Such litigation, if instituted against the Company, could cause it to incur substantial costs and divert management's attention and resources. If the market price of the ADSs falls and remains below US$5.00 per share, under stock exchange rules, the Company's stockholders will not be able to use such ADSs as collateral for borrowing in margin accounts. This inability to use ADSs as collateral may depress demand as certain institutional investors are restricted from investing in securities priced below US$5.00 and may lead to sales of such ADSs, creating downward pressure on and increased volatility in the market price of the Company's ordinary shares and ADSs.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6ChangedThe delisting of the Company's ordinary shares on the ASX may adversely affect the price, liquidity and value of the ADSs.
On 11 October 2023, the Company announced its intention to delist from the Australian Securities Exchange (the "ASX"), which became effective on 15 November 2023. Upon completion of the delisting, the Company's ordinary shares were no longer quoted or traded on the ASX and only the ADSs are listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market, and as a result, shareholders were no longer able to trade their ordinary shares on the ASX. Following the completion of the delisting, the Company's ordinary shares are only capable of being traded on Nasdaq in the form of ADSs, which will require shareholders to transfer their ordinary shares to ADSs to trade on Nasdaq and engage a suitably qualified Australian broker or a U.S. based broker who is able to trade on Nasdaq, or by off-market, private transactions, which will require shareholders to identify and agree terms with potential purchasers of ordinary shares. In addition, following the completion of the delisting, the Company will no longer be subject to the ASX Listing Rules. The Company cannot predict the effect of the proposed delisting on the value of the ADSs, however the delisting may restrict the liquidity of these securities by providing only one market on which to trade the Company's securities, which may impair the development or liquidity of an active trading market for the ADSs in the U.S.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7ChangedYou are reliant on the depository to exercise your voting rights and to receive distributions on ADSs and, as a result, you may be unable to exercise your voting rights on a timely basis or you may not receive certain distributions.
In certain circumstances, holders of ADSs may have limited rights relative to holders of ordinary shares. The rights of holders of ADSs with respect to the voting of ordinary shares and the right to receive certain distributions may be limited in certain respects by the deposit agreement entered into by us and The Bank of New York Mellon. For example, although ADS holders are entitled under the deposit agreement, subject to any applicable provisions of Australian law and of our Constitution, to instruct the depositary as to the exercise of the voting rights pertaining to the ordinary shares represented by the ADSs, and the depositary has agreed that it will try, as far as practical, to vote the ordinary shares so represented in accordance with such instructions, ADS holders may not receive notices sent by the depositary in time to ensure that the depositary will vote the ordinary shares. This means that, from a practical point of view, the holders of ADSs may not be able to exercise their right to vote. Holders of ADSs in respect of which no timely voting instructions have been received shall be deemed to have instructed the depositary to give a discretionary proxy to a person designated by us to vote the ordinary shares represented by such holders' ADSs; provided, however, that no such discretionary proxy shall be given with respect to any matter to be voted upon as to which we inform the depositary that (i) we do not wish such proxy to be given, (ii) substantial opposition exists, or (iii) the rights of holders of ordinary shares may be materially and adversely affected. In addition, under the deposit agreement, the depositary has the right to restrict distributions to holders of the ADSs in the event that it is unlawful or impractical to make such distributions. We have no obligation to take any action to permit distributions to holders of our ADSs. As a result, holders of ADSs may not receive distributions.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8AddedHolders of the ADSs are not treated as holders of our ordinary shares.
Holders of ADSs are not treated as holders of our ordinary shares, unless they withdraw the ordinary shares underlying their ADSs in accordance with the deposit agreement and applicable laws and regulations. The depositary is the holder of the ordinary shares underlying the ADSs. Holders of ADSs therefore do not have any rights as holders of our ordinary shares, other than the rights that they have pursuant to the Deposit Agreement.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9There is substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern, which may hinder our ability to obtain future financing.
The Company has limited cash resources and will periodically need additional funds to maintain the planned level of R&D activity. We expect to consume cash and incur operating losses for the foreseeable future as the Company continues developing its oncology drug candidates. The impact on cash resources and results from operations will vary with the extent and timing of future clinical trial programs. While it is not possible to make accurate predictions of future operating results, we expect existing cash and cash equivalents, including the capital raised under our ATM facility and equity line of credit facility with Alumni Capital L.P., will be sufficient to enable us to continue our research and development activities until approximately March 2025. As of 30 June 2024, we had cash on hand at the bank of A$1.7 million. The consolidated financial statements have been prepared on a going concern basis, which contemplates continuity of normal activities and realization of assets and settlement of liabilities in the normal course of business. As is often the case with drug development companies, our ability to continue as a going concern is dependent upon our ability to derive sufficient cash from investors, from licensing and partnering and collaboration activities and from other sources of revenue such as grant funding. Furthermore, we are limited by General Instruction I.B.5 to Form F-3 (the "Baby Shelf Rule") as of the filing of this Annual Report, until such time as our non-affiliate public float exceeds $75 million. The amount of funds we can raise through primary non-affiliate public offerings of securities in any 12-month period using our registration statement on Form F-3 is limited to one-third of the aggregate market value of the ordinary shares held by non-affiliates of the Company, which limitation may change over time based on our stock price, number of ordinary shares outstanding and the percentage of ordinary shares held by non-affiliates. These factors raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern within one year after the date that the consolidated financial statements are issued. The independent auditor's report for the fiscal year ended 30 June 2024 included an explanatory paragraph in relation to the going concern uncertainty. If the Company is unable to obtain additional funds on favorable terms or at all, it may be required to cease or reduce its operations. Our future success is dependent upon our ability to obtain additional funding. There can be no assurance, however, that we will be successful in obtaining such funding in sufficient amounts, on terms acceptable to us, or at all. Also, if the Company raises more funds by selling additional securities, the ownership interests of holders of its securities will be diluted.
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