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HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd. (012630) AI Stock Analysis

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KR:012630

HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd.

(Korea Exchange:012630)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:KRW 22,736.00â–²(9.05% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:10/28/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (better profitability and a cash-flow turnaround) and very attractive valuation (P/E ~2.0). These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and remaining leverage sensitivity typical of real estate developers.

Positive Factors
Improved ProfitabilityThe recovery in profitability indicates stronger execution and/or a better project mix after the near-breakeven or loss period in 2022. Solid gross, EBIT, and net margins provide a more durable earnings base and can support reinvestment, debt service, and resilience across future development cycles.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageDebt exceeding equity leaves HDC sensitive to slower project cash receipts and higher funding costs, both of which can amplify earnings and liquidity volatility in real estate development. Although leverage has improved, the remaining debt burden may constrain capital allocation and reduce flexibility during weaker project cycles.

HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd. (012630) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%KR:012630+10.91%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
KRW 1.03T
Dividend Yield
2.16%
Average Volume (3M)
71.36K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
2.0
Beta (1Y)
0.26
Revenue Growth
-10.43%
EPS Growth
101.14%
Country
KR
Employees
13
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Real Estate - Development

HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HDC HOLDINGS CO.,Ltd engages in real estate development and construction activities in South Korea. Its portfolio includes high-rise buildings, roads, bridges, ports, plants, small and medium-sized houses, commercial districts and parking lot sites,...

HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are in recovery: profitability has improved to solid TTM margins and cash flow has turned positive with strong free cash flow. Offsetting this, balance-sheet risk remains meaningful with debt above equity (debt-to-equity ~1.22) and operating cash flow coverage versus debt still low, and TTM revenue is down (~4.8%), limiting the score.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.98T6.60T6.20T5.91T5.04T4.78T
Gross Profit1.20T1.14T749.84B674.82B544.55B818.98B
EBITDA893.83B799.83B602.43B567.93B336.31B591.78B
Net Income440.77B300.98B146.35B113.06B-5.11B113.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.71T12.69T12.40T11.52T11.59T10.65T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.52T1.69T1.45T1.09T1.02T2.24T
Total Debt3.90T4.37T4.30T3.76T3.84T3.05T
Total Liabilities6.95T7.26T7.30T6.61T6.76T5.85T
Stockholders Equity3.20T2.92T2.64T2.54T2.42T2.39T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow685.79B294.39B172.64B-108.41B-1.87T-335.18B
Operating Cash Flow964.86B467.35B508.96B244.29B-1.41T-8.77B
Investing Cash Flow-390.98B-249.78B-475.94B-465.72B799.07B-184.36B
Financing Cash Flow-693.73B16.05B297.13B191.99B738.89B45.99B

HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price20850.00

Price Trends

50DMA23223.00Negative
100DMA22029.30Negative
200DMA22681.29Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-811.80Negative
RSI38.41Neutral
STOCH63.57Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KR:012630, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20850.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21690.00, below the 50-day MA of 23223.00, and below the 200-day MA of 22681.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -811.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KR:012630.

HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

KR:012630 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
KR:114090KR:11409073OutperformKRW 494.85B10.50―5.17%8.00%5.65%
KR:294870KR:29487070OutperformKRW 1.54T6.12―2.90%-12.98%32.63%
KR:012630KR:01263065NeutralKRW 1.03T1.97―2.16%-10.43%101.14%
KR:034230KR:03423058NeutralKRW 825.08B11.08―1.59%8.38%-15.41%
KR:330590KR:33059056NeutralKRW 1.20T61.02―9.02%12.84%54.89%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
KR:032350KR:03235055NeutralKRW 800.44B12.88――38.67%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%KR:012630KR:032350KR:034230KR:114090KR:294870KR:330590Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
KR:012630 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
KR:012630HDC HOLDINGS CO., Ltd.20850.002769.5415.32%
KR:032350Lotte Tour Development Co., Ltd.10040.00-8230.00-45.05%
KR:034230Paradise Co., Ltd9460.00-8749.40-48.05%
KR:114090Grand Korea Leisure Co., Ltd.8000.00-6840.92-46.10%
KR:294870IPARK Hyundai Development Company24150.005583.1030.07%
KR:330590LOTTE REIT Co., Ltd.4145.00532.6114.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2026