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Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTIQ) AI Stock Analysis

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KPTIQ

Karyopharm Therapeutics

(Other OTC:KPTIQ)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$0.05▲(200.00% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily driven down by very weak financial performance (persistent large losses, negative equity, ongoing cash burn) and extremely bearish technicals (price far below major moving averages with negative momentum). The earnings call provides some offset from meaningful clinical/regulatory progress and reaffirmed guidance, but near-term funding/covenant risk remains a dominant overhang, and valuation metrics provide little support given continued losses and no dividend.

Positive Factors
Myelofibrosis Clinical and Regulatory ProgressThe SENTRY results and constructive FDA interactions support a potentially meaningful expansion of XPOVIO into myelofibrosis. An on-track regulatory pathway, supported by efficacy and survival signals, could broaden the product’s addressable market and strengthen the company’s long-term commercial platform if confirmatory requirements are met.
Negative Factors
Chapter 11 Restructuring and Equity ImpairmentChapter 11 places the business under court supervision and creates a major structural overhang for shareholders, with the proposed plan providing no distribution to existing equity. The sale and restructuring process may also change ownership, control, financing terms, and strategic priorities over the next several months.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by TypeSeparates sales into product revenue, collaboration and licensing income, milestones, royalties, and other sources to show what actually drives cash flow. Reveals whether the company’s income is coming from repeatable drug sales (commercial traction for XPOVIO) or from irregular, one-time partner payments—key for judging predictability, growth sustainability, and runway risk.

$0.00$25.00M$50.00M$75.00M$100.00M$125.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Product revenue functions as the recurring backbone (XPOVIO): it dipped in early‑2025 then recovered to prior peaks, while License & Other is lumpy and driven by sporadic one‑off deals. Management warns the recent top‑line uplift was largely gross‑to‑net dynamics, not steady demand, and cash runway into late Q3 2026 means upcoming clinical readouts or financing are likely catalysts—model product growth conservatively and treat license receipts and gross‑to‑net improvements as non‑recurring upside.

Data provided by:The Fly

Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTIQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%KPTIQ-99.70%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$394.66K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
8.47M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.0
Beta (1Y)
2.45
Revenue Growth
6.81%
EPS Growth
11.95%
Country
US
Employees
228
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Karyopharm Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. is a pharmaceutical company that has already brought products to market, focusing on identifying, advancing, and selling medications designed to disrupt nuclear export pathways. These drugs are primarily aimed at treating...

How the Company Makes Money

Karyopharm generates revenue primarily from (1) net product sales of XPOVIO (selinexor) in territories where it commercializes the drug directly, and (2) collaboration-related revenue from partners that commercialize selinexor in licensed territories...

Karyopharm Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statements are highly stressed: revenue is flat to slightly down (TTM ~-3%) and the company remains deeply unprofitable (TTM net margin ~-153%) despite very high gross margins (~96%). The balance sheet is a major risk with deeply negative equity (~-$330M TTM) and meaningful debt (~$216M) relative to a small asset base (~$111M). Cash flow is still materially negative (TTM FCF ~-$65M) though burn has improved versus prior periods, implying continued reliance on external funding.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

9Very Negative

Cash Flow

14Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue146.62M146.07M145.24M146.03M157.07M209.82M
Gross Profit140.58M140.12M139.23M141.09M151.86M206.42M
EBITDA-175.85M-149.85M-38.60M-118.42M-139.31M-96.98M
Net Income-224.74M-196.04M-76.42M-143.10M-165.29M-124.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.32M108.42M164.42M240.44M358.17M305.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.11M63.74M108.71M191.44M277.97M228.62M
Total Debt215.88M233.61M194.52M177.02M179.07M180.58M
Total Liabilities441.49M401.34M350.44M376.64M374.83M384.98M
Stockholders Equity-330.17M-292.93M-186.02M-136.21M-16.66M-79.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-65.35M-75.37M-127.63M-92.72M-149.67M-112.83M
Operating Cash Flow-65.35M-75.37M-127.49M-92.72M-149.55M-107.12M
Investing Cash Flow2.97M43.38M95.47M7.94M-104.26M141.84M
Financing Cash Flow78.60M30.05M41.65M1.12M193.74M73.65M

Karyopharm Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.92Negative
100DMA3.33Negative
200DMA5.78Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.27Negative
RSI28.06Positive
STOCH0.73Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KPTIQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.34, below the 50-day MA of 0.92, and below the 200-day MA of 5.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 28.06 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KPTIQ.

Karyopharm Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Karyopharm Therapeutics disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Karyopharm Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Risks Related to Our Common StockQ2, 2026
2.Risks Related to Commercialization and Product DevelopmentQ2, 2026
3.Risks Related to Our Intellectual PropertyQ2, 2026

Karyopharm Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

KPTIQ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ATNMATNM66Neutral$49.36M4.4283.42%―――
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
IPSCIPSC50Neutral$304.21M-1.67-52.76%―-100.00%-219.52%
MDCXMDCX48Neutral$3.52M-0.031594.83%――37.61%
LTRNLTRN44Neutral$6.92M-0.30-456.35%――9.68%
KPTIQKPTIQ40Underperform$394.66K0.0077.63%―6.81%11.95%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%KPTIQATNMLTRNIPSCMDCXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
KPTIQ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
KPTIQKaryopharm Therapeutics INC0.02-5.48-99.69%
ATNMActinium Pharmaceuticals1.590.3427.20%
LTRNLantern Pharma, Inc.0.48-2.98-86.10%
IPSCCentury Therapeutics, Inc.1.741.28275.00%
MDCXMedicus Pharma Ltd1.64-111.36-98.55%

Karyopharm Therapeutics Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesLegal Proceedings

Karyopharm Therapeutics Announces Nasdaq Delisting Following Bankruptcy Filing

Negative
Nov 5, 2026

Karyopharm Therapeutics said on November 4, 2026, that Nasdaq had determined its securities would be delisted after the company and subsidiary KPT Texas LLC filed Chapter 11 petitions on November 2. The company said it would not appeal the decision.N...

Legal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing

Karyopharm Therapeutics Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection

Negative
Nov 3, 2026

On November 2, 2026, Karyopharm Therapeutics and subsidiary KPT Texas LLC filed voluntary Chapter 11 petitions in Texas and placed their operations under court jurisdiction as debtors-in-possession. They requested joint administration and sought firs...

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Karyopharm Announces Restructuring Agreement and Chapter 11 Filing

Negative
Nov 2, 2026

On November 2, 2026, Karyopharm announced that it had entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement with existing lenders, noteholders and other stakeholders, providing for a merger between Ayrmid Ltd. and a reorganized Karyopharm. The company also...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Karyopharm Extends Forbearance Agreement to November 1, 2026

Neutral
Oct 22, 2026

Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. disclosed that it had previously entered into a Forbearance Agreement and Limited Waiver to certain indentures on September 10, 2026, with details reported in filings on September 11, 2026 and October 14, 2026. The agreem...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Karyopharm Issues Convertible Preferred Stock, Alters Capital Structure

Neutral
Sep 18, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Karyopharm Therapeutics entered into a Forbearance Agreement and Limited Waiver to Indentures and a related fee agreement, choosing to satisfy $20 million of fees through equity rather than cash to preserve liquidity while adva...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing

Karyopharm Faces Liquidity Crisis Under Forbearance Agreement

Negative
Sep 11, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Karyopharm entered a forbearance agreement and limited waiver with its lenders, convertible noteholders and royalty financing investors after failing to pay a $15.8 million term-loan installment and certain interest on its debt...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Karyopharm Seeks Accelerated FDA Approval for XPOVIO Combo

Positive
Aug 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026, Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. said it has submitted a supplemental New Drug Application to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration seeking Accelerated Approval for XPOVIO (selinexor) in combination with ruxolitinib for patients with...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026