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Kestrel Group
(NASDAQ:KG)
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-32.89% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—large TTM losses and persistent cash burn—followed by bearish technicals with the stock trading below key moving averages. Valuation is difficult to justify with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided, while the positive governance-related corporate event offers only modest support.
Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
The absence of debt reduces near-term refinancing and interest obligations, giving the company greater flexibility while operating conditions remain difficult. A sizable equity base also provides a stronger financial cushion than the leveraged profile reported in prior years.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability Pressure
The substantial TTM loss shows that revenue growth is not currently translating into sustainable profitability. A deeply negative margin reduces internal funding capacity, weakens returns on the equity base, and makes any recovery dependent on materially improving operating performance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
The absence of debt reduces near-term refinancing and interest obligations, giving the company greater flexibility while operating conditions remain difficult. A sizable equity base also provides a stronger financial cushion than the leveraged profile reported in prior years.
Read all positive factors
Kestrel Group (KG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$38.89M
Dividend Yield19.55%
Average Volume (3M)32.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.50
Revenue Growth67.11%
EPS Growth80.59%
CountryUS
Employees44
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInsurance - Reinsurance
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-4.93
Shares Outstanding7,824,030
10 Day Avg. Volume13,950
30 Day Avg. Volume32,610
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.46
Price to Sales (P/S)1.72
P/FCF Ratio-0.61
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Kestrel Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kestrel Group Ltd engages in provision of fronting services to insurance program managers, managing general agencies, reinsurers, and reinsurance brokers in Bermuda. The company operates through two segments: Program Services and Legacy Reinsuranc...
Kestrel Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 47.42M | 34.05M | 1.33M | 58.13M | 98.72M | 186.59M |
| Gross Profit | 26.95M | 25.06M | -2.20M | 58.13M | 98.72M | 186.59M |
| EBITDA | -19.86M | 59.56M | -4.45M | -41.06M | 38.24M | 55.88M |
| Net Income | -38.32M | 46.73M | -4.22M | -60.35M | 25.62M | 41.76M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 919.61M | 548.76M | 954.60M | 1.85B | 2.32B | 2.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 26.28M | 16.95M | 42.68M | 46.62M | 66.09M | 135.83M |
| Total Debt | 176.99M | 176.46M | 314.00K | 255.57M | 255.35M | 255.13M |
| Total Liabilities | 805.65M | 420.47M | 705.44M | 1.56B | 1.94B | 2.42B |
| Stockholders Equity | 113.96M | 128.28M | 249.16M | 284.58M | 384.26M | 527.82M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -111.94M | -96.14M | -59.78M | -195.93M | -394.43M | -541.77M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -111.94M | -96.14M | -59.78M | -195.93M | -394.43M | -541.77M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 97.77M | 146.94M | 58.51M | 188.79M | 464.06M | 596.04M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -972.00K | -40.00M | -3.02M | -10.98M | -138.90M | -30.13M |
Kestrel Group Technical Analysis
Negative
7.45
Price Trends
7.34
Negative
9.08
Negative
10.12
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.70
Positive
31.68
Neutral
28.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.00, above the 50-day MA of 7.34, and below the 200-day MA of 10.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KG.
Kestrel Group Risk Analysis
Kestrel Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kestrel Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Kestrel Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | $3.33B | 5.80 | 21.19% | 6.99% | 17.41% | 57.09% | |
71 Outperform | $2.84B | 5.88 | 21.84% | 5.06% | 22.55% | 371.77% | |
68 Neutral | $479.50M | 9.83 | 7.28% | ― | -0.85% | 32.35% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
55 Neutral | $159.56M | 6.99 | 4.68% | 1.15% | -1.82% | ― | |
53 Neutral | $9.20M | 70.89 | -5.66% | 9.50% | 40.39% | ― | |
43 Neutral | $38.89M | -1.06 | -30.21% | 19.55% | 67.11% | 80.59% |
* Financial Sector Average
KG
Kestrel Group
5.24
-20.60
-79.72%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
14.75
2.17
17.25%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
24.42
5.83
31.36%
JRVR
James River Group
3.49
-2.05
-37.05%
OXBR
Oxbridge Re Holdings
1.12
-0.73
-39.46%
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
34.13
11.17
48.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.