Kodiak AI AI Stock Analysis
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Kodiak AI (KDK) AI Stock Analysis
Kodiak AI
(NASDAQ:KDK)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance—large operating losses and heavy cash burn—alongside bearish technicals with the price well below key moving averages. Offsetting these risks, the latest earnings call showed strong operational progress and improved burn guidance, but profitability and funding uncertainty keep the overall rating below average.
Kodiak AI (KDK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $242.86M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 4.91M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -3.3
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.53
- Revenue Growth
- 1114.42%
- EPS Growth
- 90.26%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 342
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
Kodiak AI Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kodiak AI, Inc. specializes in engineering sophisticated software solutions that deliver AI-powered ground autonomy. This technology enables various vehicles to navigate independently across diverse environments, encompassing highways, urban streets,...
Kodiak AI Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive, with operational and commercial milestones, rapid progress toward the targeted year-end unsupervised launch, 286% year-over-year revenue growth, expanding customer commitments, and improved full-year free cash flow burn guidance significantly outweighing the reported operating losses, negative cash flow, remaining launch work, and uncertainty around future financing and defense awards.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Kodiak expects unsupervised autonomous truck deployments to increase to mid-40s and expects free cash flow of negative $42 million to negative $44 million; full year 2026 free cash flow burn guidance is negative $153 million to negative $155 million, compared with the previous range of negative $155 million to negative $162 million. Kodiak is targeting 200 Kodiak-powered unsupervised autonomous trucks in commercial operations by the end of 2027, expects over $50 million of annualized run rate revenue exiting 2027, and expects to scale to 5,000 trucks exiting 2029, generating over $1 billion in annualized run rate revenue with the goal of achieving free cash flow breakeven that year. Atlas’ initial 100 truck commitment is expected to be completed by the end of the first half of 2027, while unsupervised deployments on International LT trucks are slated to begin in the second half of 2027.
Kodiak AI Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Revenue growth is strong (+30.7% TTM) and net loss improved materially versus the prior annual period, but fundamentals remain weak: negative gross profit, extreme operating losses, and deeply negative operating/free cash flow with large ongoing burn. Balance sheet leverage looks modest in the latest TTM, yet the recent history of negative equity and the scale of cash burn keep financing and execution risk elevated.
Income Statement
18Very NegativeBalance Sheet
46NeutralCash Flow
12Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 9.35M | 3.80M | 14.93M | 16.95M | 0 | 0 |
| Gross Profit | -18.27M | -20.97M | 14.93M | 16.95M | 0 | 0 |
| EBITDA | -135.44M | -578.18M | -59.89M | -47.41M | -35.67M | -30.45M |
| Net Income | -14.18M | -585.52M | -69.46M | -56.95M | 49.31M | 15.85M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 158.50M | 159.41M | 35.56M | 46.29M | 1.01B | 417.42K |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 113.64M | 120.67M | 16.71M | 27.76M | 0 | 0 |
| Total Debt | 5.78M | 36.44M | 41.73M | 42.33M | 233.24K | 181.86K |
| Total Liabilities | 86.69M | 219.27M | 286.40M | 233.39M | 61.15M | 404.92K |
| Stockholders Equity | 71.81M | -59.87M | -250.84M | -187.10M | 952.33M | 12.50K |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -145.46M | -116.47M | -54.15M | -47.11M | -2.21M | -1.41M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -123.07M | -94.44M | -50.96M | -43.84M | -2.21M | -1.41M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -103.04M | -91.43M | -3.21M | 17.28M | 0 | -1.00B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 110.79M | 219.93M | 43.13M | 12.03M | 1.50M | 1.00B |
Kodiak AI Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KDK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.20, below the 50-day MA of 2.13, and below the 200-day MA of 5.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KDK.
Kodiak AI Risk Analysis
Kodiak AI disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kodiak AI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksKodiak AI Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
DUOT71Outperform
MRT54Neutral- KDK48Neutral
ENRD37Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUOT | 71Outperform | $163.97M | 5.07 | 38.91% | ― | 63.98% | ― |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| MRT | 54Neutral | $180.69M | -5.34 | 41.80% | ― | 110.30% | 57.62% |
| KDK | 48Neutral | $246.94M | -3.31 | 14.62% | ― | 1114.42% | 90.26% |
| ENRD | 37Underperform | $290.44M | 25.79 | 3.57% | ― | ― | -19.23% |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDK | Kodiak Ai, Inc. | 1.19 | -5.33 | -81.75% | |
| DUOT | Duos Technologies Group Inc | 5.48 | -3.51 | -39.04% | |
| MRT | Marti Technologies Inc | 2.02 | -0.32 | -13.68% | |
| ENRD | Einride Ab Sponsored Adr | 2.09 | -8.79 | -80.79% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026