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Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9956)
:9956
Japanese Market
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Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9956

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.

(9956)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,791.00
▼(-46.85% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/30/26
The overall score is driven primarily by solid but not exceptional financial performance—steady growth and improved profitability are tempered by thin net margins and volatile free cash flow. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and strong dividend yield, while technicals are neutral with only a modest short-term uptrend and mixed longer-term trend signals.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Several years of steady revenue growth indicate continued demand for Valor’s everyday food and household retail offering. This supports store-network productivity and provides a durable base for operating leverage, reinvestment, and gradual earnings expansion over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Structurally Thin Net Margins
Thin net margins leave limited room to absorb changes in costs, product mix, or operating conditions before earnings are affected. The historical volatility further reduces resilience, meaning modest pressure on sales or expenses could have a disproportionate impact on bottom-line profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Several years of steady revenue growth indicate continued demand for Valor’s everyday food and household retail offering. This supports store-network productivity and provides a durable base for operating leverage, reinvestment, and gradual earnings expansion over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd., established in 1958 and headquartered in Tajimi, Japan, primarily operates supermarkets and home centers across the nation. Its retail footprint also extends to drugstores, sports clubs, and pet shops. Beyond direct retai...
How the Company Makes Money
Valor Holdings primarily makes money by selling consumer goods through its retail stores, with revenue recognized at the point of sale. Its core revenue stream is food retail (supermarket operations), where earnings are driven by sales volumes, pr...

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady multi-year revenue growth and improving operating profitability support the score, and leverage appears manageable with improving ROE. The main drag is structurally thin net margins and inconsistent cash conversion, with free cash flow volatility (notably the 2025 drop) reducing earnings quality and resilience.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue924.11B854.43B807.79B759.98B732.52B
Gross Profit248.94B226.87B213.83B200.83B193.54B
EBITDA54.90B47.26B44.43B39.48B42.30B
Net Income16.48B13.65B11.95B7.60B9.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets514.86B460.07B444.81B417.11B410.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.98B22.63B29.60B21.48B23.26B
Total Debt147.94B128.57B123.05B118.78B125.45B
Total Liabilities311.54B272.02B265.48B249.58B247.85B
Stockholders Equity185.25B171.21B164.07B152.75B148.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.68B5.10B15.04B13.05B22.00M
Operating Cash Flow52.18B37.77B38.45B36.23B24.36B
Investing Cash Flow-46.96B-39.89B-26.05B-25.72B-26.73B
Financing Cash Flow4.59B-4.69B-4.56B-12.33B-4.12B

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3370.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1617.82
Positive
100DMA
1681.39
Negative
200DMA
1714.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
10.81
Negative
RSI
48.01
Neutral
STOCH
31.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9956, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3370 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1635.80, above the 50-day MA of 1617.82, and above the 200-day MA of 1714.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 10.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9956.

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥205.61B18.497.08%3.37%4.91%-6.89%
74
Outperform
¥207.50B11.59―3.13%3.84%46.02%
73
Outperform
¥339.66B8.6011.83%1.75%-0.35%209.70%
68
Neutral
¥194.67B8.97―2.45%8.92%33.42%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
¥174.41B24.40―1.49%-0.40%45.73%
49
Neutral
¥167.31B-31.31―1.97%15.30%-594.22%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9956
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,628.00
251.68
18.29%
JP:2659
SAN-A CO
3,265.00
664.14
25.54%
JP:8242
H2O Retailing Corporation
2,727.00
621.25
29.50%
JP:3222
United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.
808.00
-113.60
-12.33%
JP:8273
Izumi Co., Ltd.
955.00
-73.33
-7.13%
JP:8278
Fuji Co., Ltd.
2,015.00
46.91
2.38%

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Valor Holdings Posts Mixed August Results Across Supermarkets, Pharmacies and Home Centers
Sep 10, 2026
Valor Holdings reported August 2026 monthly business results for its supermarket, pharmacy, and home improvement store operations for the fiscal year ending March 2027. Across the group’s 1,560 stores, the disclosure highlights year-on-year ...
Valor Holdings Confirms Auditor Review as Q1 Profit Jumps 64%
Aug 14, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd., a Tokyo and Nagoya-listed Japanese group, reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥243.4 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 9.9% year on year. Profit attributable to owners of the parent surged 6...
Valor Holdings Confirms Full Subscription of Third-Party Allotment to Fund Retail Expansion
Aug 7, 2026
Valor Holdings has confirmed that the designated allottee will subscribe in full to its third-party allotment of 704,100 new shares, priced at ¥3,022 per share, raising ¥2.13 billion and increasing stated capital and additional capital r...
Valor Holdings Shows Solid Supermarket Growth but Weakness in Home Improvement and Pharmacy Traffic
Aug 7, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. reported July 2026 monthly business results showing continued year-on-year sales growth in its supermarket segment, supported by higher customer unit prices despite only modest growth in customer numbers. The grocery busin...
Valor Holdings Posts Strong Q1 Profit Surge, Keeps FY2026 Outlook and Dividend Plan Intact
Aug 7, 2026
Valor Holdings reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥243.4 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 9.9% year on year, while operating profit rose 5.0% to ¥7.4 billion and ordinary profit climbed 8.6% to ¥7.8 billi...
Valor Holdings Posts Mixed June Results Across Retail Segments
Jul 13, 2026
Valor Holdings reported June 2026 monthly business results for its key retail segments, showing year-on-year growth at existing supermarkets and pharmacies but a decline at home improvement stores. Supermarket existing-store sales rose 3.6%, drive...
KOHNAN SHOJI Completes ¥3 Billion Share Acquisition in Valor Holdings Alliance
Jul 10, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that KOHNAN SHOJI Co., Ltd. has completed the acquisition of 951,700 common shares of Valor through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-floor trading system on July 10, 2026, at a price of 3,152 yen per share, f...
Valor Holdings Sets Terms for New Share Issuance and Secondary Offering
Jul 8, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. has set the terms for a new share issuance by public offering, pricing the shares at ¥3,152 each, with a total issue value of approximately ¥14.8 billion and a corresponding increase in stated capital and capital...
Valor and Kohnan Reshape Alleanza Holdings’ Executive and Governance Structure
Jul 1, 2026
Valor Holdings and Kohnan Shoji have announced a new executive structure for Alleanza Holdings, a joint entity that serves as a consolidated subsidiary of Valor and an equity‑method affiliate of Kohnan. The move reflects closer governance in...
Valor Holdings to Raise Capital via Public Share Offering
Jun 30, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a significant equity financing move, resolving at its June 30, 2026 board meeting to issue 4,694,600 new shares of common stock through a public offering. The shares will be fully underwritten, with pricing se...
Valor Holdings Announces Stock Split, Capital Increase and Higher Dividend Forecast
Jun 30, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a two-for-one stock split of its common shares, effective October 1, 2026, aimed at lowering the investment unit price and improving liquidity in the market. The move follows recent decisions to issue new shar...
Valor and KOHNAN Formalize Capital Alliance to Drive Joint Growth
Jun 30, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. has entered a definitive capital and business alliance agreement with Osaka-based KOHNAN SHOJI Co., Ltd. to jointly operate Alleanza Holdings, the former Valor consolidated subsidiary that KOHNAN recently turned into an eq...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026