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Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) AI Stock Analysis

3 Followers
JP:9946

Ministop Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9946)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,747.00▼(-2.02% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance: persistent operating and net losses, declining equity, and negative free cash flow despite improving revenue. Technicals add pressure with the price below major moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is mixed, as a negative P/E reflects ongoing losses and the dividend yield is only modest.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReboundRevenue growth has returned across two consecutive annual periods, indicating improved sales momentum after weaker performance. If maintained, this larger sales base can support better operating leverage and provide a foundation for restoring profitability across the MINISTOP store network.
Negative Factors
Persistent LossesPersistent operating and net losses show that revenue growth has not yet translated into a sustainable earnings model. Continued losses can restrict reinvestment, weaken returns, and make recovery dependent on substantial improvement in the cost structure below gross profit.

Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9946-11.65%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 51.34B
Dividend Yield
1.12%
Average Volume (3M)
65.21K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.1
Beta (1Y)
0.28
Revenue Growth
2.66%
EPS Growth
-81.23%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,492
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Grocery Stores

Ministop Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MINISTOP Co., Ltd. engages in the development and franchising of convenience store chains under the MINISTOP brand name in Japan and internationally. MINISTOP Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Chiba, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Ministop makes money primarily through the operation and franchising of convenience stores under the MINISTOP brand. Key revenue and profit drivers include: (1) Retail sales to consumers at company-operated stores, where the company earns gross profi...

Ministop Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has rebounded with ~10% growth in 2025 and 2026, but profitability remains weak with operating losses and net losses in 2024–2026 (2026 net income -5.63B on 91.79B revenue). Low leverage supports flexibility, yet equity has declined from 40.61B (2023) to 26.46B (2026) and free cash flow is still negative (2026 -0.37B), limiting the score.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.13B91.79B87.47B79.06B81.29B183.68B
Gross Profit37.05B38.75B37.68B37.42B36.93B49.70B
EBITDA-5.99B-1.99B-414.00M2.92B2.45B7.77B
Net Income-10.13B-5.63B-6.77B-468.00M12.83B-3.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.66B69.01B74.69B77.90B79.22B117.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.24B23.17B23.90B25.78B30.43B29.66B
Total Debt576.00M761.00M247.00M307.00M1.65B14.57B
Total Liabilities36.76B41.85B41.90B37.22B38.60B88.77B
Stockholders Equity22.18B26.46B32.51B39.64B40.61B28.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-374.00M-1.09B-2.28B-3.11B-7.24B
Operating Cash Flow01.79B1.94B585.00M-2.07B-3.62B
Investing Cash Flow0-947.00M-492.00M-6.62B5.09B22.09B
Financing Cash Flow0-774.00M-806.00M-1.96B-1.57B-4.86B

Ministop Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price1783.00

Price Trends

50DMA1783.92Negative
100DMA1802.80Negative
200DMA1843.93Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.18Negative
RSI50.86Neutral
STOCH81.53Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9946, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1783.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1775.10, below the 50-day MA of 1783.92, and below the 200-day MA of 1843.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9946.

Ministop Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9946 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9956JP:995670OutperformJPY 200.01B8.77―3.81%9.04%13.87%
JP:8278JP:827858NeutralJPY 177.44B20.34―1.49%-1.47%119.37%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:7601JP:760153NeutralJPY 1.83B27.63――-0.91%-64.92%
JP:7512JP:751252NeutralJPY 115.14B43.18―1.93%3.06%-17.63%
JP:3222JP:322250NeutralJPY 162.13B-24.05―2.06%10.71%-523.13%
JP:9946JP:994648NeutralJPY 52.13B-5.08―1.12%2.66%-81.23%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9946JP:3222JP:7512JP:7601JP:8278JP:9956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9946 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9946Ministop Co., Ltd.1783.00-240.02-11.86%
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.777.00-66.00-7.83%
JP:7512Aeon Hokkaido Corporation811.00-59.97-6.89%
JP:7601POPLAR Co., Ltd.155.00-23.00-12.92%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.2019.0042.042.13%
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1561.0094.236.42%

Ministop Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Ministop Swings to Loss Despite Higher Revenue, Keeps Dividend Payout

Oct 29, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd. reported a challenging first half for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, with gross operating revenue rising 4.8% year on year to ¥51.1 billion but swinging to an operating loss of ¥2.8 billion and a net loss attributable to...

Ministop’s Q2 Results Show Revenue Growth but Profit Pressure Amid Higher Costs

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop reported its consolidated results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending February 2027, showing growth in gross operating revenue and product supply, alongside higher advertising and equipment costs. While operating gross profit im...

Ministop Swings to Loss Despite Revenue Growth and Maintains Dividend

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop reported a 4.8% rise in gross operating revenue to ¥51.1 billion for the six months ended August 31, 2026, but swung to a loss, posting an operating loss of ¥2.8 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of ¥4.0 billion. The company’s eq...

Ministop Books ¥869 Million Impairment Loss on Store and Rental Assets

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd. reported that it has recorded extraordinary losses in its consolidated and non-consolidated financial statements for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, primarily due to impairment of fixed assets relate...

Ministop Cuts Profit Outlook for FY2026, Plans Reforms to Boost Core Convenience Business

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop revised its consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, keeping gross operating revenue unchanged at ¥97 billion but shifting from a previously expected modest profit to projected operating and ordinary losses and a l...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026