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Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9946

Ministop Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9946)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,832.00â–²(3.80% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/04/26

The stock's overall score is heavily weighed down by systemic profitability struggles and negative earnings, which severely impair its valuation and fundamental strength. While a highly conservative, debt-free balance sheet shields the company from immediate distress and technicals indicate a short-term recovery trend, the persistent erosion of shareholder equity remains the most critical barrier for investment.

Positive Factors
Revenue recoveryTop-line growth of roughly 10% in each of 2025–2026 demonstrates renewed demand and execution in core convenience operations. Sustained revenue momentum strengthens scale economics, supports supplier negotiation power and provides a runway to absorb restructuring or invest in higher‑margin prepared food initiatives over coming months.
Negative Factors
Persistent lossesContinued operating and net losses signal structural margin pressure below gross profit, indicating cost and operating inefficiencies or unprofitable store mix. Persistent deficits erode stakeholder confidence and require substantive operational fixes or portfolio changes to restore sustained profitability beyond short‑term revenue gains.

Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9946-9.65%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 51.26B
Dividend Yield
1.13%
Average Volume (3M)
66.64K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.1
Beta (1Y)
0.32
Revenue Growth
2.66%
EPS Growth
-81.23%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,492
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Grocery Stores

Ministop Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MINISTOP Co., Ltd. engages in the development and franchising of convenience store chains under the MINISTOP brand name in Japan and internationally. MINISTOP Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Chiba, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Ministop makes money primarily through its convenience store operations. Revenue is generated from retail sales to customers in MINISTOP stores, including packaged groceries, beverages, daily necessities, and prepared/ready-to-eat foods produced or f...

Ministop Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company faces severe profitability issues with consistent net losses, negative operating earnings, and a sharply negative return on equity (-21.3%). However, 10.5% revenue growth, a nearly debt-free balance sheet, and a narrowing cash burn trajectory provide essential financial flexibility.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.13B91.79B87.47B79.06B81.29B183.68B
Gross Profit37.05B38.75B37.68B37.42B36.93B49.70B
EBITDA-5.99B-1.99B-414.00M2.92B2.45B7.77B
Net Income-10.13B-5.63B-6.77B-468.00M12.83B-3.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.66B69.01B74.69B77.90B79.22B117.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.24B23.17B23.90B25.78B30.43B29.66B
Total Debt576.00M761.00M247.00M307.00M1.65B14.57B
Total Liabilities36.76B41.85B41.90B37.22B38.60B88.77B
Stockholders Equity22.18B26.46B32.51B39.64B40.61B28.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-374.00M-1.09B-2.28B-3.11B-7.24B
Operating Cash Flow01.79B1.94B585.00M-2.07B-3.62B
Investing Cash Flow0-947.00M-492.00M-6.62B5.09B22.09B
Financing Cash Flow0-774.00M-806.00M-1.96B-1.57B-4.86B

Ministop Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1765.00

Price Trends

50DMA1792.13Negative
100DMA1804.93Negative
200DMA1853.53Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.30Positive
RSI46.21Neutral
STOCH13.10Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9946, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1765.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1772.65, below the 50-day MA of 1792.13, and below the 200-day MA of 1853.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9946.

Ministop Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9946 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9956JP:995668NeutralJPY 199.29B9.34―3.54%8.92%33.42%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:8278JP:827854NeutralJPY 172.94B20.01―1.50%-1.47%119.37%
JP:7512JP:751252NeutralJPY 111.81B42.65―1.99%3.06%-17.63%
JP:7601JP:760152NeutralJPY 1.91B28.88――-0.91%-64.92%
JP:3222JP:322249NeutralJPY 155.08B-23.00―2.14%10.71%-523.13%
JP:9946JP:994648NeutralJPY 51.26B-5.06―1.13%2.66%-81.23%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9946JP:3222JP:7512JP:7601JP:8278JP:9956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:9946 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9946Ministop Co., Ltd.1767.00-174.86-9.00%
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.748.00-52.75-6.59%
JP:7512Aeon Hokkaido Corporation804.00-50.25-5.88%
JP:7601POPLAR Co., Ltd.162.00-15.00-8.47%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.1995.0032.831.67%
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1682.00297.8521.52%

Ministop Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Ministop Posts Quarterly Loss But Keeps Profit and Dividend Forecasts Intact

Jul 30, 2026

Ministop reported a 5.0% year-on-year rise in gross operating revenue to ¥24.9 billion for the three months ended May 31, 2026, but booked an operating loss of ¥2.0 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of parent of ¥2.3 billio...

Ministop’s Q1 Revenue Rises but Higher Costs Pressure Profitability

Jul 8, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd., a Prime Market-listed convenience store operator, derives its core earnings from franchise fees, sales at directly managed stores, and product supply operations. The company’s financial management emphasizes monitoring conso...

Ministop Posts Quarterly Loss Despite Revenue Growth, Keeps Dividend Plan Intact

Jul 8, 2026

Ministop reported gross operating revenue of ¥24.9 billion for the three months ended May 31, 2026, up 5.0% year on year, but posted an operating loss of ¥2.0 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥2.3 billion....

Ministop Details Governance and Position Under Aeon’s Controlling Stake

May 25, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd., a convenience and retail operator within Japan’s Aeon Group, benefits from the parent company’s large-scale purchasing power, private-brand development, and shared services, while retaining autonomy over daily operatio...

Ministop Issues 20th Series of Stock Options to Align Director Pay With Performance

May 22, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd., a Japanese convenience store chain listed on the Tokyo Prime Market, has approved the issuance of its 20th series of share acquisition rights as share compensation-type stock options for directors. The program is structured to ali...

Ministop Narrows Losses and Targets Return to Profit in Fiscal 2027

May 7, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd. reported a 4.9% year-on-year increase in gross operating revenue to ¥91.8 billion for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, but remained in the red, posting an operating loss of ¥3.6 billion and a net loss of ¥5.6...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026