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Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) AI Stock Analysis

3 Followers
JP:9946

Ministop Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9946)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,729.00â–¼(-3.19% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by the company's inability to generate a profit, which results in a negative P/E ratio and erodes shareholder equity. While the balance sheet is stable with minimal debt, this is a defensive trait that does not offset the core operational weakness. The stock's persistent downtrend across all major moving averages confirms negative market sentiment.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReboundRevenue growth has returned across two consecutive annual periods, indicating improved sales momentum after weaker performance. If maintained, this larger sales base can support better operating leverage and provide a foundation for restoring profitability across the MINISTOP store network.
Negative Factors
Persistent LossesPersistent operating and net losses show that revenue growth has not yet translated into a sustainable earnings model. Continued losses can restrict reinvestment, weaken returns, and make recovery dependent on substantial improvement in the cost structure below gross profit.

Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9946-11.89%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 51.81B
Dividend Yield
1.12%
Average Volume (3M)
64.16K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.1
Beta (1Y)
0.27
Revenue Growth
2.66%
EPS Growth
-81.23%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,492
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Grocery Stores

Ministop Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MINISTOP Co., Ltd. engages in the development and franchising of convenience store chains under the MINISTOP brand name in Japan and internationally. MINISTOP Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Chiba, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Ministop makes money primarily through the operation and franchising of convenience stores under the MINISTOP brand. Key revenue and profit drivers include: (1) Retail sales to consumers at company-operated stores, where the company earns gross profi...

Ministop Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak. Persistent operating and net losses overshadow modest revenue growth and improved gross margins. Positive operating cash flow and a strong, low-debt balance sheet provide some stability, but negative free cash flow and declining equity are significant concerns.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.13B91.79B87.47B79.06B81.29B183.68B
Gross Profit37.05B38.75B37.68B37.42B36.93B49.70B
EBITDA-5.99B-1.99B-414.00M2.92B2.45B7.77B
Net Income-10.13B-5.63B-6.77B-468.00M12.83B-3.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.66B69.01B74.69B77.90B79.22B117.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.24B23.17B23.90B25.78B30.43B29.66B
Total Debt576.00M761.00M247.00M307.00M1.65B14.57B
Total Liabilities36.76B41.85B41.90B37.22B38.60B88.77B
Stockholders Equity22.18B26.46B32.51B39.64B40.61B28.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-374.00M-1.09B-2.28B-3.11B-7.24B
Operating Cash Flow01.79B1.94B585.00M-2.07B-3.62B
Investing Cash Flow0-947.00M-492.00M-6.62B5.09B22.09B
Financing Cash Flow0-774.00M-806.00M-1.96B-1.57B-4.86B

Ministop Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price1786.00

Price Trends

50DMA1781.58Positive
100DMA1802.41Negative
200DMA1840.50Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.16Negative
RSI51.72Neutral
STOCH55.82Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9946, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1786.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1775.95, above the 50-day MA of 1781.58, and below the 200-day MA of 1840.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9946.

Ministop Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9946 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9956JP:995670OutperformJPY 191.83B9.90―2.43%9.04%14.45%
JP:8278JP:827858NeutralJPY 177.79B20.73―1.45%-1.47%119.37%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:7601JP:760153NeutralJPY 1.83B27.27――-0.91%-64.92%
JP:7512JP:751252NeutralJPY 114.31B43.92―1.95%3.06%-17.63%
JP:3222JP:322250NeutralJPY 163.58B-24.26―2.03%10.71%-523.13%
JP:9946JP:994643NeutralJPY 51.52B-5.12―1.12%2.66%-81.23%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%JP:9946JP:3222JP:7512JP:7601JP:8278JP:9956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9946 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9946Ministop Co., Ltd.1786.00-252.85-12.40%
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.789.00-54.00-6.41%
JP:7512Aeon Hokkaido Corporation828.00-44.93-5.15%
JP:7601POPLAR Co., Ltd.153.00-20.00-11.56%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.2067.0082.154.14%
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1627.00116.227.69%

Ministop Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Ministop Swings to Loss Despite Higher Revenue, Keeps Dividend Payout

Oct 29, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd. reported a challenging first half for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, with gross operating revenue rising 4.8% year on year to ¥51.1 billion but swinging to an operating loss of ¥2.8 billion and a net loss attributable to...

Ministop’s Q2 Results Show Revenue Growth but Profit Pressure Amid Higher Costs

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop reported its consolidated results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending February 2027, showing growth in gross operating revenue and product supply, alongside higher advertising and equipment costs. While operating gross profit im...

Ministop Swings to Loss Despite Revenue Growth and Maintains Dividend

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop reported a 4.8% rise in gross operating revenue to ¥51.1 billion for the six months ended August 31, 2026, but swung to a loss, posting an operating loss of ¥2.8 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of ¥4.0 billion. The company’s eq...

Ministop Books ¥869 Million Impairment Loss on Store and Rental Assets

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop Co., Ltd. reported that it has recorded extraordinary losses in its consolidated and non-consolidated financial statements for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, primarily due to impairment of fixed assets relate...

Ministop Cuts Profit Outlook for FY2026, Plans Reforms to Boost Core Convenience Business

Oct 8, 2026

Ministop revised its consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, keeping gross operating revenue unchanged at ¥97 billion but shifting from a previously expected modest profit to projected operating and ordinary losses and a l...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026