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DMS INC. (9782) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9782

DMS INC.

(TSE/TYO:9782)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,870.00â–²(22.47% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/19/26

The score is primarily driven by solid financial health and flexibility from very low leverage alongside improved recent revenue/earnings momentum. This is balanced by cash-flow volatility and only moderate/variable margins. Valuation is supportive due to a very high dividend yield and a moderate P/E, while technicals are neutral-to-mildly positive rather than strongly bullish.

Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Re-accelerationThe return to stronger top-line growth indicates improving demand and market traction after a softer period. Sustained revenue expansion would improve operating leverage and provide a durable foundation for earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Moderate and Volatile MarginsPositive profitability has not translated into consistently expanding margins. The decline from 2024 levels suggests limited pricing or operating leverage, leaving earnings more exposed to cost pressure and competitive intensity.

DMS INC. (9782) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:9782+6.55%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 17.34B
Dividend Yield
7.41%
Average Volume (3M)
32.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.4
Beta (1Y)
0.94
Revenue Growth
4.57%
EPS Growth
22.38%
Country
Japan
Employees
283
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Advertising Agencies

DMS INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

DMS Inc., founded in 1954 and based in Tokyo, Japan, provides an extensive portfolio of direct marketing and business support solutions. The company specializes in direct mail services, encompassing everything from strategic planning and creative pro...

DMS INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Improving top-line momentum (~10% revenue growth in 2026 after softer 2025) and positive profitability, supported by a very conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.02). Offsetting factors are margin volatility (net margin ~3.6% in 2026, below ~5.6% in 2024) and inconsistent cash generation, including a negative free-cash-flow year in 2025 despite the 2026 rebound.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.33B30.31B27.56B26.90B29.29B27.97B
Gross Profit2.83B2.93B2.51B2.77B3.25B2.97B
EBITDA2.38B1.94B1.63B2.58B2.07B2.00B
Net Income1.36B1.10B841.33M1.52B1.15B1.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.14B20.27B20.85B21.58B22.38B19.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.25B6.93B7.75B9.11B7.98B5.12B
Total Debt482.30M302.19M293.49M444.53M595.59M221.09M
Total Liabilities4.73B4.40B4.12B4.89B7.02B5.28B
Stockholders Equity16.41B15.87B16.73B16.69B15.35B14.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.54B-164.30M117.24M2.48B922.50M
Operating Cash Flow01.88B669.46M879.30M2.71B1.18B
Investing Cash Flow0-354.87M-930.07M875.91M79.51M-269.79M
Financing Cash Flow0-2.34B-1.11B-624.71M76.64M-326.46M

DMS INC. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3160.00

Price Trends

50DMA3294.08Negative
100DMA3303.15Negative
200DMA3317.01Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-39.86Positive
RSI39.60Neutral
STOCH30.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9782, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3160.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3238.50, below the 50-day MA of 3294.08, and below the 200-day MA of 3317.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -39.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9782.

DMS INC. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9782 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7354JP:735479OutperformJPY 17.43B9.21―1.90%2.86%70.83%
JP:2122JP:212274OutperformJPY 8.97B17.65―2.32%8.34%125.72%
JP:9782JP:978274OutperformJPY 18.56B16.39―7.41%4.57%22.38%
JP:6045JP:604565NeutralJPY 14.93B5.21―1.22%289.34%309.72%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:6094JP:609448NeutralJPY 8.87B4.49――10.01%―
JP:2491JP:249141NeutralJPY 12.25B-3.55―7.92%-59.47%-181.86%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%JP:9782JP:2122JP:2491JP:6045JP:6094JP:7354Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9782 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9782DMS INC.3160.00217.687.40%
JP:2122Interspace Co., Ltd.1294.0085.317.06%
JP:2491ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.404.00-253.21-38.53%
JP:6045Rentracks Co., Ltd.1964.00395.7525.24%
JP:6094FreakOut Holdings, Inc.494.00-9.00-1.79%
JP:7354Direct Marketing MiX Inc.368.0094.5334.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026