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Tokai (9729) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9729

Tokai

(TSE/TYO:9729)

Select Model
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,076.00▲(13.01% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial stability (especially very low leverage) and steady operating performance, offset by variability in free cash flow. Technicals add support via a clear uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and a moderate dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Very low leverageVery low leverage gives Tokai substantial financial flexibility and reduces the burden of interest and refinancing obligations. This conservative capital structure can help the company withstand operating volatility, preserve capacity for investment, and maintain downside protection over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Variable free cash flowFree cash flow variability makes the company’s cash funding capacity less predictable than its operating cash flow suggests. Periodic negative generation may reflect working-capital or investment swings, potentially limiting the consistency of shareholder returns, debt reduction, or internally funded expansion.

Tokai (9729) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:9729+22.60%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 88.83B
Dividend Yield
2.72%
Average Volume (3M)
43.35K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.4
Beta (1Y)
0.63
Revenue Growth
4.92%
EPS Growth
48.32%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,694
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Medical - Care Facilities

Tokai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1955 and headquartered in Gifu, Japan, TOKAI Corp. offers a comprehensive suite of services throughout Japan, centered around enhancing the quality of life. Within the healthcare sector, the company is a key provider, offering rental s...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Tokai Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are resilient overall: steady revenue growth and generally stable profitability, backed by a very conservatively levered balance sheet. The main constraint is cash-flow consistency, with free cash flow showing notable year-to-year variability despite positive operating cash flow.

Income Statement

73Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue161.06B159.66B149.54B138.22B130.18B123.48B
Gross Profit39.54B38.78B35.44B33.64B31.92B30.98B
EBITDA14.58B14.59B12.47B13.13B13.26B12.63B
Net Income6.16B6.07B4.73B5.81B6.11B5.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets116.60B114.69B113.95B114.93B110.78B105.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.83B26.48B26.89B31.69B37.01B36.16B
Total Debt4.70B3.22B2.65B2.35B2.87B3.40B
Total Liabilities31.28B30.26B28.10B28.14B28.56B28.38B
Stockholders Equity84.53B83.72B85.19B86.18B81.66B77.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow08.16B5.99B-372.00M2.94B6.49B
Operating Cash Flow011.44B10.10B8.04B8.59B10.13B
Investing Cash Flow0-4.23B-11.41B-10.21B-6.24B-6.74B
Financing Cash Flow0-7.83B-5.20B-3.20B-2.43B-2.90B

Tokai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2722.00

Price Trends

50DMA2607.81Positive
100DMA2496.30Positive
200DMA2479.94Positive

Market Momentum

MACD42.89Positive
RSI50.69Neutral
STOCH19.52Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9729, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2722.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2761.20, above the 50-day MA of 2607.81, and above the 200-day MA of 2479.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 42.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9729.

Tokai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9729 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9729JP:972976OutperformJPY 88.83B14.407.27%2.72%4.92%48.32%
JP:9699JP:969975OutperformJPY 119.75B9.86―3.05%0.17%3.63%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:5834JP:583461NeutralJPY 39.78B5.95―4.71%47.13%16.70%
JP:8424JP:842457NeutralJPY 363.67B16.48―4.08%21.37%37.39%
JP:8439JP:843957NeutralJPY 1.25T14.75―3.69%10.62%-35.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9729JP:5834JP:8424JP:8439JP:9699JP:372ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9729 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9729Tokai Corp2722.00466.7420.70%
JP:5834SBI Leasing Services Co.,Ltd.2547.0066.552.68%
JP:8424Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd.4043.00156.594.03%
JP:8439Tokyo Century Corporation2604.50747.3540.24%
JP:9699NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.4455.00296.507.13%
JP:372ARent Corporation6130.00508.359.04%

Tokai Corporate Events

TOKAI Reports Record-High FY3/27 Second-Quarter Sales and Profit

Nov 12, 2026

TOKAI Corp. reported that net sales and profit at all levels reached record highs in the second quarter of FY3/27. The company revised its full-year business forecast upward, changing initial expectations for year-on-year declines in operating and or...

Tokai Reports Higher First-Half Sales and Profit

Nov 12, 2026

Tokai Corp. reported consolidated net sales of ¥82,111 million for the six months ended Sept. 30, 2026, up 3.9% year over year. Operating profit rose 11.5% to ¥4,920 million, ordinary profit increased 10.6% to ¥5,170 million, and profit attributable...

Tokai Lifts Earnings and Dividend Forecasts on Strong Healthcare and Elderly Care Gains

Oct 22, 2026

Tokai Corp. is a Japan-based service company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, operating primarily in the dispensing pharmacy and elderly care businesses. The group focuses on prescription-related services, including drug and technical...

Tokai Corp. Announces Passing and Resignation of Outside Director

Oct 19, 2026

Tokai Corp. has announced the passing of outside director and independent officer Kenji Kawashima on September 30, 2026, which resulted in his resignation from the board on the same date. The company expressed gratitude for Kawashima’s contributions...

Tokai to Acquire Regional Welfare Equipment Units via Simplified Company Splits

Sep 7, 2026

Tokai Corp. has approved simplified absorption-type company splits to take over the welfare equipment rental, sales and home modification businesses of K-WORKER Co., Ltd. in Tokyo and Araki Mari-n Co., Ltd. in Kumamoto. The transfer, effective Novemb...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026