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Tokai Corp. (JP:9729)
:9729
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Tokai (9729) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9729

Tokai

(9729)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,875.00
▲(19.00% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial stability (especially very low leverage) and steady operating performance, offset by variability in free cash flow. Technicals add support via a clear uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Very Low Leverage
Minimal debt reduces interest and refinancing risk while preserving financial flexibility. The substantial equity base provides downside protection and leaves Tokai better positioned to fund operations or pursue opportunities through changing economic conditions.
Negative Factors
Variable Free Cash Flow
Uneven free cash flow reduces visibility into cash available after investment and working-capital needs. While the latest period improved materially, recurring swings could constrain shareholder returns or discretionary spending during weaker cash-conversion periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very Low Leverage
Minimal debt reduces interest and refinancing risk while preserving financial flexibility. The substantial equity base provides downside protection and leaves Tokai better positioned to fund operations or pursue opportunities through changing economic conditions.
Read all positive factors

Tokai (9729) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 1955 and headquartered in Gifu, Japan, TOKAI Corp. offers a comprehensive suite of services throughout Japan, centered around enhancing the quality of life. Within the healthcare sector, the company is a key provider, offering renta...
How the Company Makes Money
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Tokai Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are resilient overall: steady revenue growth and generally stable profitability, backed by a very conservatively levered balance sheet. The main constraint is cash-flow consistency, with free cash flow showing notable year-to-year variability despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue161.06B159.66B149.54B138.22B130.18B123.48B
Gross Profit39.54B38.78B35.44B33.64B31.92B30.98B
EBITDA14.58B14.59B12.47B13.13B13.26B12.63B
Net Income6.16B6.07B4.73B5.81B6.11B5.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets116.60B114.69B113.95B114.93B110.78B105.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.83B26.48B26.89B31.69B37.01B36.16B
Total Debt4.70B3.22B2.65B2.35B2.87B3.40B
Total Liabilities31.28B30.26B28.10B28.14B28.56B28.38B
Stockholders Equity84.53B83.72B85.19B86.18B81.66B77.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.008.16B5.99B-372.00M2.94B6.49B
Operating Cash Flow0.0011.44B10.10B8.04B8.59B10.13B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.23B-11.41B-10.21B-6.24B-6.74B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-7.83B-5.20B-3.20B-2.43B-2.90B

Tokai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2416.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2428.92
Positive
100DMA
2467.47
Positive
200DMA
2452.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
41.16
Negative
RSI
64.08
Neutral
STOCH
81.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9729, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2416 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2493.05, below the 50-day MA of 2428.92, and below the 200-day MA of 2452.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 41.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9729.

Tokai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
¥130.44B11.932.85%-1.83%-7.27%
76
Outperform
¥83.29B13.522.51%4.92%48.32%
68
Neutral
¥43.22B6.113.90%52.60%34.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
¥1.28T10.533.37%8.43%47.30%
51
Neutral
¥403.89B17.873.62%18.54%-54.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9729
Tokai
2,577.00
456.29
21.52%
JP:5834
SBI Leasing Services Co.,Ltd.
2,705.00
196.58
7.84%
JP:8424
Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd.
4,410.00
139.03
3.26%
JP:8439
Tokyo Century Corporation
2,632.00
829.01
45.98%
JP:9699
NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
4,745.00
684.70
16.86%
JP:372A
Rent Corporation
5,590.00
-771.60
-12.13%

Tokai Corporate Events

Tokai Updates Q1 FY3/27 Results After Finalizing M&A Accounting
Aug 7, 2026
Tokai Corp. released supplementary materials for its financial results briefing covering the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, dated August 7, 2026. The disclosure underscores the company’s commitment to structured inve...
Tokai Corp. Delivers Profit Growth and Raises Dividend Outlook
Aug 7, 2026
Tokai Corp. reported consolidated net sales of ¥40.6 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 3.6% year on year, with operating profit rising 11.5% to ¥2.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent increasing 7....
Tokai Corp. Reshapes Senior Roles in Hospital Business and Affiliated Operations
Jul 21, 2026
Tokai Corp. has announced a reshuffle of senior management effective July 31, 2026, adjusting roles within its hospital-related operations. Director Hirokazu Hori will continue as Director while shifting from Division Director and Head of the Hosp...
Tokai Completes Treasury Share Disposal for Restricted Stock Compensation
Jul 17, 2026
Tokai Corp. has completed the disposal of 17,045 shares of its treasury stock as restricted stock compensation, following a June 25, 2026 board resolution. The shares were disposed of at 2,315 yen per share, for a total value of 39,459,175 yen, wi...
Tokai Revamps Board and Officer Lineup to Bolster Governance and Healthcare Focus
Jun 25, 2026
Tokai Corp. has overhauled its governance structure, appointing Koji Onogi as chairperson and representative director and confirming Toshiaki Asai as president and representative director, alongside a mix of internal and outside directors, includi...
Tokai to Grant Restricted Treasury Shares to Executives Under Long-Term Incentive Plan
Jun 25, 2026
Tokai Corp. has approved the disposal of 17,045 treasury shares as restricted stock compensation to 19 internal executives, including directors and corporate officers, at a price of 2,315 yen per share for a total of 39,459,175 yen. The move is pa...
Tokai to Acquire QLC Produce, Expanding Rehabilitation Daycare and Elderly Care Platform
Jun 21, 2026
Tokai Corp. has agreed to acquire all shares of QLC Produce Corporation from Idemitsu Kosan, making the rehabilitation-focused daycare operator a wholly owned subsidiary. QLC Produce runs 169 rehabilitation-type daycare locations across Japan, mai...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026