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Tokai (9729) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9729

Tokai

(TSE/TYO:9729)

Select Model
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,318.00â–²(16.01% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Tokai scores 82, reflecting strong financials, bullish technicals, and reasonable valuation. The company's low debt, robust cash flow, and consistent revenue growth provide a solid foundation. Positive price momentum and an attractive dividend yield enhance the investment case. Minor concerns include margin compression and overbought stochastic signals, but these are outweighed by the overall positive profile.

Positive Factors
Very Low LeverageVery low leverage gives Tokai meaningful financial resilience and flexibility. Limited debt reduces interest and refinancing pressure, supports continued investment through weaker conditions, and leaves more capacity for operating needs or strategic opportunities over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Variable Free Cash FlowFree-cash-flow variability makes internally generated funding less predictable than operating cash flow alone suggests. Periodic negative FCF can constrain discretionary investment or shareholder distributions, while swings relative to earnings indicate that cash conversion may remain uneven over the medium term.

Tokai (9729) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:9729+36.14%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 92.51B
Dividend Yield
2.59%
Average Volume (3M)
41.80K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.1
Beta (1Y)
0.62
Revenue Growth
4.92%
EPS Growth
48.32%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,694
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Rental & Leasing Services

Tokai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1955 and headquartered in Gifu, Japan, TOKAI Corp. offers a comprehensive suite of services throughout Japan, centered around enhancing the quality of life. Within the healthcare sector, the company is a key provider, offering rental s...

How the Company Makes Money

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Tokai Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tokai demonstrates solid financial health: consistent revenue growth (4% in FY2026), strong balance sheet with minimal debt (debt/equity 3.8%), and robust cash flow generation (operating cash flow ¥11.4B, up 13%). Profitability margins have softened slightly, but overall fundamentals are strong.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue161.06B159.66B149.54B138.22B130.18B123.48B
Gross Profit39.54B38.78B35.44B33.64B31.92B30.98B
EBITDA14.58B14.59B12.47B13.13B13.26B12.63B
Net Income6.16B6.07B4.73B5.81B6.11B5.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets116.60B114.69B113.95B114.93B110.78B105.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.83B26.48B26.89B31.69B37.01B36.16B
Total Debt4.70B3.22B2.65B2.35B2.87B3.40B
Total Liabilities31.28B30.26B28.10B28.14B28.56B28.38B
Stockholders Equity84.53B83.72B85.19B86.18B81.66B77.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow08.16B5.99B-372.00M2.94B6.49B
Operating Cash Flow011.44B10.10B8.04B8.59B10.13B
Investing Cash Flow0-4.23B-11.41B-10.21B-6.24B-6.74B
Financing Cash Flow0-7.83B-5.20B-3.20B-2.43B-2.90B

Tokai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2860.00

Price Trends

50DMA2574.04Positive
100DMA2462.32Positive
200DMA2470.01Positive

Market Momentum

MACD97.32Negative
RSI65.77Neutral
STOCH62.35Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9729, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2860.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2690.20, above the 50-day MA of 2574.04, and above the 200-day MA of 2470.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 97.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9729.

Tokai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9729 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9699JP:969985OutperformJPY 118.51B10.86―3.09%-1.83%-7.27%
JP:9729JP:972982OutperformJPY 92.51B15.097.27%2.59%4.92%48.32%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:5834JP:583458NeutralJPY 39.79B5.80―4.81%47.13%16.70%
JP:8424JP:842457NeutralJPY 387.04B17.29―3.86%18.54%-54.13%
JP:8439JP:843957NeutralJPY 1.25T9.98―3.50%8.43%47.30%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9729JP:5834JP:8424JP:8439JP:9699JP:372ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:9729 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9729Tokai Corp2860.00783.4537.73%
JP:5834SBI Leasing Services Co.,Ltd.2496.0092.173.83%
JP:8424Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd.4273.00385.639.92%
JP:8439Tokyo Century Corporation2540.00786.3244.84%
JP:9699NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.4270.004.620.11%
JP:372ARent Corporation6160.00586.3910.52%

Tokai Corporate Events

Tokai Lifts Earnings and Dividend Forecasts on Strong Healthcare and Elderly Care Gains

Oct 22, 2026

Tokai Corp. is a Japan-based service company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, operating primarily in the dispensing pharmacy and elderly care businesses. The group focuses on prescription-related services, including drug and technical...

Tokai Corp. Announces Passing and Resignation of Outside Director

Oct 19, 2026

Tokai Corp. has announced the passing of outside director and independent officer Kenji Kawashima on September 30, 2026, which resulted in his resignation from the board on the same date. The company expressed gratitude for Kawashima’s contribu...

Tokai to Acquire Regional Welfare Equipment Units via Simplified Company Splits

Sep 7, 2026

Tokai Corp. has approved simplified absorption-type company splits to take over the welfare equipment rental, sales and home modification businesses of K-WORKER Co., Ltd. in Tokyo and Araki Mari-n Co., Ltd. in Kumamoto. The transfer, effective Novemb...

Tokai Updates Q1 FY3/27 Results After Finalizing M&A Accounting

Aug 7, 2026

Tokai Corp. released supplementary materials for its financial results briefing covering the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, dated August 7, 2026. The disclosure underscores the company’s commitment to structured investo...

Tokai Corp. Delivers Profit Growth and Raises Dividend Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

Tokai Corp. reported consolidated net sales of ¥40.6 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 3.6% year on year, with operating profit rising 11.5% to ¥2.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent increasing 7.2%...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026