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NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9699) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9699

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.

(TSE/TYO:9699)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,768.00▲(7.03% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is driven primarily by strong and improving financial performance (steady growth, better leverage, positive free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low-to-moderate P/E and ~3% dividend yield). These are partially offset by weaker technical momentum indicators (negative MACD and sub-40 RSI), which temper the near-term outlook.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthRevenue has grown steadily from 2021 through 2026, pointing to resilient demand across the equipment-rental and industrial-services base. Continued top-line expansion can support fleet investment, operating scale, and customer reach over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Gross Profit VolatilityAlthough revenue and reported margins remained broadly stable, gross profit dipped sharply in 2025 versus other years. This volatility may signal changing mix, one-off effects, or cost pressure, and could constrain margin durability if it recurs.

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9699) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9699+6.51%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 122.84B
Dividend Yield
3.05%
Average Volume (3M)
85.98K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.9
Beta (1Y)
0.60
Revenue Growth
0.17%
EPS Growth
3.63%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,842
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Rental & Leasing Services

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nishio Rent All Co., Ltd. operates in the construction machinery rental sector both domestically in Japan and across international markets. The company provides an extensive fleet of equipment for civil and road construction projects, including light...

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are solid: steady multi-year revenue growth, stable profitability (mid-5% net margin and high-single-digit operating margin), improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.39 by 2026), and consistently positive free cash flow. Key risks are volatility in gross profit (notably the 2025 dip) and historically uneven operating cash flow versus earnings.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2026Sep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue211.30B215.33B214.95B199.00B185.66B170.63B
Gross Profit66.55B86.97B48.28B80.90B74.18B68.25B
EBITDA53.19B20.70B53.65B52.87B48.38B45.91B
Net Income11.54B12.53B12.11B11.60B10.29B9.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets317.42B314.31B297.26B290.68B272.57B261.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.35B67.69B62.20B49.82B43.04B47.70B
Total Debt106.53B57.20B96.26B95.27B92.34B93.83B
Total Liabilities172.05B165.52B156.97B156.38B148.17B144.93B
Stockholders Equity143.38B147.60B138.53B132.16B122.24B114.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.81B23.01B27.57B21.47B12.91B13.02B
Operating Cash Flow17.09B30.53B31.81B29.55B24.41B21.32B
Investing Cash Flow-1.97B-8.48B-4.21B-9.39B-11.79B-9.15B
Financing Cash Flow-10.53B-16.63B-15.18B-13.50B-17.70B-12.08B

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4455.00

Price Trends

50DMA4370.84Positive
100DMA4230.47Positive
200DMA4221.11Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.34Negative
RSI58.38Neutral
STOCH60.83Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9699, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4455.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4273.25, above the 50-day MA of 4370.84, and above the 200-day MA of 4221.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -2.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9699.

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:9699 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7081JP:708178OutperformJPY 14.03B7.24―2.88%4.07%6.81%
JP:9699JP:969971OutperformJPY 119.75B9.86―3.05%0.17%3.63%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:8596JP:859659NeutralJPY 33.39B7.85―4.15%16.65%29.40%
JP:8424JP:842457NeutralJPY 363.67B16.48―4.08%21.37%37.39%
JP:8439JP:843957NeutralJPY 1.25T14.75―3.69%10.62%-35.62%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9699JP:7081JP:8424JP:8439JP:8596JP:372ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9699 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9699NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.4455.00296.507.13%
JP:7081Koyou Rentia Co., Ltd.1250.0086.567.44%
JP:8424Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd.4043.00156.594.03%
JP:8439Tokyo Century Corporation2604.50747.3540.24%
JP:8596Kyushu Leasing Service Co., Ltd.1470.00216.7217.29%
JP:372ARent Corporation6130.00508.359.04%

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Corporate Events

Nishio Holdings Announces Three-Segment Reporting Change

Nov 10, 2026

Nishio Holdings said its board resolved to change reportable segments from a single Rental-related Business segment to three: Domestic Construction Equipment, Domestic Event and Overseas. The company said the change follows its shift to a holding-com...

Nishio Holdings Announces Executive Personnel Changes

Nov 10, 2026

Nishio Holdings Co., Ltd. is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market under stock code 9699. The release identifies business functions spanning construction machinery, telecommunications and measurement equipment, overseas technology and overs...

Nishio Holdings Proposes ¥136 FY9/2026 Year-End Dividend

Nov 10, 2026

Nishio Holdings Co., Ltd. is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market under stock code 9699.The board resolved on November 10, 2026, to distribute a year-end dividend of 136 yen per share for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2026, up from i...

Nishio Holdings Reports Fiscal 2026 Consolidated Results

Nov 10, 2026

Nishio Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥215,328 million for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2026, up 0.2% year on year. Operating profit fell 1.1% to ¥19,389 million and ordinary profit fell 1.4% to ¥18,560 million, while profit attri...

Nishio Holdings Reports Fiscal 2026 Sales of ¥215,328 Million

Nov 10, 2026

Nishio Holdings Co., Ltd. reported net sales of ¥215,328 million for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2026, up 0.2% year on year. Operating profit fell 1.1% to ¥19,389 million and ordinary profit declined 1.4% to ¥18,560 million, while profit attr...

Nishio Holdings Completes ¥923 Million Share Buyback Under Board Mandate

Sep 24, 2026

Nishio Holdings has completed a board-authorized share repurchase program conducted under Japan’s Companies Act, buying back 198,000 common shares between September 1 and September 18, 2026, for a total of ¥923.8 million via market purchases through...

Nishio Holdings Reports Progress on ¥2 Billion Share Buyback Program

Sep 1, 2026

Nishio Holdings Co., Ltd. has disclosed the status of its ongoing share repurchase program, authorized by a Board resolution on August 3, 2026 under provisions of the Companies Act of Japan. The company is buying back common stock through market purc...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026