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NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9699) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9699

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.

(TSE/TYO:9699)

Select Model
Rating:90Outperform
Price Target:JPY 5,262.00â–²(23.96% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. achieves a strong score of 90, primarily driven by exceptional fundamental growth, outstanding cash flow generation, and a very attractive valuation profile. The low P/E ratio of 10.3 and a 3.05% dividend yield offer significant value to investors. Technical indicators reinforce this positive outlook, showing robust bullish momentum with the stock trading above all major moving averages. Earnings call and corporate event factors were excluded due to a lack of available data, allowing the core fundamentals and technicals to drive the final rating.

Positive Factors
Recurring rental business modelNishio operates an equipment rental model with recurring rental fees plus logistics and maintenance services, creating stable, contractual cash flows. This asset-light customer-facing service mix supports predictable revenue streams and long-term customer relationships that endure across cycles.
Negative Factors
Margin pressureAlthough profitable, a modest 5.6% net margin and recent margin decline suggest cost inflation or competitive pricing pressure. Sustained margin erosion would constrain free cash flow potential and limit the company's ability to fund capex or accelerate deleveraging without reducing returns to shareholders.

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (9699) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9699+1.49%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 117.85B
Dividend Yield
3.11%
Average Volume (3M)
82.69K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.8
Beta (1Y)
0.59
Revenue Growth
-1.83%
EPS Growth
-7.27%
Country
Japan
Employees
4,842
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Rental & Leasing Services

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nishio Rent All Co., Ltd. operates in the construction machinery rental sector both domestically in Japan and across international markets. The company provides an extensive fleet of equipment for civil and road construction projects, including light...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money by renting out equipment and charging customers recurring rental fees over the rental period. Key revenue streams typically include (1) rental income from construction and industrial machinery and tools, (2) service-...

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company exhibits exceptional financial health, highlighted by explosive 65.2% revenue growth and outstanding cash flow generation with Free Cash Flow growing by 116.1%. The balance sheet is also strengthening, marked by a steadily decreasing Debt-to-Equity ratio.

Income Statement

92Very Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

95Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue211.30B214.95B199.00B185.66B170.63B161.75B
Gross Profit66.55B48.28B80.90B74.18B68.25B64.63B
EBITDA53.19B53.65B52.87B48.38B45.91B43.07B
Net Income11.54B12.11B11.60B10.29B9.17B8.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets317.42B297.26B290.68B272.57B261.70B248.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.35B62.20B49.82B43.04B47.70B47.59B
Total Debt106.53B96.26B95.27B92.34B93.83B87.85B
Total Liabilities172.05B156.97B156.38B148.17B144.93B138.14B
Stockholders Equity143.38B138.53B132.16B122.24B114.57B107.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.81B27.57B21.47B12.91B13.02B18.03B
Operating Cash Flow17.09B31.81B29.55B24.41B21.32B21.60B
Investing Cash Flow-1.97B-4.21B-9.39B-11.79B-9.15B-5.59B
Financing Cash Flow-10.53B-15.18B-13.50B-17.70B-12.08B-1.97B

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4245.00

Price Trends

50DMA4395.77Negative
100DMA4200.72Positive
200DMA4228.80Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-25.81Negative
RSI45.91Neutral
STOCH37.27Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9699, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4245.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4223.25, below the 50-day MA of 4395.77, and above the 200-day MA of 4228.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -25.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9699.

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:9699 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9699JP:969990OutperformJPY 118.51B10.79―3.11%-1.83%-7.27%
JP:7081JP:708174OutperformJPY 14.25B7.35―2.84%4.07%6.81%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:8596JP:859662NeutralJPY 33.43B7.69―4.18%16.61%17.27%
JP:8424JP:842457NeutralJPY 387.04B17.16―3.89%18.54%-54.13%
JP:8439JP:843957NeutralJPY 1.25T9.88―3.54%8.43%47.30%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9699JP:7081JP:8424JP:8439JP:8596JP:372ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9699 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9699NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.4245.008.770.21%
JP:7081Koyou Rentia Co., Ltd.1269.00149.3313.34%
JP:8424Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd.4243.00336.368.61%
JP:8439Tokyo Century Corporation2514.50734.8341.29%
JP:8596Kyushu Leasing Service Co., Ltd.1459.00199.0015.79%
JP:372ARent Corporation6030.00571.7110.47%

NISHIO HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Corporate Events

Nishio Holdings Launches ¥2 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

Aug 3, 2026

Nishio Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a share repurchase program aimed at enhancing shareholder value by improving capital efficiency and enabling more dynamic capital policies. The plan underscores management’s intention to actively manage it...

Nishio Holdings Clarifies Funding Policy and Launches Treasury Share Buyback

Aug 3, 2026

Nishio Holdings has adopted a clearer funding policy to support ongoing investment in rental assets, business bases and M&A, while safeguarding its financial soundness. The company plans to annually disclose its funding outlook with financial res...

Nishio Holdings Posts Lower Nine-Month Profit but Raises Full-Year Dividend Forecast

Aug 3, 2026

Nishio Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥157.8 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, down 3.2% year on year, with operating profit falling 9.8% to ¥13.3 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent declining 12....

Nishio Holdings Delivers Softer First-Half Earnings but Keeps Outlook and Dividend Plan Intact

May 11, 2026

Nishio Holdings reported a decline in performance for the six months ended March 31, 2026, with net sales down 3.3% to ¥107.9 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent falling 7.9% to ¥6.7 billion, alongside lower earnings per...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026