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Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (9539) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9539

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9539)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,308.00â–²(8.91% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/07/26

Improving financial performance and controlled leverage are the primary strengths, supported by reasonable valuation. Weak technical momentum and persistently negative free cash flow materially reduce the overall score.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit recoveryThe sharp 2025 revenue rebound and improved net margin indicate that operating performance has recovered from the 2024 weakness. If this momentum persists, stronger earnings can support reinvestment, reinforce the utility’s customer base, and improve financial resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flowRepeatedly negative free cash flow limits the cash available for shareholders, debt reduction, and internally funded growth. Even with improved operating cash flow, continued investment or working-capital demands could constrain financial flexibility and make reported earnings less reflective of distributable cash.

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (9539) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:9539+6.36%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 39.58B
Dividend Yield
2.16%
Average Volume (3M)
10.66K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.3
Beta (1Y)
0.35
Revenue Growth
1.76%
EPS Growth
18.95%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,275
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, supply, and sale of gas in Japan. The company operates through Energy, Life Services, and Real Estate segments. It is also involved in the sale of gas equipment; and prov...

How the Company Makes Money

Keiyo Gas primarily makes money by selling city gas to end users (e.g., residential, commercial, and industrial customers) through its distribution network. Revenue is generated from usage-based gas charges (driven by customer consumption) and, where...

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue, equity, and operating cash flow improved, while leverage remains controlled. Persistent negative free cash flow, volatile margins, and modest ROE limit the score.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.78B117.67B115.61B122.85B118.76B89.71B
Gross Profit38.13B37.61B25.85B27.66B26.46B28.19B
EBITDA12.27B14.31B11.90B12.00B9.59B10.89B
Net Income4.09B3.21B1.62B1.46B219.00M1.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets182.43B178.05B168.25B163.67B149.38B132.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.87B22.03B20.24B26.28B16.12B14.74B
Total Debt32.05B31.48B24.69B25.46B27.98B17.68B
Total Liabilities72.62B73.52B69.37B71.13B59.85B47.56B
Stockholders Equity106.22B101.10B95.62B89.40B86.88B82.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-697.00M-6.21B15.32B-4.86B-5.10B
Operating Cash Flow013.70B10.01B28.33B6.91B8.67B
Investing Cash Flow0-13.09B-9.65B-25.06B-15.63B-17.18B
Financing Cash Flow02.28B-1.02B-2.63B10.10B6.68B

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1201.00

Price Trends

50DMA1305.36Negative
100DMA1363.39Negative
200DMA1334.61Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-29.24Positive
RSI26.36Positive
STOCH20.76Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9539, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1201.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1254.55, below the 50-day MA of 1305.36, and below the 200-day MA of 1334.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -29.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.36 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9539.

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

JP:9539 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9543JP:954378OutperformJPY 100.70B10.397.33%3.27%2.03%-22.02%
JP:9532JP:953270OutperformJPY 2.21T18.016.91%2.16%0.88%-27.81%
JP:9531JP:953169NeutralJPY 2.15T11.1911.52%1.85%3.63%14.06%
JP:9533JP:953368NeutralJPY 455.81B25.273.73%1.82%-2.49%-30.83%
JP:9539JP:953968NeutralJPY 39.50B10.35―2.16%1.76%18.95%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
JP:9536JP:953662NeutralJPY 102.17B9.788.87%2.48%-5.67%20.75%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9539JP:9532JP:9533JP:9531JP:9536JP:9543Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9539 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9539Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.1201.0068.926.09%
JP:9532Osaka Gas Co 5780.00701.2913.81%
JP:9533TOHO GAS Co 1238.5055.864.72%
JP:9531TOKYO GAS Co 6471.00471.387.86%
JP:9536SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.2828.00963.1051.64%
JP:9543SHIZUOKA GAS CO. LTD.1362.00222.8219.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026