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Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (JP:9539)
:9539
Japanese Market
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Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (9539) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9539

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.

(9539)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,515.00
▲(28.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: improving revenue and profitability and a manageable balance sheet are offset by consistently negative free cash flow. Valuation is supportive (P/E ~11.35 and ~1.78% yield), while technicals are neutral-to-soft in the near term (below 20-day average with muted momentum).
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage
A debt-to-equity near 0.31 and steady asset/equity growth point to a conservative capital structure. That balance-sheet stability provides durable financial flexibility for network maintenance, regulated operations, and measured investment without immediate refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Consistently negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow weakens the link between reported profits and cash available for debt reduction, dividends, or reinvestment. Over several quarters this can force external financing, constrain strategic spending, and reduce resilience to commodity or demand shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable leverage
A debt-to-equity near 0.31 and steady asset/equity growth point to a conservative capital structure. That balance-sheet stability provides durable financial flexibility for network maintenance, regulated operations, and measured investment without immediate refinancing pressure.
Read all positive factors

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. (9539) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, supply, and sale of gas in Japan. The company operates through Energy, Life Services, and Real Estate segments. It is also involved in the sale of gas equipment; and p...
How the Company Makes Money
Keiyo Gas primarily makes money by selling city gas to end users under regulated and/or contracted retail tariffs, generating recurring revenue tied to customer consumption volumes. Its key revenue streams typically include: (1) Residential gas sa...

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: profitability and revenue improved in 2025 (revenue up ~61% YoY; net margin ~2.7%), and leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.31). The key drag is cash-flow quality—free cash flow has been negative in most years (including 2025 and 2024), making the earnings recovery less convincing.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue117.71B117.67B115.61B122.85B118.76B89.71B
Gross Profit38.67B37.61B25.85B27.66B26.46B28.19B
EBITDA15.47B14.31B11.90B12.00B9.59B10.89B
Net Income4.13B3.21B1.62B1.46B219.00M1.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets188.34B178.05B168.25B163.67B149.38B132.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.07B22.03B20.24B26.28B16.12B14.74B
Total Debt33.06B31.48B24.69B25.46B27.98B17.68B
Total Liabilities76.42B73.52B69.37B71.13B59.85B47.56B
Stockholders Equity108.39B101.10B95.62B89.40B86.88B82.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-697.00M-6.21B15.32B-4.86B-5.10B
Operating Cash Flow0.0013.70B10.01B28.33B6.91B8.67B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-13.09B-9.65B-25.06B-15.63B-17.18B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.28B-1.02B-2.63B10.10B6.68B

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1180.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1417.15
Negative
100DMA
1376.46
Positive
200DMA
1282.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.62
Positive
RSI
38.81
Neutral
STOCH
15.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9539, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1180 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1443.95, below the 50-day MA of 1417.15, and below the 200-day MA of 1282.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -9.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9539.

Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥92.03B9.558.20%3.89%0.10%40.92%
66
Neutral
¥2.07T14.978.93%2.17%-1.54%-5.29%
66
Neutral
¥87.23B9.736.54%3.61%-3.23%12.39%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
¥1.97T12.6613.96%1.75%6.07%11.20%
62
Neutral
¥45.14B10.781.81%-0.15%21.66%
59
Neutral
¥413.33B17.376.82%1.86%-5.50%-8.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9539
Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.
1,385.00
206.86
17.56%
JP:9532
Osaka Gas Co
5,418.00
1,324.29
32.35%
JP:9533
TOHO GAS Co
1,128.50
0.36
0.03%
JP:9531
TOKYO GAS Co
5,915.00
387.25
7.01%
JP:9536
SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
2,356.00
438.99
22.90%
JP:9543
SHIZUOKA GAS CO. LTD.
1,242.00
91.24
7.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026