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Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. (9534) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9534

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9534)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:JPY 922.00â–²(5.98% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/30/26

The overall score of 65 reflects a company with strong financial recovery and attractive valuation, offset by weak near-term price momentum and declining free cash flow. The most significant positive factors are the low P/E ratio and robust revenue growth, while the primary risks are the stock's position below key moving averages and the need to monitor capital spending efficiency.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthStrong TTM revenue growth indicates expanding sales across the company’s gas and related energy activities. If maintained, this larger revenue base can support infrastructure investment, improve operating scale, and reinforce the utility’s position with residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
Negative Factors
Recent Margin CompressionDespite strong revenue growth, the recent decline in EBIT and net margins shows that incremental sales are producing less profit than in the latest annual period. Continued compression could limit earnings growth and reduce the benefit of the company’s expanding revenue base.

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. (9534) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:9534+29.24%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 76.90B
Dividend Yield
3.00%
Average Volume (3M)
245.63K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.4
Beta (1Y)
0.55
Revenue Growth
0.69%
EPS Growth
-22.03%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,641
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. operates as an energy provider in Japan, primarily focusing on the supply of gas, heating, and electricity. Beyond these core offerings, the company also refines and markets gas by-products, manufactures and distributes gas-pow...

How the Company Makes Money

Hokkaido Gas primarily makes money by selling city gas to end users under regulated and/or retail energy arrangements. Its core revenue stream is gas sales volume multiplied by customer tariffs/unit prices, with earnings influenced by customer mix (h...

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is solid, driven by strong revenue growth and significant balance sheet deleveraging. However, the score is tempered by thin net margins and a sharp contraction in free cash flow, which introduces uncertainty about future capital allocation returns.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue174.84B174.52B170.29B173.88B174.84B126.96B
Gross Profit53.86B55.01B50.37B49.09B44.94B37.00B
EBITDA29.40B32.38B29.81B30.28B27.77B21.25B
Net Income9.22B11.53B10.40B11.63B9.96B5.24B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets184.23B198.20B197.84B188.36B185.37B161.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.09B9.80B11.32B9.47B2.72B9.57B
Total Debt51.29B52.61B51.66B62.73B68.09B58.81B
Total Liabilities83.37B98.49B109.35B109.35B117.37B102.68B
Stockholders Equity98.55B97.42B86.35B76.89B65.89B57.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.31B12.62B14.73B15.86B-14.60B8.22B
Operating Cash Flow23.27B27.03B29.83B31.68B6.70B19.71B
Investing Cash Flow-18.37B-16.53B-20.06B-16.75B-22.56B-11.11B
Financing Cash Flow-12.19B-12.03B-7.92B-8.17B9.03B-5.18B

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price870.00

Price Trends

50DMA869.66Positive
100DMA811.15Positive
200DMA820.78Positive

Market Momentum

MACD5.08Negative
RSI53.06Neutral
STOCH50.36Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9534, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 870.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 861.15, above the 50-day MA of 869.66, and above the 200-day MA of 820.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9534.

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

JP:9534 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9537JP:953785OutperformJPY 20.16B6.07―1.90%1.67%34.46%
JP:9543JP:954375OutperformJPY 101.52B10.487.33%3.25%0.10%40.92%
JP:9533JP:953373OutperformJPY 466.98B25.763.73%1.76%-2.49%-30.83%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
JP:9534JP:953465NeutralJPY 78.11B8.44―3.00%0.69%-22.03%
JP:9536JP:953662NeutralJPY 100.51B9.568.87%2.51%-5.67%20.75%
JP:9539JP:953962NeutralJPY 41.10B9.91―2.06%-0.15%21.66%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9534JP:9533JP:9536JP:9543JP:9537JP:9539Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:9534 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9534Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd.882.00223.8334.01%
JP:9533TOHO GAS Co 1275.00146.1212.94%
JP:9536SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.2794.00995.2955.33%
JP:9543SHIZUOKA GAS CO. LTD.1370.00282.9026.02%
JP:9537Hokuriku Gas Co., Ltd.4205.00672.3219.03%
JP:9539Keiyo Gas Co., Ltd.1261.00113.249.87%

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Hokkaido Gas Profits Slump Despite Steady Sales and Higher Dividend

Oct 29, 2026

Hokkaido Gas reported consolidated net sales of ¥71.69 billion for the six months to September 30, 2026, a marginal 0.5% increase year on year, while operating profit nearly halved to ¥3.45 billion and profit attributable to owners of paren...

Hokkaido Gas Nears Completion of ¥1 Billion Share Buyback Program

Sep 14, 2026

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. has completed a tranche of its treasury share acquisition program, buying 619,300 common shares for a total of ¥572,261,800 between September 1 and 11 via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This buyback forms pa...

Hokkaido Gas Reports Progress on Share Buyback Program

Sep 3, 2026

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. has disclosed progress on its board-approved share buyback program, reporting the acquisition of 536,100 common shares for a total of ¥427.7 million between August 1 and August 31, 2026, through market purchases on the Tok...

Hokkaido Gas Profit Slides Despite Stronger Balance Sheet and Higher Dividend Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Hokkaido Gas reported consolidated net sales of ¥38.0 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, nearly flat year on year, but saw operating profit drop 41% to ¥3.4 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent fall 41.5% to &#...

Hokkaido Gas Launches Share Buyback to Support Compensation and Strategy

Jul 30, 2026

Hokkaido Gas Co., Ltd. has approved a program to acquire up to 1.3 million of its common shares, equivalent to about 1.47% of its outstanding shares excluding treasury stock, at a total cost of up to 1 billion yen through market purchases on the Toky...

Hokkaido Gas Profits Slide Despite Steady Sales, Dividend Raised

Jul 30, 2026

Hokkaido Gas reported consolidated net sales of ¥38.0 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, almost flat year on year, but operating profit fell 41% to ¥3.4 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent dropped 41.5% to &#1...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026