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Tokyo Metro Co Ltd (9023) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9023

Tokyo Metro Co Ltd

(TSE/TYO:9023)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,565.00â–²(8.57% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily driven by improving financial performance (revenue and profitability recovery) but held back by leverage and volatile free cash flow. Valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and ~3% dividend yield. Technical indicators are mixed, with negative MACD and price below shorter-term moving averages limiting the overall score.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability RecoverySteady revenue growth and a recovery to healthy operating and net profitability indicate that Tokyo Metro has rebuilt earnings power after the downturn. This provides a stronger base for reinvestment and supports more durable financial performance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageDebt materially exceeds equity, leaving Tokyo Metro sensitive to interest rates and refinancing conditions. Although leverage is typical for transportation infrastructure, the obligation burden can limit financial flexibility and constrain capital allocation if operating conditions weaken.

Tokyo Metro Co Ltd (9023) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9023-6.22%EWJ+14.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 848.64B
Dividend Yield
2.98%
Average Volume (3M)
1.91M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.7
Beta (1Y)
0.11
Revenue Growth
3.19%
EPS Growth
-7.94%
Country
Japan
Employees
11,441
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Railroads

Tokyo Metro Co Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tokyo Metro Co., Ltd. engages in the operation and management of railways in Japan. It provides railway passenger transportation services. The company also manages shops at stations and other commercial facilities; develops and rents office buildings...

How the Company Makes Money

Tokyo Metro primarily makes money by operating its subway network and monetizing the high passenger volumes moving through its stations. Its main revenue stream is passenger transportation revenue, earned from fares paid by riders using tickets and t...

Tokyo Metro Co Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid post-downturn recovery with steadily rising revenue and healthy profitability (notably strong operating and net margins in 2025). Offsetting factors are meaningful leverage (debt exceeds equity) and uneven free cash flow generation, which can limit flexibility despite consistently positive operating cash flow.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue425.36B422.41B407.83B389.27B345.37B306.90B
Gross Profit144.77B144.88B134.18B119.98B70.75B29.11B
EBITDA164.74B171.61B158.30B151.63B100.56B75.29B
Net Income53.51B59.02B53.75B46.26B27.77B-13.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.05T2.05T2.04T2.03T2.01T1.82T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments252.91B68.28B259.66B281.27B281.10B111.66B
Total Debt1.10T1.07T1.09T1.12T1.14T972.21B
Total Liabilities1.31T1.31T1.32T1.36T1.38T1.20T
Stockholders Equity738.97B734.75B716.53B668.39B633.34B618.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow042.00B7.56B30.93B6.46B-20.74B
Operating Cash Flow0133.76B123.54B135.07B88.18B83.30B
Investing Cash Flow0-87.40B-89.50B-100.23B-77.55B-99.50B
Financing Cash Flow0-51.85B-50.94B-33.15B158.81B57.05B

Tokyo Metro Co Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1441.50

Price Trends

50DMA1468.16Negative
100DMA1444.13Negative
200DMA1500.82Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.54Negative
RSI47.10Neutral
STOCH66.88Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9023, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1441.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1454.42, below the 50-day MA of 1468.16, and below the 200-day MA of 1500.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9023.

Tokyo Metro Co Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9023 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9009JP:900968NeutralJPY 755.78B14.309.18%1.55%4.86%-30.78%
JP:9023JP:902367NeutralJPY 855.81B15.73―2.98%3.19%-7.94%
JP:9001JP:900164NeutralJPY 578.90B9.0510.19%2.59%3.47%28.64%
JP:9008JP:900862NeutralJPY 453.86B10.639.60%2.86%9.62%9.03%
JP:9007JP:900760NeutralJPY 643.01B17.456.99%3.36%3.55%-2.15%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:9024JP:902448NeutralJPY 1.00T23.51―1.12%-41.04%-82.38%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%JP:9023JP:9009JP:9008JP:9007JP:9001JP:9024Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9023 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9023Tokyo Metro Co Ltd1441.50-119.95-7.68%
JP:9009Keisei Electric Railway Co 1483.50270.4822.30%
JP:9008Keio Corporation768.5021.032.81%
JP:9007Odakyu Electric Railway Co 1785.00191.1711.99%
JP:9001Tobu Railway Co 2898.00415.9916.76%
JP:9024Seibu Holdings, Inc.3834.00-1177.28-23.49%

Tokyo Metro Co Ltd Corporate Events

Tokyo Metro Posts Higher Revenue but Lower Profits, Keeps Dividend Growth on Track

Oct 30, 2026

Tokyo Metro reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥217.3 billion for the six months to September 30, 2026, up 3.2% year on year, while operating profit slipped 1.6% to ¥49.2 billion and ordinary profit fell 2.8% to ¥43.1 billion. Profit attribut...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026