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TOKYU REIT (8957) AI Stock Analysis

JP:8957

TOKYU REIT

(TSE/TYO:8957)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:JPY 195,175.00â–²(7.42% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/15/26

The overall score of 61 reflects a company with a stable financial base and attractive dividend yield, offset by near-term technical weakness and concerns over margin sustainability. The most significant positive factor is the high, well-covered dividend yield of 4.33% and a reasonable P/E ratio. The primary risk is the technical downtrend and the shift to a lower-margin revenue model, which could pressure future earnings growth. The balance sheet remains a source of strength, with declining leverage providing a buffer against market volatility.

Positive Factors
Consistently high profitabilityConsistently high profit margins indicate that Tokyu REIT has retained strong earnings conversion across the period. This profitability provides resilience when revenue fluctuates, supports distributions and reinvestment, and offers a durable base for performance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue trajectoryThe uneven revenue path makes the top line less predictable over the medium term. Although the 2026 rebound is encouraging, repeated declines beforehand imply that earnings growth may depend on variable asset-level conditions, limiting confidence in steady expansion across future periods.

TOKYU REIT (8957) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:8957-5.68%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.26B
Dividend Yield
4.38%
Average Volume (3M)
1,962
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.4
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
10.37%
EPS Growth
13.22%
Country
Japan
Employees
45
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Diversified

TOKYU REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TOKYU REIT, Inc. was established on June 20, 2003, with the core objective of investing in real estate assets. This entity was formed in accordance with Japan's Investment Trust Law, which is formally known as the Law Concerning Investment Trusts and...

TOKYU REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid financial foundation with strong revenue recovery (+18.4%) and cash-backed earnings (OCF/NI ratio of 1.35x). However, significant margin compression (gross margin fell to 33.6% from 51.1%) and volatile free cash flow, which declined 22.7% YoY, introduce uncertainty. The balance sheet is stable with improving leverage, but the shift to a lower-margin model tempers the score.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.01B30.01B17.69B18.63B20.25B20.31B
Gross Profit10.08B10.08B9.04B11.79B13.87B14.12B
EBITDA13.61B13.61B10.66B11.93B13.84B13.99B
Net Income10.71B10.71B9.59B9.16B11.15B11.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets244.66B244.66B244.31B249.95B241.45B224.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.68B10.68B3.68B1.10B5.56B3.09B
Total Debt104.00B104.00B106.50B111.50B104.50B93.00B
Total Liabilities117.85B117.85B120.70B125.30B118.64B105.10B
Stockholders Equity126.72B126.72B123.61B124.65B122.82B119.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.19B14.19B18.02B-4.15B-1.87B23.68B
Operating Cash Flow22.09B22.09B19.44B13.78B19.54B53.14B
Investing Cash Flow-7.88B-7.88B-1.34B-17.30B-20.27B-30.95B
Financing Cash Flow-10.19B-10.19B-15.63B-330.60M3.60B-20.00B

TOKYU REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price181700.00

Price Trends

50DMA183072.00Negative
100DMA183367.18Negative
200DMA189947.83Negative

Market Momentum

MACD388.28Negative
RSI50.62Neutral
STOCH43.25Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8957, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 181700.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181625.00, below the 50-day MA of 183072.00, and below the 200-day MA of 189947.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 388.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8957.

TOKYU REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

JP:8957 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8955JP:895576OutperformJPY 368.80B19.136.67%4.67%-13.45%-0.93%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
JP:8972JP:897265NeutralJPY 540.52B16.045.37%6.24%3.41%1.19%
JP:8964JP:896464NeutralJPY 195.57B16.44―6.11%-5.60%-3.93%
JP:8957JP:895761NeutralJPY 175.83B16.428.51%4.38%10.37%13.22%
JP:3234JP:323461NeutralJPY 216.51B18.20―5.38%-0.97%-1.38%
JP:8960JP:896060NeutralJPY 480.00B17.487.25%5.82%-1.59%7.45%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%JP:8957JP:8955JP:8960JP:8972JP:3234JP:8964Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:8957 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8957TOKYU REIT 182900.00-8812.31-4.60%
JP:8955Japan Prime Realty Investment Corporation91100.00-10109.62-9.99%
JP:8960United Urban Investment Corporation150000.00-28109.70-15.78%
JP:8972Kenedix Office Investment Corporation135100.00-27936.95-17.14%
JP:3234Mori Hills Reit Investment Corporation115200.00-26193.47-18.53%
JP:8964Frontier Real Estate Investment Corporation72300.00-14400.00-16.61%

TOKYU REIT Corporate Events

TOKYU REIT Buys Shin-Maruko Residential Asset to Bolster Urban Portfolio

Sep 14, 2026

TOKYU REIT will acquire the newly built rental apartment building STYLIO SHIN-MARUKO EKIMAE in Kawasaki’s Nakahara ward for ¥2.2 billion from its sponsor, Tokyu Corporation. The property, completed in October 2025, sits a one-minute walk f...

Tokyu REIT Lifts Profit and Maintains Payouts as It Braces for Earnings Decline

Sep 14, 2026

Tokyu REIT reported modest growth for the fiscal period ended July 2026, with operating revenues rising 1.4% to ¥10.5 billion and net income increasing 6.8% to ¥5.53 billion, supported by higher operating income and improved margins. The RE...

TOKYU REIT Extends Deadline for Compliance Work at Tokyu Susukino Building

Jul 27, 2026

TOKYU REIT has agreed with seller Tokyu Corporation to further extend the deadline for corrective actions related to legal compliance issues identified in fire protection equipment at the Tokyu Susukino Building. The completion date, initially set be...

TOKYU REIT Extends ¥8 Billion Commitment Lines to Support Liquidity and Future Investments

Jul 10, 2026

TOKYU REIT has extended and amended its commitment line agreements with MUFG Bank, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank and Mizuho Bank, maintaining a total facility of ¥8.0 billion to bolster liquidity and support future investment opportunities. The new...

TOKYU REIT Extends ¥8 Billion Commitment Line to Bolster Liquidity

Jun 24, 2026

TOKYU REIT has amended the term of its ¥8.0 billion commitment line agreement with the Development Bank of Japan, extending the commitment period by one year from July 2, 2026 to July 1, 2027. The line remains unsecured and unguaranteed, and fun...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026