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Tosho Co., Ltd. (8920) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8920

Tosho Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8920)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:JPY 657.00▼(-4.37% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed but improving fundamentals (earnings recovery and deleveraging) offset by a sharp recent revenue contraction and cash-flow volatility. Technicals are a notable drag given the clear downtrend across key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation helps (low P/E), but the modest dividend yield and weak price trend keep the overall score in the mid-range.

Positive Factors
Profitability RecoveryThe return to profitability and subsequent earnings growth show a meaningful recovery from the 2024 loss. If operating profit remains improved, stronger earnings can rebuild equity, support investment, and provide greater resilience through the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe sharp latest-period revenue decline raises a durable concern about demand stability and the repeatability of recent earnings gains. Sustained lower sales could reduce operating leverage, weaken margins, and make the post-2024 profitability recovery harder to maintain.

Tosho Co., Ltd. (8920) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:8920-12.89%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 24.25B
Dividend Yield
1.46%
Average Volume (3M)
85.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.5
Beta (1Y)
0.75
Revenue Growth
-23.05%
EPS Growth
135.01%
Country
Japan
Employees
376
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Leisure

Tosho Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tosho Co., Ltd. engages in the operation of sports clubs, hotels, and real estate properties. It operates through the Sports Club Business, Hotel Business, and Real Estate Business segments. The Sports Club Business segment deals with the sports club...

Tosho Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show improvement but remain uneven. Profitability rebounded strongly after the 2024 loss (net income positive in 2025 and higher in 2026) and leverage improved materially with debt declining into 2026. Offsetting this, revenue fell sharply in 2026 (~24.9% YoY) and margins/cash generation have been volatile, with prior periods of negative operating/free cash flow and a notable operating cash flow drop from 2025 to 2026.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

67Positive

Cash Flow

54Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.84B27.60B35.62B30.93B22.51B27.32B
Gross Profit9.04B9.18B7.77B5.75B4.74B6.21B
EBITDA9.62B9.74B8.43B7.01B5.93B7.01B
Net Income3.42B3.55B1.23B-2.23B857.70M2.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.37B71.98B72.78B74.84B84.05B78.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.26B20.70B21.21B16.58B16.98B26.87B
Total Debt16.99B17.96B21.36B25.37B33.22B28.05B
Total Liabilities25.25B26.82B30.51B34.52B42.38B38.51B
Stockholders Equity37.69B37.78B36.24B35.18B37.55B36.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow05.17B6.47B7.34B-14.25B11.38B
Operating Cash Flow07.90B15.43B10.90B-12.45B13.16B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.33B-6.72B-3.38B-2.54B-2.44B
Financing Cash Flow0-5.55B-4.27B-7.93B4.91B-5.21B

Tosho Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price687.00

Price Trends

50DMA678.58Positive
100DMA709.80Negative
200DMA770.75Negative

Market Momentum

MACD3.85Negative
RSI55.99Neutral
STOCH67.73Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8920, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 687.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 666.45, above the 50-day MA of 678.58, and below the 200-day MA of 770.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8920.

Tosho Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8920 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6238JP:623871OutperformJPY 40.66B17.35―2.71%5.23%37.68%
JP:4680JP:468065NeutralJPY 382.27B23.6820.75%1.23%――
JP:8920JP:892057NeutralJPY 26.43B7.49―1.46%-23.05%135.01%
JP:4343JP:434357NeutralJPY 56.38B18.49―0.88%10.11%―
JP:9166JP:916657NeutralJPY 128.37B42.10―0.57%47.16%21.05%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:6425JP:642541NeutralJPY 53.00B-0.24-120.77%―9.25%-752.93%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:8920JP:4680JP:6425JP:4343JP:6238JP:9166Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8920 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8920Tosho Co., Ltd.687.00-92.79-11.90%
JP:4680ROUND ONE Corporation1466.00485.6249.53%
JP:6425Universal Entertainment Corporation690.00-164.00-19.20%
JP:4343AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.2841.00-35.10-1.22%
JP:6238FURYU CORP.1477.00459.7645.20%
JP:9166GENDA Inc.700.0063.379.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026