AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. (8891) AI Stock Analysis

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AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.

(TSE/TYO:8891)

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Rating:57Neutral

Price Target:JPY 2,212.00▲(12.17% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/18/26

The overall score of 57 reflects a company with significant financial risks offset by very attractive valuation and improving short-term momentum. The most significant negative factor is the highly erratic and often negative operating cash flow, which raises concerns about financial stability despite a moderately leveraged balance sheet. Slowing revenue growth and margin compression further weaken the fundamental picture. Positively, the stock's P/E of 4.65x and 3.28% dividend yield are compelling, and recent price action shows bullish momentum above key short-term moving averages. The stock is a high-risk, potentially high-reward proposition, heavily dependent on stabilizing cash flows.

Positive Factors

Revenue GrowthSustained revenue expansion indicates continued demand and business activity. Positive growth through 2026 provides a durable foundation for operating leverage and supports the company’s ability to absorb industry volatility.

Negative Factors

Debt-Heavy Capital StructureHigh leverage increases financial risk and can amplify earnings volatility if development activity or property demand weakens. It may also constrain investment flexibility and increase dependence on continued operating stability.

AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. (8891) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 5.52B
Dividend Yield: 3.80%
Average Volume (3M): 5,313
Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.3
Beta (1Y): 0.75
Revenue Growth: 9.77%
EPS Growth: 29.90%
Country: Japan
Employees: 293
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Real Estate - Development

AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AMG Holdings Co.,Ltd., established in 1986 and headquartered in Nagoya, Japan, operates extensively within the country's construction and real estate sectors. The company's property development activities include the conceptualization, creation, mark...

AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. Revenue growth has slowed to low single digits and gross margins have compressed from 19% to 15%. Net margins are thin and volatile, averaging 3.5%. Critically, cash flow generation is highly erratic with large negative operating cash flows in three of the last four years, indicating poor earnings quality and potential liquidity risk. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged (debt/equity 1.22x), which is acceptable but adds risk given unstable cash flows.

Income Statement

40Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	31.35B	31.35B	30.42B	29.09B	22.81B	16.36B
Gross Profit	4.94B	4.86B	4.49B	4.66B	3.85B	3.14B
EBITDA	2.06B	2.03B	1.70B	1.94B	1.54B	1.50B
Net Income	1.16B	1.16B	975.20M	1.09B	2.95B	881.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	31.97B	31.97B	29.33B	33.15B	28.93B	18.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.48B	3.48B	3.11B	3.10B	3.87B	3.27B
Total Debt	14.61B	14.61B	13.41B	17.22B	14.63B	6.36B
Total Liabilities	19.98B	19.98B	18.34B	22.75B	19.45B	11.47B
Stockholders Equity	11.99B	11.99B	10.98B	10.32B	9.41B	6.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	-566.34M	4.22B	-3.09B	-3.98B	34.20M
Operating Cash Flow	0	-438.93M	4.27B	-3.04B	-3.86B	58.09M
Investing Cash Flow	0	-109.39M	-30.47M	58.59M	1.03B	-20.13M
Financing Cash Flow	0	925.71M	-4.22B	2.28B	3.35B	213.98M

AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price1972.00

Price Trends

50DMA2044.85Negative

100DMA2015.95Negative

200DMA2144.07Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-20.54Positive

RSI39.17Neutral

STOCH40.79Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8891, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1972.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2040.50, below the 50-day MA of 2044.85, and below the 200-day MA of 2144.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -20.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8891.

AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8891 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:8898	83Outperform	JPY 11.58B	12.81	―	4.78%	4.75%	15.83%
JP:9761	69Neutral	JPY 7.83B	11.02	―	5.30%	3.06%	-2.38%
JP:8944	66Neutral	JPY 4.82B	2.76	―	2.40%	65.37%	―
JP:8891	57Neutral	JPY 5.74B	4.29	―	3.80%	9.77%	29.90%
JP:5527	56Neutral	JPY 10.81B	9.70	―	2.87%	5.13%	-18.74%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:5532	51Neutral	JPY 22.10B	26.71	―	―	11.09%	27.53%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:8891 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:8891	AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.	1972.00	-162.11	-7.60%
JP:5527	property technologies, Inc.	878.00	122.31	16.19%
JP:5532	REALGATE INC.	3350.00	605.00	22.04%
JP:8898	Century21 Real Estate of Japan Ltd.	1109.00	53.77	5.10%
JP:8944	Land Business Co., Ltd.	250.00	15.69	6.70%
JP:9761	Tokai Lease Co., Ltd.	2266.00	-6.85	-0.30%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026

AMG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. AI Stock Analysis