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TOC Co., Ltd. (8841) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8841

TOC Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8841)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,021.00â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/19/26

The company's fortress-like balance sheet and strong recent cash flows are the primary strengths, providing a solid foundation. However, these are significantly counterbalanced by a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield, which weigh on the overall score. Technicals are moderately positive but show signs of being overbought. The main risk is the combination of compressed profit margins and an expensive valuation.

Positive Factors
Very low leverageExtremely low leverage and a large, steady equity base provide substantial financial resilience. This conservative funding profile reduces balance-sheet pressure, preserves flexibility for property operations and investment, and should help the company withstand weaker real estate conditions.
Negative Factors
Uneven cash conversionInconsistent conversion of reported earnings into free cash flow reduces visibility into the funds available for investment, distributions, or balance-sheet growth. Repeated weak years would make the quality of earnings less dependable even while accounting profitability remains positive.

TOC Co., Ltd. (8841) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:8841+23.54%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 94.34B
Dividend Yield
1.03%
Average Volume (3M)
118.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
29.8
Beta (1Y)
0.32
Revenue Growth
16.83%
EPS Growth
106.43%
Country
Japan
Employees
148
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Services

TOC Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TOC Co., Ltd. operates primarily within Japan, focusing predominantly on its real estate ventures. The company's property portfolio includes the leasing of diverse spaces such as commercial and retail units, corporate offices, parking facilities, log...

TOC Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with negligible debt (D/E 0.009), and cash flow generation improved markedly with operating cash flow covering debt over 6x. However, revenue growth, while rebounding to 11.2%, is offset by compressed margins and volatile historical earnings, preventing a higher score.

Income Statement

60Neutral

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.73B15.15B13.15B13.71B15.69B16.09B
Gross Profit3.44B2.89B3.17B4.06B5.95B7.23B
EBITDA5.30B4.76B2.62B3.86B5.91B7.58B
Net Income2.80B2.32B1.79B5.12B3.26B4.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets121.06B122.23B114.90B118.55B116.33B112.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.07B31.15B29.55B39.33B31.65B32.20B
Total Debt846.00M899.00M1.12B1.53B2.01B2.86B
Total Liabilities16.14B17.50B14.07B15.73B15.93B18.82B
Stockholders Equity104.28B104.09B100.23B102.23B99.84B93.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.35B-1.01B1.56B-746.00M1.96B
Operating Cash Flow05.73B442.00M2.81B921.00M3.72B
Investing Cash Flow0-2.91B-5.32B7.23B-1.51B-1.46B
Financing Cash Flow0-1.10B-4.96B-2.36B-1.29B-2.52B

TOC Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1021.00

Price Trends

50DMA979.45Positive
100DMA969.41Positive
200DMA944.53Positive

Market Momentum

MACD8.60Negative
RSI63.39Neutral
STOCH80.36Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8841, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1021.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 964.85, above the 50-day MA of 979.45, and above the 200-day MA of 944.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8841.

TOC Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

JP:8841 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3479JP:347981OutperformJPY 88.73B6.18――50.70%364.91%
JP:8877JP:887776OutperformJPY 80.85B6.22―4.88%49.56%42.33%
JP:3465JP:346573OutperformJPY 97.47B5.04―4.51%14.03%68.00%
JP:8934JP:893472OutperformJPY 135.78B7.3413.71%3.29%9.20%-16.20%
JP:8818JP:881868NeutralJPY 88.25B10.83―2.75%1.72%65.38%
JP:8841JP:884166NeutralJPY 94.34B29.792.91%1.03%16.83%106.43%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:8841JP:8934JP:3465JP:3479JP:8818JP:8877Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8841 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8841TOC Co., Ltd.1021.00181.6621.64%
JP:8934Sun Frontier Fudousan Co 2374.00104.474.60%
JP:3465KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.3160.00483.6818.07%
JP:3479TKP Corp2124.00440.0026.13%
JP:8818Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd.908.0033.523.83%
JP:8877ESLEAD CORPORATION5230.00-698.89-11.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026