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Awa Bank, Ltd. (8388) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8388

Awa Bank, Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8388)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,006.00▲(3.62% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/30/26

The score is driven primarily by improving profitability, but is held back by volatile cash flows and only modest returns on equity. Technically, the stock shows strong upward momentum and is well above key moving averages, though overbought readings raise near-term risk. Valuation is mixed: an attractive dividend yield is offset by a relatively high P/E.

Positive Factors
Improving ProfitabilityThe steady increase in net income over three reported years indicates strengthening earnings power rather than a single-period improvement. Continued profitability can support internal capital formation, customer lending capacity, and investment in the bank’s regional franchise.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash GenerationThe wide swings in operating cash flow make cash conversion less predictable, even though recent years were positive. This variability can complicate capital planning and reduce confidence that reported earnings will consistently translate into readily deployable cash.

Awa Bank, Ltd. (8388) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%JP:8388+158.95%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 378.66B
Dividend Yield
6.02%
Average Volume (3M)
819.32K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
21.2
Beta (1Y)
1.20
Revenue Growth
23.28%
EPS Growth
40.80%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,410
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Banks - Regional

Awa Bank, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Awa Bank, Ltd. is a long-standing Japanese financial institution, delivering a comprehensive array of banking products and services to both individual and corporate clients across Japan. Its financial offerings encompass various deposit accounts,...

How the Company Makes Money

Awa Bank makes money primarily through (1) net interest income and (2) non-interest income. Net interest income is generated by taking in customer deposits and other funding at relatively low interest rates and deploying those funds into interest-ear...

Awa Bank, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement is a clear positive with improving profitability (net income rising from 11.3B in 2024 to 15.5B in 2026) and healthy 2025 margins, but this is tempered by only moderate balance-sheet quality (modest ~3%–4% ROE) and notably volatile cash generation (deeply negative operating cash flow in 2023 and uneven thereafter).

Income Statement

73Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue111.53B93.94B75.71B72.81B85.75B66.11B
Gross Profit99.57B81.69B67.62B62.55B77.49B61.72B
EBITDA24.74B24.71B20.55B19.27B17.70B19.07B
Net Income17.56B15.53B13.20B11.26B10.21B11.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.21T4.17T4.02T3.92T3.85T3.98T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments360.11B346.44B427.65B402.27B482.87B690.24B
Total Debt191.12B225.60B216.41B213.13B128.11B605.05B
Total Liabilities3.80T3.77T3.69T3.59T3.57T3.69T
Stockholders Equity414.39B399.62B334.22B332.62B278.76B288.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow011.78B36.74B2.49B-325.82B92.37B
Operating Cash Flow014.17B38.54B5.69B-321.75B96.67B
Investing Cash Flow0-104.15B1.99B-72.30B93.25B-37.03B
Financing Cash Flow033.73B65.85B-13.75B-3.60B-2.27B

Awa Bank, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1936.00

Price Trends

50DMA2012.20Negative
100DMA1808.43Positive
200DMA1498.98Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-48.54Positive
RSI49.54Neutral
STOCH51.75Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8388, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1936.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1918.35, below the 50-day MA of 2012.20, and above the 200-day MA of 1498.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -48.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8388.

Awa Bank, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8388 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8386JP:838683OutperformJPY 307.84B14.00―2.69%21.78%44.50%
JP:8336JP:833672OutperformJPY 244.67B15.90―2.86%36.61%25.72%
JP:8388JP:838865NeutralJPY 370.92B21.20―6.02%23.28%40.80%
JP:8544JP:854462NeutralJPY 263.15B16.19―2.37%24.49%29.78%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:8367JP:836754NeutralJPY 286.34B13.27―3.12%19.76%44.98%
JP:7381JP:738152NeutralJPY 250.98B13.79―2.36%49.48%75.57%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%200%JP:8388JP:7381JP:8336JP:8367JP:8386JP:8544Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8388 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8388Awa Bank, Ltd.1936.001193.25160.65%
JP:7381Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc.1146.00506.8079.29%
JP:8336Musashino Bank, Ltd.2555.001122.4878.36%
JP:8367Nanto Bank Ltd.1797.00775.7175.95%
JP:8386Hyakujushi Bank, Ltd.2847.001401.4696.95%
JP:8544Keiyo Bank, Ltd.2363.00986.8471.71%

Awa Bank, Ltd. Corporate Events

Awa Bank Restructures Awagin Connect in Alliance With Shikoku Broadcasting

Sep 25, 2026

The Awa Bank has approved a capital and business alliance among its subsidiary Awagin Connect and Shikoku Broadcasting, centered on e-commerce, content production and regional business support. Shikoku Broadcasting will acquire newly issued shares in...

Awa Bank Lifts Earnings Outlook and Ups Dividend Ahead of Share Split

Sep 25, 2026

The Awa Bank, Ltd. has raised its consolidated and non-consolidated forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, citing stronger-than-expected operating trends. Ordinary revenues, ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent ar...

Awa Bank to Execute Five-for-One Stock Split and Revamp Shareholder Benefits

Aug 25, 2026

The Awa Bank, Ltd. will implement a five-for-one stock split effective October 1, 2026, increasing issued shares from 40 million to 200 million and authorized shares to 500 million to lower its investment unit price. The move is intended to enhance s...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026