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Matsumoto Inc. (7901) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7901

Matsumoto Inc.

(TSE/TYO:7901)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 818.00â–²(3.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/07/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—especially heavy revenue decline, ongoing operating losses, and persistent cash burn—despite a return to net profitability and an adequate (though increasingly levered) balance sheet. Offsetting this, technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators, and valuation looks inexpensive on P/E.

Positive Factors
Return to net profitabilityReturning to net profitability in 2026 provides evidence that the company can still produce bottom-line earnings after losses in 2024–2025. This may improve internal resilience and support investment or balance-sheet repair, although continuing operating losses limit confidence in the recovery.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contractionA roughly 61% revenue decline materially weakens operating scale and reduces the company’s ability to spread fixed costs across sales. Continued negative operating margins show that the core business has not yet converted the smaller revenue base into sustainable operating profitability.

Matsumoto Inc. (7901) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%JP:7901-6.31%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 884.14M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
23.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
4.7
Beta (1Y)
0.78
Revenue Growth
-0.72%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
164
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Matsumoto Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsumoto Inc. is a Japanese enterprise operating within the printing sector. The company's offerings range from crafting commemorative graduation albums for educational institutions to producing a diverse array of commercial printed goods, including...

Matsumoto Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial quality is constrained by a sharp revenue contraction (~61% YoY in 2026) and continued operating losses (negative operating margin in 2024–2026). Net income returning to profit in 2026 and a generally adequate balance sheet help, but persistently negative operating/free cash flow (including a large outflow in 2026) and rising debt-to-equity (~0.70 in 2026) keep the score below average.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

29Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.12B2.13B2.17B2.21B2.24B2.35B
Gross Profit376.15M351.46M238.70M326.70M445.18M246.38M
EBITDA-67.48M-129.76M-172.96M-103.85M27.13M15.51M
Net Income191.85M155.96M-653.36M-86.61M74.43M-1.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.08B2.37B2.09B2.84B2.83B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.94M676.68M219.84M557.42M982.96M948.10M
Total Debt683.56M696.78M348.32M487.16M400.00M100.00M
Total Liabilities1.16B1.37B1.26B1.38B1.31B1.21B
Stockholders Equity915.51M996.43M825.17M1.46B1.51B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-315.31M-184.46M-198.66M-293.55M132.30M
Operating Cash Flow0-281.37M-136.42M-68.85M-73.98M136.62M
Investing Cash Flow0450.97M-56.26M-77.26M-184.13M-3.03M
Financing Cash Flow0287.23M-144.91M-279.43M292.98M56.27M

Matsumoto Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price787.00

Price Trends

50DMA853.76Negative
100DMA830.08Negative
200DMA941.49Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-25.53Positive
RSI41.29Neutral
STOCH24.28Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7901, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 787.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 833.40, below the 50-day MA of 853.76, and below the 200-day MA of 941.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -25.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7901.

Matsumoto Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7901 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3892JP:389275OutperformJPY 7.77B8.82―3.17%-0.25%2.38%
JP:3895JP:389570OutperformJPY 3.28B5.89―3.86%-4.88%-35.39%
JP:3945JP:394566NeutralJPY 2.90B3.69―5.72%1.07%-31.39%
JP:3955JP:395558NeutralJPY 8.74B25.27―3.42%-2.18%-68.23%
JP:7901JP:790158NeutralJPY 898.37M4.66――-0.72%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:9929JP:992953NeutralJPY 4.46B36.66―2.58%1.27%53.89%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:7901JP:3892JP:3895JP:3945JP:3955JP:9929Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7901 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7901Matsumoto Inc.787.00-61.00-7.19%
JP:3892Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd.1575.0073.734.91%
JP:3895Havix Corporation415.0023.806.08%
JP:3945Superbag Company, Limited1923.00-684.30-26.25%
JP:3955IMURA & Co.,Ltd.878.00-85.50-8.87%
JP:9929Heiwa Paper Co., Ltd.465.0029.206.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026