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Matsumoto Inc. (7901) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7901

Matsumoto Inc.

(TSE/TYO:7901)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 849.00â–²(3.03% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/07/26

Matsumoto Inc.'s score is heavily weighed down by a highly distressed financial profile, highlighted by chronic cash burn, structural unprofitability, and a deteriorating balance sheet. Conversely, the stock demonstrates remarkably strong technical momentum, trading well above all key moving averages. While the low P/E ratio might appear superficially attractive, it is distorted by non-operating income, making this a highly speculative profile driven by price action rather than fundamental strength.

Positive Factors
Return to Net ProfitThe return to net profitability in 2026 provides evidence that the company can restore bottom-line earnings after the deep losses of 2024–2025. If maintained, this improves internal financial resilience and gives management a stronger base from which to address operating and cash-flow weaknesses.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue ContractionA roughly 61% year-over-year revenue decline in 2026, following modest declines in earlier years, signals substantial pressure on the company’s scale and market demand. Such contraction reduces operating leverage, limits investment capacity, and makes sustainable profitability more difficult.

Matsumoto Inc. (7901) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%JP:7901+2.11%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 932.82M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
23.82K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
4.9
Beta (1Y)
0.70
Revenue Growth
-0.72%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
164
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Matsumoto Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Matsumoto Inc. is a Japanese enterprise operating within the printing sector. The company's offerings range from crafting commemorative graduation albums for educational institutions to producing a diverse array of commercial printed goods, including...

Matsumoto Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A highly distressed financial profile characterized by persistent cash burn, declining revenues, and deeply negative core operating margins. The recent positive net profit is driven entirely by non-operating factors, while the balance sheet deteriorates.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

42Neutral

Cash Flow

15Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.12B2.13B2.17B2.21B2.24B2.35B
Gross Profit376.15M351.46M238.70M326.70M445.18M246.38M
EBITDA-67.48M-129.76M-172.96M-103.85M27.13M15.51M
Net Income191.85M155.96M-653.36M-86.61M74.43M-1.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.08B2.37B2.09B2.84B2.83B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.94M676.68M219.84M557.42M982.96M948.10M
Total Debt683.56M696.78M348.32M487.16M400.00M100.00M
Total Liabilities1.16B1.37B1.26B1.38B1.31B1.21B
Stockholders Equity915.51M996.43M825.17M1.46B1.51B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-315.31M-184.46M-198.66M-293.55M132.30M
Operating Cash Flow0-281.37M-136.42M-68.85M-73.98M136.62M
Investing Cash Flow0450.97M-56.26M-77.26M-184.13M-3.03M
Financing Cash Flow0287.23M-144.91M-279.43M292.98M56.27M

Matsumoto Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price824.00

Price Trends

50DMA864.52Negative
100DMA830.65Negative
200DMA938.56Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-11.95Positive
RSI44.05Neutral
STOCH10.22Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7901, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 824.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 900.60, below the 50-day MA of 864.52, and below the 200-day MA of 938.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7901.

Matsumoto Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7901 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3895JP:389576OutperformJPY 3.19B5.68―3.96%-7.71%6.41%
JP:3892JP:389275OutperformJPY 8.27B9.27―3.02%-0.25%2.38%
JP:3955JP:395560NeutralJPY 8.77B25.19―3.43%-2.18%-68.23%
JP:3945JP:394559NeutralJPY 3.21B4.07―5.24%1.57%-21.97%
JP:7901JP:790156NeutralJPY 939.41M4.86――-0.72%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:9929JP:992953NeutralJPY 4.50B39.38―2.57%0.11%14.91%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:7901JP:3892JP:3895JP:3945JP:3955JP:9929Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:7901 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7901Matsumoto Inc.824.0017.002.11%
JP:3892Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd.1656.00163.4610.95%
JP:3895Havix Corporation404.0012.803.27%
JP:3945Superbag Company, Limited2098.00-580.80-21.68%
JP:3955IMURA & Co.,Ltd.875.00-76.86-8.07%
JP:9929Heiwa Paper Co., Ltd.467.0036.078.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026