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Kohsai Co.Ltd. (7878) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7878

Kohsai Co.Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7878)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 950.00â–²(6.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/03/26

The stock's extremely low valuation and solid dividend yield are the primary strengths, offering a potential margin of safety. However, these are significantly counterbalanced by a deteriorating financial position marked by negative cash flows and rising debt, and a very weak technical picture with the stock in a persistent downtrend and oversold conditions. The overall score reflects a high-risk, deep-value situation.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRevenue growth across consecutive years indicates improving demand and provides a stronger base for operating leverage. If sustained, the expanding top line can support reinvestment, improve fixed-cost absorption, and strengthen the company’s earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Cash GenerationRepeated negative operating and free cash flow indicates that reported earnings have not consistently converted into cash. This weakens financial flexibility, may increase reliance on balance-sheet funding, and makes it harder to finance growth or absorb operating setbacks internally.

Kohsai Co.Ltd. (7878) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:7878-12.03%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.33B
Dividend Yield
3.36%
Average Volume (3M)
7,405
Price to Earnings (P/E)
3.8
Beta (1Y)
0.67
Revenue Growth
33.56%
EPS Growth
420.27%
Country
Japan
Employees
25
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Personal Products & Services

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kohsai Co.,Ltd. engages in the jewelry business in Japan. It offers jewelry accessories, such as rings, and pendants; and jewelry parts, including earring parts, and clasps under the MILLENNIUM TANZO, and etna brand name. The company was formerly kno...

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth and improving margins are positive, but negative operating and free cash flow in the latest period, coupled with rising leverage, indicate significant financial risk. The overall financial health is mixed, with profitability gains offset by weak cash generation.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.24B3.93B3.53B3.36B2.99B
Gross Profit782.52M705.63M587.07M452.31M417.63M
EBITDA254.09M205.16M177.69M110.06M77.56M
Net Income110.36M88.40M91.99M27.75M30.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.42B3.01B2.76B2.61B2.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments506.81M685.48M482.55M448.55M535.46M
Total Debt1.17B1.07B885.85M923.24M682.21M
Total Liabilities1.87B1.55B1.37B1.31B1.18B
Stockholders Equity1.55B1.46B1.39B1.30B1.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-211.20M77.76M103.60M-298.86M-106.08M
Operating Cash Flow-130.93M140.69M124.01M-252.00M-15.85M
Investing Cash Flow-83.70M-102.21M-39.91M-25.86M-68.45M
Financing Cash Flow35.77M167.27M-50.26M214.05M-88.60M

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price892.00

Price Trends

50DMA1130.92Negative
100DMA1275.38Negative
200DMA1184.38Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-63.69Positive
RSI29.29Positive
STOCH18.79Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7878, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 892.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 978.65, below the 50-day MA of 1130.92, and below the 200-day MA of 1184.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -63.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.29 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7878.

Kohsai Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:7878 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7937JP:793771OutperformJPY 39.52B10.385.48%4.74%25.88%122.23%
JP:9990JP:999067NeutralJPY 21.79B11.49―4.67%1.59%-12.78%
JP:7872JP:787262NeutralJPY 6.37B-51.86―4.51%13.13%―
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:7878JP:787856NeutralJPY 1.39B3.76―3.36%33.56%420.27%
JP:2736JP:273648NeutralJPY 2.17B18.91―1.17%9.71%-35.71%
JP:7810JP:781043NeutralJPY 2.57B95.39―0.43%47.35%26.49%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:7878JP:7937JP:2736JP:7810JP:7872JP:9990Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7878 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7878Kohsai Co.Ltd.892.00-142.42-13.77%
JP:7937Tsutsumi Jewelry Co 2529.00226.019.81%
JP:2736Festaria Holdings Company Limited600.0023.144.01%
JP:7810Crossfor Co. Ltd.145.00-5.39-3.58%
JP:7872Estelle Holdings Co., Ltd.599.0043.027.74%
JP:9990SAC'S BAR HOLDINGS INC.750.0020.902.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2026