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Tomy Company, Ltd. (7867) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:7867

Tomy Company, Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7867)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:JPY 5,291.00â–¼(-1.16% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/31/26

The company's financial foundation is solid, anchored by a pristine balance sheet and healthy cash flows, which is the most significant positive factor. The stock also exhibits a strong technical uptrend. However, these strengths are counterbalanced by a high P/E ratio, which introduces valuation risk and is the primary drag on the overall score. The recent decline in profitability is a secondary concern that warrants monitoring.

Positive Factors
Revenue Recovery and GrowthThe multi-year revenue recovery shows that Tomy has substantially expanded its sales base rather than relying only on a single product cycle. Continued growth in 2026 indicates ongoing demand for its toy and entertainment offerings, supporting scale and future reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Net Margin VolatilityThe decline in net margin despite continued revenue growth indicates that sales expansion is not translating consistently into bottom-line earnings. Persistent pressure from costs, product mix, or non-operating items could reduce the durability of profit growth and returns to shareholders.

Tomy Company, Ltd. (7867) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%JP:7867+86.39%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 460.72B
Dividend Yield
1.35%
Average Volume (3M)
712.08K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
29.4
Beta (1Y)
0.63
Revenue Growth
13.86%
EPS Growth
1.66%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,574
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Leisure

Tomy Company, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TOMY Company, Ltd. specializes in the conceptualization, production, and distribution of a diverse array of products, encompassing toys, general merchandise, card games, and essential baby care items. Catering to a wide demographic that spans infants...

How the Company Makes Money

Tomy Company, Ltd. makes money primarily by selling toys and related consumer products through domestic and international distribution channels. Revenue is generated from (1) sales of proprietary toy brands and product lines (e.g., vehicles, playsets...

Tomy Company, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid financial health overall. The balance sheet is a key strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) and growing equity. Cash flow generation is healthy and improving. However, the recent decline in net income and margins tempers the score.

Income Statement

60Neutral

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue263.90B250.24B270.45B208.33B187.30B165.45B
Gross Profit106.25B101.35B108.91B84.96B72.35B66.61B
EBITDA27.56B32.49B28.86B23.52B20.32B21.46B
Net Income11.46B16.35B11.68B9.81B8.31B9.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets176.44B165.77B163.36B166.25B159.52B156.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.50B56.16B51.09B64.28B66.45B65.42B
Total Debt8.26B10.80B7.51B16.90B35.99B39.67B
Total Liabilities65.54B59.37B52.19B66.25B72.35B76.91B
Stockholders Equity110.90B106.40B111.17B100.00B87.17B79.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow011.17B14.48B27.61B14.70B13.47B
Operating Cash Flow017.00B20.05B29.18B16.22B16.41B
Investing Cash Flow0-8.10B-8.05B-5.32B-2.13B-2.49B
Financing Cash Flow0-16.77B-18.25B-27.15B-13.69B-12.99B

Tomy Company, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price5353.00

Price Trends

50DMA4302.92Positive
100DMA3856.29Positive
200DMA3303.33Positive

Market Momentum

MACD284.54Negative
RSI68.44Neutral
STOCH77.40Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7867, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5353.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4824.00, above the 50-day MA of 4302.92, and above the 200-day MA of 3303.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 284.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7867.

Tomy Company, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7867 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7832JP:783285OutperformJPY 4.34T27.5218.24%1.09%12.48%27.81%
JP:4661JP:466176OutperformJPY 6.16T46.1912.16%0.42%5.56%6.84%
JP:6238JP:623871OutperformJPY 40.85B17.49―2.66%5.23%37.68%
JP:7809JP:780967NeutralJPY 11.04B21.44―3.40%-6.73%-86.91%
JP:7867JP:786765NeutralJPY 477.66B29.40―1.35%13.86%1.66%
JP:4343JP:434357NeutralJPY 57.69B18.57―0.86%10.11%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:7867JP:7832JP:4661JP:4343JP:6238JP:7809Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7867 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7867Tomy Company, Ltd.5353.002471.8085.79%
JP:7832BANDAI NAMCO Holdings 6900.002448.4155.00%
JP:4661Oriental Land Co 3813.00847.4928.58%
JP:4343AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.2902.0043.741.53%
JP:6238FURYU CORP.1505.00462.5544.37%
JP:7809KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD.1322.00-212.87-13.87%

Tomy Company, Ltd. Corporate Events

Tomy Lifts Full-Year Forecast on Strong Kidult and Character Toy Demand

Oct 29, 2026

Tomy has sharply raised its earnings outlook for the six months to September 30, 2026 and the full fiscal year to March 31, 2027, citing stronger-than-expected demand and improved profitability. For the half year, the company now projects net sales o...

TOMY Restructures Organization to Drive Global Growth and Strengthen Governance

Sep 15, 2026

TOMY Company, Ltd. will overhaul its organizational structure from October 1, 2026 to accelerate global growth and execution of its medium- to long-term management strategy. The company is creating a Growth & Transformation Group to integrate product...

Tomy Company Lifts Q1 Profits and Confirms Higher Dividend for FY2027

Aug 4, 2026

Tomy Company, Ltd., a leading Japanese toy and entertainment products maker listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, reported solid financial performance for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027. The company continues to...

Tomy Completes ¥8.36 Billion Share Buyback Program

Aug 3, 2026

Tomy Company, Ltd. has completed a share buyback program authorized by its board in February 2026, acquiring a total of 3,000,000 common shares through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The latest tranche, executed between July 1 and July...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026