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Oval (7727) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7727

Oval

(TSE/TYO:7727)

Select Model
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,019.00â–²(15.14% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/18/26

The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and a low-leverage balance sheet, supported by strong bullish technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Offsetting factors are inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion and a valuation that appears fair rather than notably cheap.

Positive Factors
Improving marginsMeaningful margin expansion indicates better profitability across the business and provides greater earnings resilience than earlier periods. If sustained, stronger gross and net margins can support reinvestment, improve operating flexibility, and strengthen the company’s competitive position.
Negative Factors
Recent earnings momentum weakenedRecent declines in revenue and earnings indicate that the longer-term growth trajectory has not translated into consistently positive near-term momentum. Continued weakness could limit operating leverage, reduce confidence in earnings scalability, and make margin gains harder to sustain.

Oval (7727) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:7727+40.53%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 18.02B
Dividend Yield
2.71%
Average Volume (3M)
137.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.7
Beta (1Y)
1.23
Revenue Growth
-3.16%
EPS Growth
-8.86%
Country
Japan
Employees
678
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Oval Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

OVAL Corporation operates globally, manufacturing and distributing a diverse array of industrial solutions. Their offerings include various flow measurement instruments, metrological control apparatus with associated systems, general measuring device...

Oval Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid multi-year improvement in revenue and profitability, with margins meaningfully higher versus 2021 and a conservatively levered balance sheet. The main constraint is cash-flow quality: free cash flow has been volatile and recent cash conversion is weaker (FCF below half of net income in 2026), which tempers overall financial strength.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

77Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.93B15.59B15.05B14.35B13.31B11.14B
Gross Profit6.17B6.65B6.14B5.96B5.28B4.09B
EBITDA1.83B2.39B2.07B2.16B1.77B1.14B
Net Income1.07B1.40B1.03B1.10B649.19M286.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.40B24.71B24.49B23.45B22.37B21.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.60B3.85B4.17B3.39B3.19B3.46B
Total Debt2.37B2.35B1.64B1.87B2.20B2.49B
Total Liabilities8.24B8.50B8.17B8.09B8.08B8.17B
Stockholders Equity15.70B15.74B15.87B14.91B13.87B13.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0951.23M1.26B724.97M243.08M782.40M
Operating Cash Flow01.99B1.99B1.00B617.45M1.23B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.35B-844.97M-172.20M-379.68M-113.23M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.09B-606.64M-683.46M-574.51M-1.53B

Oval Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price885.00

Price Trends

50DMA875.79Positive
100DMA810.72Positive
200DMA775.66Positive

Market Momentum

MACD3.92Positive
RSI45.15Neutral
STOCH49.55Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7727, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 885.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 920.15, above the 50-day MA of 875.79, and above the 200-day MA of 775.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7727.

Oval Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:7727 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5819JP:581979OutperformJPY 11.37B9.70―4.21%-0.88%-1.47%
JP:6804JP:680477OutperformJPY 115.07B6.1812.49%4.89%40.52%147.61%
JP:7727JP:772776OutperformJPY 18.02B17.656.82%2.71%-3.16%-8.86%
JP:6637JP:663767NeutralJPY 48.47B10.97―1.64%15.89%2.08%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:6905JP:690560NeutralJPY 51.46B-19.22―4.40%17.15%-463.16%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:7727JP:6804JP:5819JP:6637JP:6905Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:7727 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7727Oval Corporation885.00245.5438.40%
JP:6804Hosiden Corp2290.00-66.70-2.83%
JP:5819Canare Electric Co., Ltd.1685.00-118.39-6.56%
JP:6637Terasaki Electric Co., Ltd.3720.00-1039.56-21.84%
JP:6905Cosel Co., Ltd.1251.0074.746.35%

Oval Corporate Events

Oval Corporation Earnings Slump but Full-Year Outlook and Dividends Hold Firm

Aug 7, 2026

Oval Corporation reported a sharp downturn in earnings for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with net sales falling 17.9% year on year to ¥3,011 million and operating profit plunging 94.2% to ¥34 million. Profit attributable to owners of par...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026