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Toba, Inc. (7472) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7472

Toba, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:7472)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,285.00â–²(17.08% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/11/26

The overall score of 77 is primarily driven by the company's pristine, zero-debt balance sheet and compelling valuation, which includes a nearly 3.9% dividend yield. While a recent top-line revenue contraction and relatively weak short-term technical momentum serve as modest headwinds, the firm's excellent cash flow conversion and disciplined margin defense highlight a resilient and conservative investment profile.

Positive Factors
Low leverageVery low debt materially reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk and preserves financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this durable balance-sheet strength supports steady capital allocation, dividend capacity and resilience to industry cyclicality.
Negative Factors
Revenue declineA near‑10% revenue drop in FY2026 highlights inconsistent top-line momentum. Over months this uneven growth limits operating leverage, constrains reinvestment capacity and makes earnings recovery dependent on durable demand improvement rather than short-term fixes.

Toba, Inc. (7472) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:7472-3.73%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 14.45B
Dividend Yield
4.07%
Average Volume (3M)
740
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.7
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
-7.74%
EPS Growth
-13.20%
Country
Japan
Employees
261
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

Toba, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TOBA, Inc. is a global provider specializing in the distribution and installation of a comprehensive array of industrial machinery and equipment, serving both the Japanese domestic market and international clientele. Its extensive product portfolio e...

Toba, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Anchored by a fortress, debt-free balance sheet and a powerful rebound in free cash flow, though somewhat offset by recent top-line revenue contractions in a cyclical environment.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

95Very Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.58B29.06B31.57B28.45B29.48B29.73B
Gross Profit4.53B4.44B4.71B4.34B4.40B4.55B
EBITDA1.85B1.85B2.05B1.77B2.18B2.12B
Net Income1.14B1.11B1.23B1.07B1.43B1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.46B29.20B30.73B32.12B29.12B28.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.53B12.45B10.47B12.65B11.01B10.10B
Total Debt000267.52M00
Total Liabilities7.48B7.40B9.75B11.63B9.32B9.69B
Stockholders Equity21.98B21.81B20.98B20.49B19.80B19.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.22B-817.34M2.67B1.21B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow03.23B-752.43M2.74B1.23B1.36B
Investing Cash Flow0-623.10M-579.17M688.87M69.19M-752.70M
Financing Cash Flow0-695.26M-950.86M-843.42M-910.67M-751.91M

Toba, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3660.00

Price Trends

50DMA3826.20Negative
100DMA3802.85Negative
200DMA3812.14Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-49.33Negative
RSI45.47Neutral
STOCH58.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7472, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3660.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3699.50, below the 50-day MA of 3826.20, and below the 200-day MA of 3812.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -49.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7472.

Toba, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7472 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7472JP:747277OutperformJPY 14.86B12.72―4.07%-7.74%-13.20%
JP:6440JP:644069NeutralJPY 20.39B11.81―1.44%-5.81%―
JP:6203JP:620365NeutralJPY 24.82B31.11―1.00%-7.53%-13.28%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:6125JP:612553NeutralJPY 29.37B31.21―3.64%-6.36%-61.60%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:7472JP:6125JP:6203JP:6440Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:7472 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7472Toba, Inc.3690.00-65.91-1.75%
JP:6125Okamoto Machine Tool Works,Ltd.4395.00-238.34-5.14%
JP:6203Howa Machinery, Ltd.2000.00589.6241.81%
JP:6440Juki Corporation696.00259.9559.61%

Toba, Inc. Corporate Events

Toba, Inc. Delivers Higher Quarterly Profit and Confirms Full-Year Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

Toba, Inc. reported consolidated net sales of ¥8.06 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 6.9% year on year, with operating profit rising 11.0% to ¥462 million and profit attributable to owners of parent advancing 9.1% to &#1...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026