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Nippon Sharyo (7102) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7102

Nippon Sharyo

(TSE/TYO:7102)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,851.00▲(12.27% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (stronger profitability and a healthier balance sheet) and a very low P/E valuation. These positives are tempered by uneven cash-flow history and a mixed technical picture with the stock trading below several key moving averages and only modest momentum signals.

Positive Factors
Profitability improvementThe sharp increase in net income, alongside higher EBIT and EBITDA, indicates materially stronger operating performance. If this improvement persists, it can strengthen internal funding capacity, support investment in railway programs, and provide a more resilient earnings base over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generationCash generation has varied sharply across recent years, including negative operating cash flow and deep negative free cash flow periods. Even with the 2026 recovery, this pattern reduces confidence in recurring cash conversion and may constrain the company’s ability to fund projects consistently.

Nippon Sharyo (7102) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:7102+3.34%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 49.58B
Dividend Yield
1.46%
Average Volume (3M)
53.17K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
4.3
Beta (1Y)
0.99
Revenue Growth
4.14%
EPS Growth
23.26%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,176
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Railroads

Nippon Sharyo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Sharyo, Ltd. engages in the railway vehicles, construction machinery, transportation equipment and steel structures, engineering, and other businesses in Japan, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers electric trains,...

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Sharyo primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling railway rolling stock and related transportation equipment under customer contracts. Its main revenue stream is the delivery of completed rail vehicles (e.g., commuter and intercity tra...

Nippon Sharyo Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings and balance sheet trends are improving: net income rose sharply from 6.4B (2025) to 11.7B (2026) and leverage has declined with total debt falling to 32.6B (2026) while equity increased to 82.2B. The main drag is cash-flow reliability, with operating cash flow and free cash flow showing significant volatility (including negative periods in 2024–2025) despite a rebound in 2026.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

56Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue101.37B99.97B96.34B88.06B97.97B94.02B
Gross Profit21.08B19.58B15.84B14.08B12.54B13.29B
EBITDA14.82B14.16B10.96B8.95B7.26B9.08B
Net Income11.40B11.66B6.42B5.38B3.12B5.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets155.10B152.56B131.16B136.40B124.36B132.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.81B5.09B3.44B3.91B3.57B29.31B
Total Debt30.42B32.60B36.47B39.54B43.31B54.06B
Total Liabilities67.63B70.31B66.51B74.17B73.24B84.85B
Stockholders Equity87.46B82.25B64.65B62.23B50.96B47.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow04.46B-1.38B-4.51B5.42B11.95B
Operating Cash Flow08.00B1.45B-2.48B7.15B14.51B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.21B-1.72B-1.44B-1.58B-2.64B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.61B-3.56B-4.00B-11.43B-3.57B

Nippon Sharyo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3430.00

Price Trends

50DMA3548.43Negative
100DMA3504.36Negative
200DMA3570.78Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-49.67Positive
RSI46.39Neutral
STOCH79.98Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7102, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3430.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3526.75, below the 50-day MA of 3548.43, and below the 200-day MA of 3570.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -49.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7102.

Nippon Sharyo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:7102 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7122JP:712280OutperformJPY 16.03B11.31―2.17%30.58%69.18%
JP:6016JP:601676OutperformJPY 96.96B18.42―0.86%-0.25%20.72%
JP:6648JP:664872OutperformJPY 29.24B8.19―4.73%-3.79%0.43%
JP:7102JP:710271OutperformJPY 49.58B4.3413.93%1.46%4.14%23.26%
JP:6018JP:601865NeutralJPY 16.18B17.67―1.88%6.90%30.47%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:6023JP:602363NeutralJPY 63.50B9.2713.32%4.29%10.53%30.30%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:7102JP:6023JP:6016JP:6018JP:6648JP:7122Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7102 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7102Nippon Sharyo3430.0061.501.83%
JP:6023Daihatsu Diesel Mfg Co 2376.00-373.58-13.59%
JP:6016Japan Engine Corp11350.00-1552.07-12.03%
JP:6018Hanshin Diesel Works, Ltd.4850.001098.1629.27%
JP:6648Kawaden Corporation1460.00-387.93-20.99%
JP:7122Kinki Sharyo Co., Ltd.2300.00-122.71-5.06%

Nippon Sharyo Corporate Events

Nippon Sharyo Corrects Credits in Medium-Term Plan Materials

Oct 29, 2026

Nippon Sharyo has issued a correction to materials related to its recently announced medium-term business plan for fiscal years 2026 to 2030. The company clarified that the changes are limited to adding proper copyright and credit notices to photogra...

Nippon Sharyo Launches “Next Stage 2030” Plan With Ambitious 2030 Profit Targets

Oct 27, 2026

Nippon Sharyo has unveiled a new medium-term business plan, “Next Stage 2030,” marking its 130th anniversary as a strategic inflection point and targeting consolidated net sales of ¥130 billion and operating profit of ¥15 billion in fiscal 2030. The...

Nippon Sharyo Lifts Full‑Year Earnings Forecast on Stronger Margins

Oct 27, 2026

Nippon Sharyo has sharply upgraded its consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, now expecting net sales of ¥113 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥9.6 billion, both above earlier guidance. The revision imp...

Nippon Sharyo Posts Strong First-Half Revenue, Raises Dividend But Cuts Profit Outlook

Oct 27, 2026

Nippon Sharyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥47.96 billion for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 3% year on year, with operating profit climbing 34.5% to ¥5.43 billion and ordinary profit rising 35.3% to ¥5.77 billion. Profit attributa...

Nippon Sharyo Restructures Executive Roles to Bolster Overseas Business

Sep 29, 2026

Nippon Sharyo has approved changes to the responsibilities of several executive officers effective October 1, 2026, in a move designed to strengthen its overseas business. The reshuffle particularly affects roles within the Corporate Planning and Str...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026