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Heiwa (6412) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6412

Heiwa

(TSE/TYO:6412)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,293.00â–²(8.98% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/14/26

Heiwa's moderate overall score is anchored by its strong top-line revenue expansion, solid technical momentum, and a highly attractive 3.8% dividend yield. The most significant risks holding the score back are the heavily leveraged balance sheet and deteriorating bottom-line profitability, though the company's impressive free cash flow generation provides a vital buffer to manage its debt obligations.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthThe sharp increase in revenue indicates strong recent demand for Heiwa’s products and provides a larger base from which to build future earnings. If supported by continued machine adoption and replacement activity, this growth can strengthen operating scale and competitive standing over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Very High LeverageDebt is high relative to equity, making Heiwa more sensitive to earnings volatility and refinancing conditions. Elevated leverage can limit financial flexibility, increase financing pressure, and constrain the company’s ability to invest or withstand weaker machine demand during the next several quarters.

Heiwa (6412) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:6412+10.95%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 208.31B
Dividend Yield
3.80%
Average Volume (3M)
312.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.6
Beta (1Y)
0.28
Revenue Growth
29.85%
EPS Growth
-15.13%
Country
Japan
Employees
9,512
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Leisure

Heiwa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1949, Heiwa Corporation, previously named Heiwa Kogyo Co., Ltd., operates out of Tokyo, Japan. The company primarily engages in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of pachinko and pachislot gaming machines across Japan, and it...

How the Company Makes Money

Heiwa makes money mainly by selling pachinko and pachislot machines to pachinko hall operators. Revenue is generated when halls purchase new machines for installations and replacements, which creates demand tied to product launch cycles and hall capi...

Heiwa Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Heiwa demonstrates explosive revenue growth and robust cash flows, which provide excellent liquidity (FCF up 58.8% TTM). However, the score is heavily weighed down by a massive accumulation of debt pushing the D/E ratio to 2.25, alongside severely contracting net profit margins.

Income Statement

60Neutral

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue266.90B258.11B145.87B136.38B142.29B121.56B
Gross Profit82.42B85.48B52.49B46.80B49.31B33.40B
EBITDA75.39B74.36B32.33B32.14B35.82B18.68B
Net Income10.57B11.67B13.06B16.61B20.68B2.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.05T1.08T1.05T428.03B423.73B417.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.29B61.33B92.25B57.75B67.76B67.10B
Total Debt571.17B593.57B641.55B106.84B108.64B114.42B
Total Liabilities792.67B828.66B807.28B188.84B192.72B199.88B
Stockholders Equity253.48B248.68B244.12B239.19B231.00B217.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.20B9.97B6.13B2.67B17.90B13.43B
Operating Cash Flow44.57B41.21B24.93B13.93B25.59B20.44B
Investing Cash Flow-1.08B-20.63B-500.03B2.71B-15.22B2.04B
Financing Cash Flow-61.77B-46.00B509.94B-11.22B-14.50B-17.36B

Heiwa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2104.00

Price Trends

50DMA2100.53Positive
100DMA2077.01Positive
200DMA1989.69Positive

Market Momentum

MACD8.21Negative
RSI52.19Neutral
STOCH49.13Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6412, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2104.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2078.80, above the 50-day MA of 2100.53, and above the 200-day MA of 1989.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6412.

Heiwa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:6412 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7832JP:783285OutperformJPY 4.34T27.5218.24%1.09%12.48%27.81%
JP:9166JP:916671OutperformJPY 127.61B40.89―0.59%47.16%21.05%
JP:6412JP:641268NeutralJPY 208.31B19.634.55%3.80%29.85%-15.13%
JP:4680JP:468065NeutralJPY 417.40B21.4820.75%1.23%――
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:4343JP:434357NeutralJPY 57.69B18.57―0.86%10.11%―
JP:6425JP:642541NeutralJPY 51.06B-0.23-120.77%―8.21%-3157.44%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:6412JP:7832JP:4680JP:6425JP:4343JP:9166Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6412 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6412Heiwa Corporation2104.00215.3911.40%
JP:7832BANDAI NAMCO Holdings 6900.002448.4155.00%
JP:4680ROUND ONE Corporation1459.00489.1450.43%
JP:6425Universal Entertainment Corporation648.00-129.00-16.60%
JP:4343AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.2902.0043.741.53%
JP:9166GENDA Inc.673.0069.1411.45%

Heiwa Corporate Events

HEIWA Holdings Reports Six-Month Sales Increase, Ordinary Profit Decline

Nov 12, 2026

HEIWA Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥140,268 million for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 6.7% year on year, while EBITDA increased 3.0% to ¥39,202 million; operating profit declined 1.0% to ¥22,865 million, ordinary profit f...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026