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Heiwa (6412) AI Stock Analysis

JP:6412

Heiwa

(TSE/TYO:6412)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,195.00â–²(5.48% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/10/26

The overall score of 57 reflects a mixed outlook. Financial performance is the primary drag, with declining margins and high leverage offsetting revenue growth. Positive technical indicators and a reasonable valuation provide some support, but fundamental challenges limit upside potential.

Positive Factors
Stable operating marginsSustained ~16% EBIT and ~28% EBITDA margins indicate durable operational efficiency in manufacturing and product cycles. High operating profitability provides a buffer for R&D and new product launches, supporting long-term competitiveness despite revenue cyclicality.
Negative Factors
High leverageVery elevated debt relative to equity constrains financial flexibility, raises refinancing and interest-rate risk, and limits capacity for acquisition or sustained capital investment. High leverage increases vulnerability to demand shocks over the medium term.

Heiwa (6412) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:6412+7.93%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 202.20B
Dividend Yield
3.84%
Average Volume (3M)
308.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.0
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
47.13%
EPS Growth
-26.80%
Country
Japan
Employees
9,512
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Leisure

Heiwa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1949, Heiwa Corporation, previously named Heiwa Kogyo Co., Ltd., operates out of Tokyo, Japan. The company primarily engages in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of pachinko and pachislot gaming machines across Japan, and it...

How the Company Makes Money

Heiwa makes money mainly through two business segments. (1) Pachinko/pachislot machine business: The company earns revenue by developing, manufacturing, and selling pachinko and pachislot machines to pachinko hall operators. Earnings in this segment...

Heiwa Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth of 2.9% is positive, but profitability has weakened with gross margin down to 31.6% and net margin at 4.3%. High leverage (debt/equity 2.38) and modest ROE (4.5%) raise concerns. Operating cash flow is healthy, but free cash flow conversion is low. Overall financial performance is below average.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue265.62B258.11B145.87B136.38B142.29B121.56B
Gross Profit83.83B85.48B52.49B46.80B49.31B33.40B
EBITDA74.60B74.36B32.33B32.14B35.82B18.68B
Net Income11.43B11.67B13.06B16.61B20.68B2.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.09T1.08T1.05T428.03B423.73B417.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.03B61.33B92.25B57.75B67.76B67.10B
Total Debt601.38B593.57B641.55B106.84B108.64B114.42B
Total Liabilities833.21B828.66B807.28B188.84B192.72B199.88B
Stockholders Equity252.60B248.68B244.12B239.19B231.00B217.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.57B9.97B6.13B2.67B17.90B13.43B
Operating Cash Flow40.72B41.21B24.93B13.93B25.59B20.44B
Investing Cash Flow-2.57B-20.63B-500.03B2.71B-15.22B2.04B
Financing Cash Flow-41.40B-46.00B509.94B-11.22B-14.50B-17.36B

Heiwa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2081.00

Price Trends

50DMA2111.19Negative
100DMA2069.67Positive
200DMA1984.83Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-15.15Negative
RSI52.55Neutral
STOCH49.86Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6412, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2081.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2046.05, below the 50-day MA of 2111.19, and above the 200-day MA of 1984.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -15.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6412.

Heiwa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:6412 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4680JP:468077OutperformJPY 370.13B20.0920.75%1.42%――
JP:7832JP:783273OutperformJPY 3.99T26.0817.83%1.21%9.12%16.20%
JP:9166JP:916667NeutralJPY 113.83B36.94―0.66%47.16%21.05%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:6412JP:641257NeutralJPY 202.20B17.954.55%3.84%47.13%-26.80%
JP:6425JP:642553NeutralJPY 50.21B-0.23-120.77%―9.25%-752.93%
JP:4343JP:434345NeutralJPY 53.49B17.56―0.91%10.11%―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:6412JP:7832JP:4680JP:6425JP:4343JP:9166Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6412 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6412Heiwa Corporation2081.00150.087.77%
JP:7832BANDAI NAMCO Holdings 6208.001484.0931.42%
JP:4680ROUND ONE Corporation1268.50206.0119.39%
JP:6425Universal Entertainment Corporation646.00-205.00-24.09%
JP:4343AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.2744.00-2.27-0.08%
JP:9166GENDA Inc.608.00-121.00-16.60%

Heiwa Corporate Events

Heiwa Posts Mixed Q1 Results but Lifts Full-Year Profit Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

Heiwa Corporation reported consolidated net sales of ¥77.8 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 10.7% year on year, while EBITDA edged higher but operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of parent all...

Heiwa Expands Golf Portfolio With Acquisition of Ichihara Keikyu Country Club

Jul 15, 2026

Heiwa Corporation’s consolidated subsidiary Pacific Golf Management K.K. has agreed to acquire all shares of Ichihara Keikyu Country Club Co., Ltd. from Keikyu Corporation, turning the Chiba-based 18-hole Ichihara Keikyu Country Club operator i...

Heiwa Discloses Strong Fiscal 2026 Results of Parent Ishihara Holdings

May 26, 2026

Heiwa Corporation announced that its parent company, Ishihara Holdings Inc., has finalized financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, disclosing a balance sheet that highlights its investment-focused structure. Ishihara Holdings repo...

Heiwa Details Relationship With Major Shareholder Ishihara Holdings

May 26, 2026

Heiwa Corporation has disclosed the status of Ishihara Holdings Inc. as an other affiliated company and its largest shareholder, with a 42.99% voting stake, while noting that Ishihara’s shares are not listed on any financial instruments exchang...

Heiwa to Introduce Non‑Voting Preferred Shares to Fund Growth Investments

May 26, 2026

Heiwa Corporation has approved an additional proposal to amend its Articles of Incorporation, complementing previously announced changes tied to its transition to a holding company structure. The new proposal will be presented as a separate item at t...

Heiwa Extends Golf-Focused Shareholder Benefit Program for FY 2027

May 13, 2026

Heiwa Corporation will continue its shareholder benefit program for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, offering coupons twice a year to investors holding at least 200 shares. These coupons, worth ¥1,000 each and usable up to 16 per visit, ca...

Heiwa Overhauls Leadership Ahead of Shift to Holding Company Structure

May 13, 2026

Heiwa Corporation has approved a series of leadership and board changes as it prepares to shift to a holding company structure and rebrand as HEIWA HOLDINGS INC. on October 1, 2026, transferring its Pachinko and Pachi slot machine operations to a new...

Heiwa to Shift to Pure Holding Company Structure via Company Split

May 13, 2026

Heiwa Corporation has approved a transition to a pure holding company structure by transferring the rights and obligations of its pachinko and pachislot machine business to a newly incorporated, wholly owned subsidiary, effective October 1, 2026. The...

Heiwa Beats Full-Year Profit Forecast on Lower Costs and Asset Gains

May 13, 2026

Heiwa Corporation reported that its full-year consolidated results for the fiscal year ended March 2026 modestly exceeded its earlier net sales forecast while significantly outperforming profit projections. Net sales came in roughly in line with guid...

Heiwa Signals Earnings Recovery With Strong FY2026 Results and Bullish Outlook

May 13, 2026

Heiwa Corporation posted a sharp rebound in sales and profits for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with net sales surging 76.9% to ¥258.1 billion and operating profit climbing 56.8% to ¥43.4 billion, supported by stronger operations an...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026