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Union Tool Co. (6278) AI Stock Analysis

JP:6278

Union Tool Co.

(TSE/TYO:6278)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:JPY 13,631.00â–²(11.00% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/03/26

The score is primarily supported by strong operating profitability and a fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage. Offsetting these strengths are weak 2025 free-cash-flow conversion (near breakeven) and a relatively expensive valuation (P/E ~31.7 with a sub-1% dividend yield). Technicals are moderately constructive but show signs of being extended near term.

Positive Factors
Strong operating profitabilityGross margins near 40% and EBIT margins around 21–22% in 2024–2025 indicate a profitable operating model with meaningful earnings retained from sales. Consistency across both years supports resilience and provides capacity to fund investment through the cycle.
Negative Factors
Weak free-cash-flow conversionThe sharp 2025 decline in free cash flow means reported earnings converted into very little discretionary cash. Heavy reinvestment or working-capital drag can reduce funds available for dividends, debt-free expansion, and shareholder returns, making cash generation less dependable.

Union Tool Co. (6278) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%JP:6278+48.38%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 239.25B
Dividend Yield
1.18%
Average Volume (3M)
257.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
23.8
Beta (1Y)
1.73
Revenue Growth
39.69%
EPS Growth
58.96%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,530
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories

Union Tool Co. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Union Tool Co. manufactures and distributes a diverse range of cutting implements, linear motion systems, and machinery for metal processing, catering to both the Japanese domestic market and international clients. Their extensive product line featur...

Union Tool Co. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability (gross margin ~40%, EBIT margin ~21–22% in 2024–2025) and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with near-zero leverage and debt falling to zero in 2025 support a high score. The key offset is cash-flow quality: free cash flow collapsed to near breakeven in 2025 (~¥0.08B, ~1% of net income), indicating weaker cash conversion despite solid earnings.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

95Very Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.97B40.16B32.61B25.34B29.09B28.17B
Gross Profit20.36B16.04B13.10B8.94B11.52B10.55B
EBITDA16.20B11.65B9.82B6.76B10.01B7.87B
Net Income9.22B6.11B5.28B3.08B5.00B3.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets131.34B88.20B78.86B70.61B69.14B64.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.70B18.11B18.13B20.07B20.97B17.58B
Total Debt219.00M0427.00M186.00M890.00M313.00M
Total Liabilities11.78B8.20B5.72B3.32B5.51B5.47B
Stockholders Equity119.56B80.00B73.14B67.28B63.63B59.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow076.00M3.18B228.00M4.18B3.21B
Operating Cash Flow07.51B7.28B4.69B6.71B5.83B
Investing Cash Flow0-6.80B-7.27B-5.01B-1.96B-3.16B
Financing Cash Flow0-2.26B-1.68B-1.61B-1.55B-1.44B

Union Tool Co. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price12280.00

Price Trends

50DMA14145.20Negative
100DMA17150.81Negative
200DMA16052.36Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-625.21Positive
RSI38.11Neutral
STOCH46.37Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6278, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12280.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14357.00, below the 50-day MA of 14145.20, and below the 200-day MA of 16052.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -625.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6278.

Union Tool Co. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:6278 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6157JP:615775OutperformJPY 19.59B11.24―3.82%7.28%33.22%
JP:6101JP:610172OutperformJPY 195.24B10.47―2.55%23.70%56.28%
JP:6278JP:627872OutperformJPY 239.25B23.78―1.18%39.69%58.96%
JP:6136JP:613670OutperformJPY 324.83B11.1113.79%2.82%20.29%99.83%
JP:6474JP:647464NeutralJPY 127.48B14.244.67%1.87%8.26%102.64%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:6464JP:646438UnderperformJPY 11.69B-0.43――-1.43%-1450.24%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JP:6278JP:6136JP:6474JP:6101JP:6157JP:6464Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:6278 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6278Union Tool Co.12280.004162.0651.27%
JP:6136OSG Corp3508.001353.0262.79%
JP:6474Nachi-Fujikoshi Corp.5360.001507.7739.14%
JP:6101Tsugami Corp.4310.001636.8961.24%
JP:6157NS Tool Co., Ltd.785.0045.946.22%
JP:6464Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd288.00-104.00-26.53%

Union Tool Co. Corporate Events

Union Tool Launches Major Factory Expansion in Niigata

Oct 16, 2026

Union Tool Co. has approved the construction of its Mitsuke No. 4 Factory in Shinko-cho, Mitsuke-shi, Niigata Prefecture, adding a two-story, 6,600-square-meter building on the site where its existing Mitsuke facilities are located. The project is in...

Union Tool Delivers Strong Half-Year Profits and Hikes Dividend

Aug 6, 2026

Union Tool Co. reported a sharp improvement in its semi-annual results for the period ended June 2026, with net sales rising 48.3% year on year to ¥27.1 billion and operating profit jumping 81.4% to ¥7.6 billion. Ordinary profit more than d...

Union Tool Lifts Full-Year Outlook and Dividends on AI-Driven Demand Surge

Aug 6, 2026

Union Tool reported that first-half FY2026 results far outpaced its earlier guidance, with net sales, operating profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent all significantly above forecast, helped by robust overseas demand for server packa...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2026