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Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd. (6150) AI Stock Analysis

JP:6150

Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:6150)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,957.00â–²(7.41% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/17/26

The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (growth and a strengthening balance sheet) offset by meaningful cash flow volatility. Technically, the stock is in a weak trend below key moving averages, while attractive valuation (low P/E and a ~2.9% yield) provides support.

Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue GrowthRevenue growth across 2022–2026, including a 15.7% latest annual increase, indicates sustained demand for Takeda’s industrial equipment. Continued expansion can enlarge the installed base and support future service, parts, and consumables revenue, reinforcing earnings durability.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash GenerationLarge year-to-year swings in operating and free cash flow make Takeda’s financial performance less predictable than its revenue trend. Working-capital or project-cycle volatility can complicate planning and may constrain investment or shareholder returns during weaker cash-generation periods.

Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd. (6150) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:6150-5.79%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.53B
Dividend Yield
2.91%
Average Volume (3M)
1,385
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.0
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
10.96%
EPS Growth
26.72%
Country
Japan
Employees
175
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells forging machines, machine tools, equipment, and dies in Japan. The company offers shaped steel working machines, which include compact shaped steel working, flat plate drilling, H/I beam drilling, and...

How the Company Makes Money

Takeda Machinery primarily makes money by selling industrial machinery used for metal processing (e.g., band saws and other fabrication/steel-processing equipment). Revenue is generated from (1) product sales of newly manufactured machines to industr...

Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue growth and generally healthy margins support earnings quality, and the balance sheet shows improving, manageable leverage with rising equity. The main drag is highly volatile operating/free cash flow (including multiple negative years), which reduces predictability and raises execution/working-capital cycle risk.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.08B5.08B4.89B5.46B4.69B4.44B
Gross Profit1.49B1.49B1.44B1.69B1.37B1.31B
EBITDA582.79M582.79M606.70M822.09M609.34M588.15M
Net Income298.14M298.14M293.67M427.08M316.91M260.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.77B7.77B7.64B7.94B7.31B6.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.49B1.49B1.48B2.09B1.10B1.34B
Total Debt1.20B1.20B1.51B1.42B1.57B1.45B
Total Liabilities2.30B2.30B2.43B2.94B2.71B2.43B
Stockholders Equity5.46B5.46B5.22B5.00B4.59B4.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow481.97M481.97M-612.97M1.24B-116.72M885.53M
Operating Cash Flow550.09M550.09M-587.13M1.27B-82.56M991.14M
Investing Cash Flow-174.06M-174.06M-23.04M-108.28M-71.95M-63.41M
Financing Cash Flow-398.32M-398.32M4.20M-197.47M-116.19M-321.14M

Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2753.00

Price Trends

50DMA2783.74Negative
100DMA2768.52Negative
200DMA2961.79Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.22Negative
RSI42.63Neutral
STOCH65.75Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6150, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2753.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2770.95, below the 50-day MA of 2783.74, and below the 200-day MA of 2961.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6150.

Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:6150 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3447JP:344779OutperformJPY 12.61B6.77―3.92%14.28%63.11%
JP:5644JP:564472OutperformJPY 22.25B7.40―2.11%2.42%49.60%
JP:6138JP:613869NeutralJPY 5.39B5.01―3.03%9.48%185.29%
JP:6150JP:615065NeutralJPY 2.53B9.01―2.91%10.96%26.72%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:5994JP:599453NeutralJPY 4.00B-1.29―2.75%3.08%-260.66%
JP:5852JP:585246NeutralJPY 14.80B7.50―6.15%-0.50%―

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:6150JP:3447JP:5644JP:5852JP:5994JP:6138Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:6150 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6150Takeda Machinery Co., Ltd.2753.00-121.48-4.23%
JP:3447Shinwa Co.,Ltd.919.00117.1914.62%
JP:5644Metalart Corporation7360.003364.6984.22%
JP:5852Ahresty Corporation585.00-182.47-23.78%
JP:5994Fine Sinter Co., Ltd.908.00-561.97-38.23%
JP:6138Dijet Industrial Co., Ltd.1815.00782.0275.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026