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Hokkan Holdings Limited (5902) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5902

Hokkan Holdings Limited

(TSE/TYO:5902)

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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,127.00â–²(22.68% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (profitability recovery and sharp deleveraging) but held back by cash-flow volatility, particularly negative free cash flow in 2026. Technicals are positive on trend but show overbought conditions that increase short-term risk. Valuation is a meaningful positive given the low P/E and solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Profitability RecoveryThe return to sustained profitability after earlier loss years indicates improved operating execution. Positive earnings provide a stronger base for reinvestment and resilience, although the still-modest margin means further improvement is needed.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Revenue GrowthUneven revenue performance indicates limited top-line momentum in the core packaging operations. Without stronger volume, customer expansion, or recurring demand growth, earnings improvement may remain dependent on costs and pricing.

Hokkan Holdings Limited (5902) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:5902+22.44%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 31.39B
Dividend Yield
3.69%
Average Volume (3M)
23.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.5
Beta (1Y)
0.49
Revenue Growth
0.88%
EPS Growth
19.83%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,247
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Hokkan Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hokkan Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the container, filling, and machinery production, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. The company manufactures and sells various types of unfilled cans, containers, tinplate...

How the Company Makes Money

Hokkan Holdings makes money primarily through revenues generated by its consolidated subsidiaries that manufacture and supply packaging products and related services. Key revenue streams typically include (1) sales of packaging containers and packagi...

Hokkan Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are improving but not yet high quality: profitability recovered with positive net income in 2024–2026 and stronger gross margin (~22%+), and leverage improved materially with debt-to-equity down to ~0.23. Offsetting this, revenue growth is modest/inconsistent and cash-flow quality is a key concern, with free cash flow turning negative in 2026 (-¥3.1B) despite positive earnings.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.72B90.56B92.42B90.93B93.66B86.33B
Gross Profit21.36B20.57B20.82B20.66B15.43B16.83B
EBITDA11.69B10.48B11.61B10.63B8.34B6.78B
Net Income3.70B3.28B3.26B2.72B-2.01B-1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets140.40B138.63B132.32B134.05B131.78B145.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.76B10.12B13.37B12.80B10.16B10.07B
Total Debt47.14B47.69B43.10B43.42B43.02B55.43B
Total Liabilities76.48B75.74B70.09B73.18B76.89B88.36B
Stockholders Equity61.45B60.36B57.49B56.05B50.59B52.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-3.08B2.19B3.19B5.50B3.71B
Operating Cash Flow09.39B12.50B7.36B9.29B11.86B
Investing Cash Flow0-11.88B-10.15B-3.85B4.09B-3.60B
Financing Cash Flow0-697.00M-1.76B-1.23B-13.43B-7.21B

Hokkan Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2549.00

Price Trends

50DMA2651.24Negative
100DMA2497.93Positive
200DMA2378.29Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-20.13Positive
RSI43.32Neutral
STOCH12.60Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5902, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2549.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2579.80, below the 50-day MA of 2651.24, and above the 200-day MA of 2378.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -20.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5902.

Hokkan Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5902 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3950JP:395085OutperformJPY 88.60B14.96―2.59%3.57%-1.12%
JP:7864JP:786481OutperformJPY 192.18B8.8013.51%2.54%3.89%67.10%
JP:7942JP:794278OutperformJPY 75.53B9.93―3.49%14.19%90.30%
JP:5901JP:590173OutperformJPY 602.22B12.537.89%3.75%6.21%108.07%
JP:5902JP:590269NeutralJPY 31.10B8.48―3.69%0.88%19.83%
JP:7917JP:791758NeutralJPY 94.95B11.408.26%2.91%5.99%22.32%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:5902JP:7917JP:7864JP:5901JP:3950JP:7942Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5902 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5902Hokkan Holdings Limited2549.00477.7223.06%
JP:7917Fujimori Kogyo Co 1235.00209.2420.40%
JP:7864Fuji Seal International 3510.00877.6333.34%
JP:5901Toyo Seikan Group Holdings 4475.001154.1734.76%
JP:3950Pack Corporation1507.00340.6029.20%
JP:7942JSP Corporation3070.001251.8168.85%

Hokkan Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Hokkan Holdings Delivers Strong Q1 Earnings and Lifts Full-Year Dividend Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

Hokkan Holdings Limited reported solid results for the three months ended June 30, 2026, with net sales rising 9.2% year on year to ¥25.65 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 23.1% to ¥2.25 billion, reflecting impro...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026