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IBOKIN Co., Ltd. (5699) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5699

IBOKIN Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5699)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,746.00â–²(20.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/11/26

The stock's attractive valuation and robust balance sheet are its primary strengths. However, the overall score is significantly constrained by a dramatic deterioration in cash flow generation, which presents a key risk. Technical indicators are mixed and do not provide a strong directional signal.

Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue GrowthConsistent revenue growth indicates sustained demand for IBOKIN’s recycling and waste-processing activities. Continued top-line expansion can improve operating scale, support investment in processing capacity, and reinforce the company’s position in resource recovery markets over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe Cash-Flow DeteriorationThe sharp drop in operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow weaken internal funding capacity. If sustained, this could constrain investment flexibility, increase reliance on external financing, and make reported earnings less dependable as a source of cash.

IBOKIN Co., Ltd. (5699) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:5699+6.50%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.78B
Dividend Yield
2.20%
Average Volume (3M)
5,468
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.8
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
10.72%
EPS Growth
73.57%
Country
Japan
Employees
189
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Waste Management

IBOKIN Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

IBOKIN Co.,Ltd. operates as a Japanese recycling enterprise, with services spanning demolition, environmental protection, metal recovery, and transportation-related recycling across Japan. The firm is actively involved in processing both ferrous and...

How the Company Makes Money

IBOKIN makes money primarily by monetizing recyclable resources and by providing waste-processing services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Sales of recovered materials: the company acquires or receives scrap and recyclable inputs (often f...

IBOKIN Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid revenue growth and a healthy balance sheet are offset by a severe decline in operating cash flow and negative free cash flow, creating liquidity concerns.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.29B10.01B9.66B8.66B7.96B8.43B
Gross Profit2.11B1.79B1.85B1.51B1.35B1.60B
EBITDA1.37B1.15B1.11B840.54M743.46M997.02M
Net Income706.48M598.47M520.40M396.38M346.50M509.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.40B8.11B6.34B5.76B5.35B5.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.28B1.67B2.26B1.73B1.89B1.97B
Total Debt1.24B1.51B245.39M293.81M394.37M559.03M
Total Liabilities3.00B2.96B1.80B1.73B1.54B2.14B
Stockholders Equity5.36B5.12B4.53B4.03B3.81B3.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.37B710.83M95.64M179.13M710.74M
Operating Cash Flow071.73M932.38M603.82M338.66M795.97M
Investing Cash Flow0-1.44B-239.70M-494.25M-200.28M-100.48M
Financing Cash Flow0718.20M-165.34M-222.89M-300.02M-241.91M

IBOKIN Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1455.00

Price Trends

50DMA1554.18Negative
100DMA1516.02Negative
200DMA1589.68Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-28.09Positive
RSI38.04Neutral
STOCH57.11Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5699, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1455.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1493.70, below the 50-day MA of 1554.18, and below the 200-day MA of 1589.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -28.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5699.

IBOKIN Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5699 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5698JP:569880OutperformJPY 18.98B7.34―4.00%-9.49%118.07%
JP:9336JP:933676OutperformJPY 399.57B24.10―1.40%13.76%18.44%
JP:9793JP:979372OutperformJPY 161.97B15.6912.40%2.44%3.67%13.39%
JP:5699JP:569967NeutralJPY 4.93B6.77―2.20%10.72%73.57%
JP:4245JP:424558NeutralJPY 9.60B11.36―3.33%5.72%219.73%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:2195JP:219552NeutralJPY 6.33B19.80―1.54%0.03%-16.01%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:5699JP:9793JP:2195JP:4245JP:5698JP:9336Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5699 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5699IBOKIN Co., Ltd.1455.0084.866.19%
JP:9793Daiseki Co 3400.00180.665.61%
JP:2195Amita Holdings Co., Ltd.318.005.411.73%
JP:4245Daiki Axis Co., Ltd.720.0054.928.26%
JP:5698Envipro Holdings, Inc.625.00125.5825.15%
JP:9336Daiei Kankyo Co., Ltd.3995.00624.5818.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2026